View Full Version : State Failure 2.0

01-28-2007, 05:03 PM
First, congrats and a hat tip to Council member ZenPundit who is now - also - posting to the popular Chicago Boyz (http://chicagoboyz.net/) web log. Best of luck to you Mark!

Now on to his latest post - at Zenpundit (http://zenpundit.blogspot.com/2007/01/state-failure-2.html) and Chicago Boyz...

One of the sharpest points of contention between Thomas P.M. Barnett (http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/) and John Robb (http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/johnrobb/) is over the feasibility of Tom's System Administration concept. This issue has been the topic of numerous posts and the occasional rhetorical jab (http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/archives2/003457.html) between the two strategic theorists. This pattern repeats itself, in my view, for a number of reasons. First, even friendly professional rivalry causes a natural bumping of heads; secondly, Robb looks at a system and thinks how it can be made to fall apart while Barnett looks at the same system and imagines how the pieces can be reintegrated. Third, no one really has all the answers yet on why some states fail relatively easily while others prove resilient in the face of horrific stress.

Robb contends that Global Guerillas (http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/06/global_warriors.html) can potentially keep a state in permanent failure, despite the best efforts of System Administration intervention to the contrary. A new level of systemic collapse, call it State Failure 2.0, where failure constitutes a self-sustaining dynamic. Broadly defined, you would chalk up " wins" for Robb's point of view in Somalia, Iraq and the Congo. In Dr. Barnett's column you would find Germany, Japan, Cambodia, East Timor and Sierra Leone in evidence for the efficacy of Sys Admin work. Lebanon and Afghanistan perhaps could be described as a nation-building draw at this point in time.

Why permanent failure in some cases but not others ? This is something that long puzzled me. Then today...

Find out what happened at ZenPundit (http://zenpundit.blogspot.com/2007/01/state-failure-2.html)...