Thanks for the post and the links.
Printable View
Thanks for the post and the links.
Much the same sort of thing (minus most of the shiny new kit - and leaders who actually stood up to the politicos, like Hillier does - I wonder who will succeed him?) was going on in the 90's (The "Total Force/New Army" bit). No matter what other intentions are at work, as good as they are, preserving career officer slots in the CF almost always seems to overshadow things. Back then, three Regular infantry battalions were reduced to nil strength, except for the 10% who remained and manned the Bn HQ, and the other 90% were Reservists. When the Army nearly broke down under the stress of cuts at home and heavy overseas deployments (some "Regular" battalions in Yugo were composed of up to two-thirds Reservists, especially when the worst of the fighting and harassment was going on in '92 to '94), and the Airborne was disbanded (well, except for 3 Cdo), those three Regular infantry battalions were restored.
Funny thing was, despite having all these officer slots that they'd preserved during the lean years, the Army had to go out and try to recruit a whole pile new officers (and entice a lot of Reserve officers to go into the Regular Army), because they couldn't hold on to so many of the officers for whom they had gone out of their way to preserve places for. A lot of guys (Commissioned and Non-Commissioned) just weren't going to abide by the culture and the rules of the "New Army", and they got out. They took a large chunk of the Army's fighting skill and know-how with them when they did. Now, we've spent the last half-decade trying to reacquire those lost skills, as well as add new ones, and recruit people who will fit into the "Transformed Army".
Hopefully, we'll get it more or less right this time. But the "expensive hired help" syndrome is a chronic condition in the Canadian military, and it has always amounted to a, if not always the, principle consideration for the organization of the force structure of the Canadian Army. I mean, look at a rifle company nowadays: it has fewer riflemen now than it had over a decade ago, but back then it just had 2 officers (excluding atts) at Coy HQ (OC and 2i/c); now it needs 3 (with the addition of a Battle Captain that the LAVs require - didn't need that with M-113s). In the Canadian Army, officers are not intended to fill unit command and staff posts, it seems; rather, troops and equipment are "attached" or "assigned" to an organization of officers to form units that deploy into the field. I'm not even going to touch higher levels here.
Prime Minister Harper announces independent advisory panel on Afghan mission
Government of Canada news release, 12 Oct 07
News release - PM's speaking notes
While many observers online seem comfortable with the idea, some are, at this point, underwhelmed.Quote:
Prime Minister Stephen Harper today announced the creation of the Independent Panel on Canada’s Future Role in Afghanistan. The panel’s role will be to advise Parliament on options for the mission after the current mandate ends in February, 2009.
“I am pleased to announce the formation of an independent panel of eminent Canadians who will consider our options and provide expert non-partisan advice that will help parliamentarians make our decision,” said the Prime Minister.
Chaired by former Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs John Manley, the panel will examine four main options, while not excluding others:
1. Continue training the Afghan army and police so Canada can begin withdrawing its forces in February 2009;
2. Focus on reconstruction and have forces from another country take over security in Kandahar;
3. Shift Canadian security and reconstruction effort to another region in Afghanistan;
4. Withdraw all Canadian military except a minimal force to protect aid workers and diplomats.
The panel, which is to report to the Prime Minister and the Canadian public at the end of January 2008, is expected to conduct its deliberations while keeping in mind the sacrifices Canadians have made to date in Afghanistan, the potential for deterioration in security and development, Canada’s obligations to NATO and the United Nations, and the implications for Canada’s international reputation.
In addition to Mr. Manley, the panel includes former federal Cabinet Minister Jake Epp, former Clerk of the Privy Council Paul Tellier, former Canadian Ambassador to the United States Derek Burney, and Pamela Wallin, former Canadian Consul General in New York City.
“These individuals represent a wealth of experience in foreign affairs and each one of them has demonstrated their commitment to Canada through years of public service,” said Prime Minister Harper. “I have no doubt they will examine the issues honestly, fairly, and expertly, and offer wise, impartial counsel that will help Parliamentarians and all Canadians choose the right course for Canada in Afghanistan.”
Of interest is the fact that the Chair of the team, John Manley, was a Deputy Prime Minister for the Liberal Party, not the party of the current Prime Minister.
Another interesting tidbit: the chair of the new panel recently wrote about the AFG mission in a policy journal, "Policy Options" (.pdf) - the executive summary:
Another interesting highlight from Manley's article:Quote:
"The author first visited Afghanistan as Canada’s foreign minister following the ouster of the Taliban regime in 2002. Five years later, John Manley returned to Kabul and its environs as a private citizen and a director of CARE Canada, one of the leading NGOs working to rebuild that shattered country. In this view from the ground, as part of our continuing Mission Afghanistan series, Manley writes that security remains “the major issue, including for NGOs.” But while the “promise of 2002 has thus far been unrealized in the establishment of a true system of rule of law and sustainable Afghan institutions,” he also found measurable progress, including “programs in housing, micro-credit, infrastructure and community evelopment.”
