China's Emergence as a Superpower (2015 onwards)
A new thread prompted by two inter-related articles on China's developing military capability by Oriana Skylar Mastro, from Georgetown.
The first opens with:Link:http://www.lawfareblog.com/2015/01/t...ilitary-power/
The National Interest article, which may duplicate the first:http://nationalinterest.org/feature/...o-global-11882
China drafts law on counterterrorism operations abroad
Quote:
China is close to approving a law that will create a legal framework for sending troops abroad on counterterrorism missions as Beijing seeks to address the vulnerability of the country’s growing global commercial and diplomatic interests.
Article 76 would authorize the military, as well as state and public security personnel, to conduct counterterrorism operations abroad with the approval of the “relevant country.”
Link:http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/201.../#.VPRYGY4tzK9
China’s $ changing the worldL Ecuador as an example
Chinese Navy replenishment at sea
Logistics matter and from Australia a short article reviewing what is happening. Rather oddly it concludes (in part) that:
Quote:
The PLAN in 2015 has an adequate RAS force to support continuous far seas operations.
Link:http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/post/...pability.aspx?
The US-PRC Military Scorecard
An offering from RAND, the full title being: The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996-2017:
Link: http://www.andrewerickson.com/2015/0...wer-1996-2017/
The intro:
Quote:
Over the past two decades, China’s People’s Liberation Army has transformed itself from a large but antiquated force into a capable, modern military. Its technology and operational proficiency still lag behind those of the United States, but it has rapidly narrowed the gap. Moreover, China enjoys the advantage of proximity in most plausible conflict scenarios, and geographical advantage would likely neutralize many U.S. military strengths. A sound understanding of regional military issues—including forces, geography, and the evolving balance of power—will be essential for establishing appropriate U.S. political and military policies in Asia. This RAND study analyzes the development of respective Chinese and U.S. Military capabilities in ten categories of military operations across two scenarios, one centered on Taiwan and one on the Spratly Islands. The analysis is presented in ten scorecards that assess military capabilities as they have evolved over four snapshot years: 1996, 2003, 2010, and 2017. The results show that China is not close to catching up to the United States in terms of aggregate capabilities, but also that it does not need to catch up to challenge the United States on its immediate periphery. Furthermore, although China’s ability to project power to more distant locations remains limited, its reach is growing, and in the future U.S. military dominance is likely to be challenged at greater distances from China’s coast. To maintain robust defense and deterrence capabilities in an era of fiscal constraints, the United States will need to ensure that its own operational concepts, procurement, and diplomacy anticipate future developments in Chinese military capabilities.