Russia is setting up two new divisional #artillery brigades in Southern MD this year. Fully SPG equipped.
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Russia is setting up two new divisional #artillery brigades in Southern MD this year. Fully SPG equipped.
How @rianru covers a poll saying Americans fear WWIII, versus how @RT_russian covers the same poll.
ProRussian Dutch journalists brought back materials and interviews from the MH17 crash site in a Russian pushed info warfare attack on the Dutch MH17 investigation team....
Dutch law enforcement arrested them when they crossed into Holland and confiscated their materials...and declared it Russian propaganda....
2014 #Dmytrivka @askai707 RU artillerymen of 18th motorized-rifle brig.
Aug2014 #Dmytrivka @askai707 One more photo of RU artillerymen of 18th separate motorized-rifle brigade
'Conservative #Russian groups proved to be talented actors online, recruiting “volunteers” to fight in #Ukraine'
https://globalvoices.org/2017/01/07/...rough-online/#
Russia's good at exploiting weakness but not all-powerful. Putin's mindset limits success. Excellent Kirillova piece
http://euromaidanpress.com/2017/01/0...rillova-says/#
@OSCE_SMM very clear pic of towed howitzer (152mm 2A65 Msta-B) (+ MLRS (122mm BM-21 Grad) & self-propelled howitzers) on 20/7/15
Azor...concerns Russian loses in Donbass.....
Dying for Russia in #Ukraine: My longer #YouTube video, revealing staggering numbers of unmarked graveshttps://youtu.be/fWYW7U1nNlg
#
Some more context on Russia's history of info warfare
http://www.aei.org/publication/russi...gn=fdpaeideas#
Azor.....
#Russia has capacity to start two large-scale mil operations in parallel, mobilizing up to 150 000 troops @FOIresearch
If so, then why did the Russians rely upon one Spetsnaz brigade to secure Crimea in early 2014, out of 25,000 Russian soldiers in Crimea? Why did it take 40,000 Russian soldiers massed on Ukraine's eastern borders only generate 9,000 men in Battalion Tactical Groups in Donbas? Why are Russian soldiers from the Donbas being sent to Syria?
If you have been following the Ukrainian thread since Crimea....the initial Russia invasion of Donbass was well on the other side of 15,000 troops all taken from their professional contract side of the house...some estimates placed the number closer to 17,000.
After the UAF was soundly beaten in an 2014 encirclement most of the invasion troops withdrew to just over the border...leaving a remaining 11,000 inside...that number has sunken to around 5-8,000 depending on what Russia is trying to pressure Ukraine on....
Remember in the initial Russian invasion UAF artillery mainly BM27s caught a Russian mech brigade on the move and Russian loses with wounded were in the range of 200 and ten were captured...virtually wiping out a Tactical BN....
Currently a stable 5,000 is in place...largely separatist unit commanders and XOs and logistics support...coupled with a Spetsnaz Brigade with artillery and armored units .....with elements of recce (UAV/EW) and logistics.....a large number of Russian trainers are "hidden" in the separatist units....
I have been retro posting info that now is being taken from Russian VK accounts and Ukrainian social media analysts are slowly piecing together the actual invasion units....and they talk about brigades not BNs......meaning multiple different BNs forming a common Russian brigade under command of that actual brigade commander...
Right now there is a stand off with spetsnaz...Russian spetsnaz has not launched any attacks in over two full months due to an ambush that caught and killed two full teams and the Russians are unsure just how the UAF found them...
Your last question is easy to answer....they are considered to be combat trained and experienced and if they are Russian usually spetsnaz, artillery and recce (UAV/EW types)....if separatists then with Russian PMU Wagner...
Dutch proRussian blogger Spekkers, who was at Donbas illegally. Detained at Schiphol airport with possible human remains ...they were going to try to discredit the Dutch MH17 investigation.....the question remains on just how they were able to get human remains of the passengers????
http://europe.liveuamap.com/en/2017/...with-possible#
Ukrainian SBU tipped the Dutch to their arrival....
Russian state propaganda mock Baltic states on getting status of Northern Europe by asking will living standard raise or just taxes.
We are now seeing a Russian winter ground offensive for the last week....attacks are averaging over 50 per day now....
Russian proxies attack Ukraine 51 times in last dayhttp://www.unian.info/war/1715151-ru...last-day.html#
Something's cooking?
Russian propaganda screams Ukraine pushing civilians to the front as human shields.