More, here...Quote:
.... there is no possible way to separate the development or humanitarian mission from the military one. There can be no meaningful progress on development without an improved security environment.
On October 16, Canada's Governor General (the Head of State) delivered the Government's Speech from the Throne (.pdf), laying out the proposed legislative agenda of the ruling Conservative Party of Canada led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper (the head of government).
Following an opening recognizing the service of members of the Canadian Forces:
Part of Governor General Michaëlle Jean's speech dealing with sovereignty and security, which would have to be approved by the government before it was delivered, covered Canada's commitments to Afghanistan:Quote:
I would like to address the first words in this chamber to the members of the Canadian Forces, some of whom are present here today. Their commitment and courage in the name of justice, equality and freedom—whose benefits are not accorded to all peoples in the world—are worthy of our utmost respect...
The bolded sentences in this section of the Speech from the Throne drew attention because this suggests that the government may have already decided on what it will propose as Canada's role in Afghanistan after its combat mandate in Kandahar expires in February 2009. Some observers say this may already be laying out the government's preferred option in spite of an independent review panel being set up to assess options for the mission. That panel is expected to have options ready for the end of January 2008.Quote:
Nowhere is Canada making a difference more clearly than in Afghanistan. Canada has joined the United Nations-sanctioned mission in Afghanistan because it is noble and necessary. Canadians understand that development and security go hand in hand. Without security, there can be no humanitarian aid, no reconstruction and no democratic development. Progress will be slow, but our efforts are bearing fruit. There is no better measure of this progress than the four million Afghan boys and two million girls who can dream of a better future because they now go to school.
The Canadian Forces mission has been approved by Parliament until February 2009, and our Government has made clear to Canadians and our allies that any future military deployments must also be supported by a majority of parliamentarians. In the coming session, members will be asked to vote on the future of the Canadian mission in Afghanistan. This decision should honour the dedication and sacrifice of Canada’s development workers, diplomats and men and women in uniform. It should ensure that progress in Afghanistan is not lost and that our international commitments and reputation are upheld.
Our Government does not believe that Canada should simply abandon the people of Afghanistan after February 2009. Canada should build on its accomplishments and shift to accelerate the training of the Afghan army and police so that the Afghan government can defend its own sovereignty. This will not be completed by February 2009, but our Government believes this objective should be achievable by 2011, the end of the period covered by the Afghanistan Compact. Our Government has appointed an independent panel to advise Canadians on how best to proceed given these considerations.
Some more details on the blue ribbon panel:
Globe & Mail: Panel will visit AFG (but hold no public hearings)
Globe & Mail: Panel chair receiving $1,400/day per diem
CanadianChristianity.com: Interesting links between one panel member and faith-based NGO providing aid in AFG
Sure others have seen this before, but a good video here of Canadian troops in action in Afghanistan in 2006.
In the fall, Canada's (Conservative) government established a non-partisan panel, head by former (Liberal) foreign minister John Manley, to make recommendations as to Canada's future role in Afghanistan.
That report is now out, and can be found here:
Independent Panel on Canada’s Future Role in Afghanistan
The key military recommendation is as follows:
Frankly--while I don't disagree with most of the conclusions--I'm unimpressed with the report's analysis of the military COIN challenges, and even less impressed with its assessment of the political and developmental components of stabilization. A great many of the recommendations fall into the "yes, but how?" or "easier said than done" category, such as:Quote:
2. Canada should continue with its responsibility for security in Kandahar beyond February 2009, in a manner fully consistent with the UN mandate on Afghanistan, including its combat role, but with increasing emphasis on training the Afghan National Security Forces expeditiously to take lead responsibility for security in Kandahar and Afghanistan as a whole. As the Afghan National Security Forces gain capability, Canada’s combat role should be significantly reduced.
•This commitment is contingent on the assignment of an additional battle
group (of about 1,000 soldiers) to Kandahar by NATO and/or other allies
before February 2009.
Quote:
c. Forceful representations with Afghanistan’s neighbours, in particular with Pakistan, to reduce the risks posed to regional stability and security by recent developments in that country; and
d. Concerted efforts by the Afghan government to improve governance by
tackling corruption and ensuring basic services to the Afghan people, and
pursuing some degree of political reconciliation in Afghanistan.
The report can be found in PDF format at this link:
http://www.independent-panel-indepen...port_web_e.pdf
OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada will pull its 2,500 troops out of Afghanistan early next year unless NATO sends in significant reinforcements...
More at the linkQuote:
The minority Conservative government wants the soldiers to stay beyond their current withdrawal date of February 2009 but in another potential threat to the mission, the main opposition Liberal Party expressed doubts about the idea of an extension.
Harper, who is exasperated at the refusal of many other NATO nations to commit more troops to Afghanistan, said the Alliance's failure to provide enough forces meant the whole future of the organization was under serious threat.
Harper said he accepted the recommendations of an independent panel which last week urged Canada to end its mission in the southern city of Kandahar unless NATO provided an extra 1,000 troops and Ottawa obtained helicopters and aerial reconnaissance vehicles.
"Both of those recommendations will have to be fulfilled or Canada will not proceed with the mission in Afghanistan. We believe these are essential to our success."
Legion Magazine, 2 Apr 08: The Afghanistan Commitment
Quote:
It is decision time for Canada’s political and military leaders. And it is no easy question they have to answer. Indeed, it is a decision that could cost many lives. The question is this: what role will Canada next take on in NATO’s effort to stabilize Afghanistan?
With the end of Canada’s three-year commitment to its leading role in Kandahar province coming up in early 2009, Ottawa has in recent months been buzzing with debate about what should happen next.
While there are many options—everything from continuing the current combat role to complete withdrawal—the most often mentioned new role is one focused on the softer side of the mission, particularly the delivery of aid, reconstruction and the training of Afghan forces.....
....after being kidnapped four weeks ago without the media saying anything about it. Highlight mine - shared for research and discussion purposes only.
Abducted CBC journalist released in Afghanistan
CBC.ca, 8 Nov 08
CBC journalist Mellissa Fung was released to Canadian officials in Kabul on Saturday, four weeks after she was abducted.
Fung was taken by armed men who approached her in a refugee camp on the outskirts of Kabul on Oct. 12.
The journalist, who was stationed at the NATO military base in Kandahar but was visiting the Kabul-area camp to report on a story, was then taken to the mountains west of the Afghan capital.
Fung, normally based in Regina, was on her second assignment to Afghanistan.
As news of her release emerged on Saturday, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation reported that she was in good health and undergoing a medical examination.
News of the abduction had been kept secret over concerns about her safety.
"In the interest of Mellissa's safety and that of other working journalists in the region, on the advice of security experts, we made the decision to ask media colleagues not to publish news of her abduction," CBC News publisher John Cruickshank said. "All of the efforts made by the security experts were focused on Mellissa’s safe and timely release."
"Fung's family was in daily contact with the team at CBC that was trying to negotiate this and help this go forward to the successful conclusion," said CBC journalist Susan Ormiston, who has also filed stories from Afghanistan.
Ormiston said several other reporters have gone into the same camp where Fung was taken. Fung was visiting the camp for internally displaced people to report on refugees who have streamed back into Afghanistan from Pakistan and Iran.
"It's a difficult situation. It's a management of risk all the time, and it's something that we journalists do on a regular basis," she said ....
More on linked title, or here via the Europe Media Monitor aggregator.
Canada's TF Afghanistan commander shares some of his plans for the winter - highlights are mine.
Task Force Kandahar ready for winter
BGen Denis Thompson, Maple Leaf magazine, 3 Dec 08
Article link - .pdf permalink
Quote:
Over the last few weeks, there has been a change in the air here in Kandahar Province. Clouds are appearing in the sky, the temperatures are approaching what Canadians might actually consider habitable, and we even had a brief rain shower a few mornings ago. All this means one thing: winter is coming – and so is a shift in our approach to operations here in Kandahar.
On our deployment to date, we’ve faced some interesting challenges and had successes that we don’t hear enough about.
This summer, we were able to significantly disrupt the insurgents’ command and control network. Many of their mid- and senior-level commanders were neutralized, including several key improvised explosive device (IED) experts. We also seized multiple IED facilities, weapons caches and supply nodes. Eliminating their leadership and disrupting their supply lines has a lasting effect on insurgents’ ability to operate in the province.
Afghan National Security Forces continue to make progress. One of our mentored kandaks [battalions] is assessed to have the highest level of operational readiness of any in the country. This unit is now conducting successful operations in Helmand Province, where the insurgents’ ploy to seize Lashkar Gah was soundly repulsed. This is reminiscent of the Afghan National Army’s quick victory over insurgents in the Arghanda, and another indicator of their growing operational capability.