TYPICAL Russian ploy....say and complain the UAF is doing it...WHEN in fact they are doing it....
Fugitive and Former Ukrainian Prime Minister, Nikolai Azarov declares Ukrainian gov in exile could be formedhttp://tass.com/world/924009
Russian tankist published the team from the 17th OMSBr (rus letters) with who he fought in Donbass (rus)
https://informnapalm.org/31443-tanki...v-17-j-omsbr/#
#Debaltseve: Can hear heavy rumble
Northern #Donetsk: Heavy artillery working
#Avdeevka: Heaviest shelling/fighting since New Year
I have been following the thread since Crimea, but I’m going by estimates from Philip Karber of the Potomac Foundation, who has covered Russia’s invasion extensively: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8WA1rP5WGfY
I gather that he was referring specifically to regular professional contract soldiers operating in BTGs, rather than the horde of Russian and local mercenaries of varying skills leavened with SF and intelligence operators (e.g. advisors and trainers).
Overall, I would expect that Russian regulars, irregulars and mercenaries combined total some 15,000 to 17,000, or ~38% of the total insurgent fighting strength.
I also agree that the insurgents are incapable of mounting a successful major offensive (e.g. capturing Mariupol or Kharkiv) without direct and obvious Russian intervention, particularly with airpower and artillery support. Yet the insurgents seem more than capable of blunting a Ukrainian offensive until clandestine Russian reinforcements arrive to shore up the front.
Five Ukrainian Soldiers Wounded Yesterday While Three More Go Missing
http://www.interpretermag.com/day-1057/
NOW a total of FIVE UAF have gone missing assumed captured....but how is not being said....suspect Russian spetsnaz hard at work.....
Vodiane village fired upon by Russian troops in 46 attacks on Ukrainian positions over last 24 hrs
New units keep popping up in #Russia. New tank regiment created and attached to the 1st #tank #army
It's just about a short power outage. Someone might be using Ukraine as a testbed to attack other nations.
https://motherboard.vice.com/read/uk...rce=mbtwitter#
The power outage in Ukraine last month has now been confirmed as a cyberattack.
http://bit.ly/2j41YB7
Strong battle activity in #Makeevka, #Avdeevka and #Vuhlehirsk this afternoon
After a brief lull, battle continues now at Promka, #Avdiivka.
In 2016, Russia spent 3/4 of reserves, money left max for 1,5 years. Putin may attack #Ukraine to divert attention. http://minfin.ru/ru/press-center/pri...=2119&popup=Y#
CSIS Missile Defense @Missile_Defense
New Interactive: The Russia - NATO A2AD Environment
https://missilethreat.csis.org/russi...-environment/#
Ukrainian National Guard field medic captured in occupied Donetsk
http://www.unian.info/war/1718481-uk...-donetsk.html#
NOTE...during the recent quick UAF push to take "grey area" on the Minsk 2 frontline..actually in all Minsk 2 maps this grey area was actually Ukrainian..they were able to grab the area before the Russians and or mercenaries could react and then held it against all subsequent attacks to recapture it....much to the surprise of the Russians....
German intellig. agency:#cyber attack on #OSCE with same tools as 2015 attack on Bundestag by RU hacking group APT28
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ge...idUSKBN14T1SZ#
Reference the crashed TU-154 heading to Syria.......
Today
https://m.lenta.ru/news/2017/01/10/konashenkov/#
… they deny mistake, pilots were experienced.
Russia has initially sited possible pilot error as the cause of the crash.....
Tu154 crash has made different siloviki clans on war footing by accusing via scapegoats each other in the accident.
https://lenta.ru/news/2017/01/10/konashenkov/#
Russian Komsomolska Pravda: Sochi Tu-154 could be destroyed cause of "damage inside luggage compartment"
http://russia.liveuamap.com/en/2017/...u154-could-be#
There was a single solitary lone by itself comment that alluded to the fact that a lot of Russian hybrid warfare experience was destroyed with the crash....SO who was exactly on the plane when it went do that is not being reflected on the passenger list....???
49 Russian supported mercenary attacks on UAF positions..1 KIA...3 WIA
The map is available on:http://mediarnbo.org/2017/01/11/mapa-ato-11-sichnya-2/
NewsMap
26 months after signing the #Minsk agreement, (pro-)#Russian forces still use self-propelled artillery pieces to shell
Pic:Same area,same party,2 years earlier.