The Afghan National Police is starting from further behind, but are making substantial progress as well. Of note is the fact that Kandahar City enjoyed relative calm during Independence Day celebrations, Ramadan, Eid, and several recent gatherings in and near the city. The big problem, of course, has been the recent spate of assassinations and attacks but, apparently, [Afghan] National Directorate of Security has recently arrested three individuals believed responsible for several of these murders.
Task Force Kandahar is focussing on two things.
First, we’re going to deepen the level of security in key areas in Kandahar Province, where the majority of the population resides – Kandahar City, the districts of Dand, Daman and Arghandab, and portions of Zharey and Panjwayi. Our aim is to increase local perception of security in these areas, and set the conditions for economic growth and reconstruction and development work.
Second, we’re going to take the fight to the insurgents in areas they consider to be “safe havens”. We have a distinct advantage in that we can continue to conduct operations throughout the cold winter months, while the insurgents are typically limited in the scope of their activities. In the past, many fled to Pakistan during the winter season, but increased anti-insurgent operations along the border region are making this less attractive. Our intent, therefore, is to deny the insurgents the ability to rest, re-supply, and reconstitute their leadership in Kandahar Province this winter. Doing this will force them further from population centres, limit their ability to conduct large-scale operations, and make it increasingly difficult for them to terrorize the population.
Members of Task Force Kandahar put forth an excellent effort on a daily basis. They are making a difference here, in spite of difficult conditions, and Canadians have every reason to be very proud.
First I've seen anyone be so specific - thoughts?
Canadian commander sees Afghan conflict peaking in 2009
GRAEME SMITH, Globe and Mail, 16 Dec 08
Article link
A bit more from the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation here.Quote:
KANDAHAR, AFGHANISTAN — After years of bloody escalations in the Afghan war, the violence will finally start to subside in 2010, according to an unusually bold prediction by a top Canadian commander.
Lieutenant-General Michel Gauthier, responsible for all overseas forces and widely viewed as the most experienced military official on Afghan issues, said he believes an influx of U.S. troops next year will bring a new surge in the violence.
But 2009 will mark an historic peak in the conflict, the commander said, and the level of bloodshed will start to decrease the following year as Afghanistan's government and security forces become strong enough to handle the situation.
“There will be decreased violence in 2010, and increased capacity naturally, especially where we're focused,” he said, referring to Canada's zone of operations in Kandahar.
Many analysts have predicted the Afghan war will grow next year, as thousands of U.S. forces are expected to challenge the Taliban's increasing hold on the country. Brigadier-General Richard Blanchette, NATO's chief spokesman, said recently that he expects greater conflict in 2009.
But the comments from Lieut.-Gen. Gauthier mark the first declaration of Canada's expectations of the results that will be achieved in the next season of fighting. It's a public expression of what other military officials have been saying in private, a “no pain, no gain” philosophy that describes a bigger war as necessary in the short term to achieve progress in the medium term.... (more on link)
Two Friedman units?
That looks like we're really far, far away from success there.
...via Canadian Press:
Quote:
....As many as 20,000 additional U.S. troops are expected to bolster the American ranks by this coming spring - something that's bound to result in an increase in clashes with the Taliban, he noted.
"I think in the early going, with the large influx of U.S. troops, there will be more violence, just as there was more violence this year compared to last year because we have twice the number of combat troops," Gauthier said.
"I fully expect the insurgents will come out in force in 2009 and we will come out in force in 2009 and there will be violence and there will be a higher level of violence than there was in 2008."
Gauthier said he doesn't expect anything to be resolved in the early going, but predicted better security as more Afghan National Army soldiers join the field and NATO's training mechanisms churn out additional Afghan Uniformed Police officers.
That will give the coalition "traction" in terms of security personnel at the same time as the full impact of the U.S. troop surge is felt, he added.....
26 Dec 08 - "One Canadian soldier was killed and three others were injured when their armoured vehicle was struck by an explosion in Zharey District about 12:45 p.m. Kandahar time, December 26, 2008."
27 Dec 08 - "Two Canadian soldiers, as well as one member of the Afghan National Police and one Afghan interpreter were killed on December 27, 2008, when an explosive device detonated in their vicinity in the Panjwayi District."
Condolences to the friends, colleagues and family of the fallen, and hopes for a full and speedy recovery for the wounded.
:(
May they rest in peace.Condolences to the families.
My deepest condolences to the families, friends and comrades of the fallen. For those wounded, I hope for a full and speedy recovery.
Adam L
A reminder once again that although some countries may be said to "carry" a greater share of the burden their families however no matter where they are carry the burden equally. May those who can recover well: for those who can't let us never forget their efforts.