The only thing,the @OSCE_SMM can do is to "monitor" this.
Surely no mechanism to implement
An @OSCE_SMM UAV filmed five Russian-supplied (my info) 2S1 Gvozdika, firing 31 122 mm rounds at #Svitlodarsk salient.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mHQQd6DYwT0#…
HUGE geolocation. Respect!
More Russian soldiers during the 2014 offensive inside eastern #Ukraine.
Российские военные из 15-й ОМСБр со своим БТР-82А. Предполагаемое место съёмки: Пионерское Луганской обл. (48.574268, 39.582945). Осень 2014
Three MIA Ukrainian servicemen found killed. Bodies kept by militants.
http://www.unian.info/war/1720721-3-...ts-media.html#
Russian Yuriy Krupnov - #Russia more likely will use nukes against @NATO persistent threats. Russians can't constantly live on their knees.
ATO: Y/day 78 attacks on Ukr pos., w all types of guns from small arms to heavy. Kalinovo-Popasna and Novozvanivka hit by 152-mm artillery.
Kaliningrad assessed by @OSW_eng
#Russia Armed Forces & economy, social, political situation
https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default...ngrad_net.pdf#
Russian MoD have coined medals for their covert military deployment in UKR "Participant of humanitarian convoy 2014"
http://voenpro.ru/voentorg/medal-uch...-konvoya-2014#
Hummmmmmmm.......Russian humanitarian medal for a convoy in 2014....the only Russian convoy's coming into Ukraine in 2014 were active duty Russian invasion forces....ALL so called aid convoy's have been largely resupply runs for the Russian military and or her mercenaries...virtually nothing for local civilians onboard and fuel for the armored vehicles...
The #Kremlin intended to conquer whole #Ukraine by 2015. MoD even coined medal "For taking Kiev, 2015". Now on sale
http://voenpro.ru/voentorg/medal-za-vzyatie-kieva#
THINK Trump and his staff especially his natsec advisor former General Flynn realize this small fact?????
Russia's 76th Air Assault Division base in Pskov 20km from Estonia houses over 10,000 troops.
AND yet Russia is worried about 87 US Abrams tanks in Poland....
Russia "upset" about 87 US tanks & one brigade to Poland. Has 4 brigades in Kaliningrad alone, and a full division facing the Baltic states
Fascinating to track how the #fakenews story about 3,000 extra tanks spread online.
https://medium.com/@DFRLab/three-tho...4d#.rapee7fff#
See below for a list of 80 names (in Ukrainian): http://sprotyv.info/ru/news/kiev/ros...iyskih-voennyhQuote:
At the beginning of 2017 we were able to identify more than 850 Russian military and mercenaries (citizens of the Russian Federation) fighting in Donbas.
62 attack of Russian forces on Ukrainian positions on Friday, 13. 152 mm artillery used against Verhnetoretske, Troitske, Novozvanivka
3 UAF WIAs yesterday
Russian forces made 2 simultaneously ground offensive attempts to attack Ukrainian positions yesterday. Both repelled
http://liveuamap.com/en/2017/14-janu...usly-attempts#
Meanwhile in #Russian-occupied eastern #Ukraine, the Kremlin's "tourists" and local henchmen prepare for more war.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QkDJz_9LmlE
Azor....OSCE reports siting two semi trailer Russian +200 trucks carrying Russian dead back to Rostov on 7 JAN 2017.....
Average load is estimated at 50-75 per truck depending on injuries....#
Russian army 136th Motorized Rifle Brigade T-90A tank crew member who got killed in #Luhansk in 2014.
https://twitter.com/askai707/status/820242637483626497#
14:34 #Horlivka @tgorlovka Over the last 30 min, battle is ongoing in SW. Heavy guns, shooting, everything and anything
Russian supported mercenaries have been making more actual coordinated ground attacks over the last five days....have been probing UAF defensive positons looking for a break through point...
1 Ukrainian soldier reported KIA, 3 WIA.
Russia also shells residential areas in 60 attacks over the last day.
Pro-)#Russian forces attacked an Ukrainian army position near Novoaleksandrovka wit an ATGM causing 1 KIA & 1 WIA among Ukrainians.
Ukraine Reports Fighting Across Nearly The Entire Front: 1 Soldier KIA, 3 Injured, 60 Ceasefire Violations In 24 Hrs
http://bit.ly/2jVbXJK
There is now an ongoing Russian ground offensive underway