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Forum: Europe 3 Days Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Illegal vodka floods the Russian market...

Illegal vodka floods the Russian market (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/illegal-vodka-floods-alcohol-market-as-prices-rise/498073.html) seems to be a trivial aspect of the Russian...
Forum: Europe 3 Days Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Some news about the Russian budget...

Some news about the Russian budget (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-20/u-s-cedes-top-spot-in-russian-reserves-to-france-for-first-time.html)



Russia was recently unable to sell it's bonds...
Forum: Europe 3 Days Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
So it seems that the Ukrainian leadership has at...

So it seems that the Ukrainian leadership has at last decided to confront the military aggression with military means. It is a dangerous path, but what were the alternatives? Letting Russia taking...
Forum: Asia-Pacific 3 Days Ago
Replies: 729
Views: 88,296
Posted By Firn
I don't want to conjure a SU-style implosion but...

I don't want to conjure a SU-style implosion but Yegor Gaidar's book (http://www.amazon.com/Collapse-Empire-Lessons-Modern-Russia/dp/0815731140) contains a gem of quote:

When Gerorgy...
Forum: Europe 3 Days Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Indeed it is just a non-aligned country which has...

Indeed it is just a non-aligned country which has been invaded by Russia, not a NATO or EU country. Sadly from an Ukrainian perspective it seems to be a difference between day and night.

From an...
Forum: Europe 1 Week Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
I'm not quite up to date but I found this Moscow...

I'm not quite up to date but I found this Moscow Times article (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/russia-may-rewrite-budget-rules-to-accommodate-crimea-spending/497882.html) interesting...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 38
Views: 6,605
Posted By Firn
Collapse of an Empire: Lessons for Modern Russia...

Collapse of an Empire: Lessons for Modern Russia (http://www.amazon.com/Collapse-Empire-Lessons-Modern-Russia/dp/0815731140/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1396640760&sr=8-1&keywords=gaidar) by Yegor Gaidar,...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Nobody knows what will happen in political terms...

Nobody knows what will happen in political terms in Russia if a recession or even a depression hits the economy. As you said in some instances you are puzzled just how bad things can go worse and...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
As Russia Stumbles, Gazprom Comes Up $910 Billion...

As Russia Stumbles, Gazprom Comes Up $910 Billion Short (http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-04-02/gazprom-s-910-billion-gaffe-shows-putin-woes-russia-overnight).



Indeed, it is not so much...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
And as capital flees from Russia raising it's...

And as capital flees from Russia raising it's borrowing costs it flows to a large degree into Western treasuries reducing theirs. The irony. :D

Some good background music...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Capital controls, what capital controls? The...

Capital controls, what capital controls? The Russian Minister of Economic Development says njet (http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000264018), at least he has now plans. Of course he wouldn't say...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
The state-owned Sberbank, the largest Russian...

The state-owned Sberbank, the largest Russian bank IIRC, has stopped granting foreign currency loans...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Economic Downturn [may] Forces State-Run Firms to...

Economic Downturn [may] Forces State-Run Firms to Consider Dividend Cut (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/economic-downturn-forces-state-run-firms-to-consider-dividend-cut/497317.html)...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Some news from the financial front: First April,...

Some news from the financial front: First April, first day (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/central-bank-marks-first-day-without-intervention-to-defend-ruble-in-5-months/497361.html)...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
That's a good question for which I do not have a...

That's a good question for which I do not have a quick answer. Capacity would be nice to know as well.

Those maps gives you a nice snapshot about networks but those pesky 'details' are another...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Global and Russian Energy Sector at the...

Global and Russian Energy Sector at the Crossroad: New Challenges (http://www.arcticgas.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Mitrova-Embassy-06-12-2013.pdf) by Dr. Tatiana Mitrova, the Head of Oil and...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Russias pipelines, obviously pretty dense in the...

Russias pipelines, obviously pretty dense in the relative densely populated West, with no transibirian one...


http://en.ria.ru/images/16816/70/168167065.jpg


Chinas network:
...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Outlaw First, this graph from 2012 by...

Outlaw

First, this graph from 2012 by Russia's Federal Costum Service seems to indicated a higher trade share of the $ and € zones then Mr. Kostin suggests:
...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Just to finish it off for the day, some graphics...

Just to finish it off for the day, some graphics about various budget breakeven prices.

http://themoscownews.com/images/18894/61/188946126.jpg

...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
The 'energy weapon' is rather unwieldy as far as...

The 'energy weapon' is rather unwieldy as far as I can see. We discussed the postive changes which can be achieved on the own playing field. Driving down demand by increased energy efficieny, broader...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Outlaw, there is no doubt that Russia needs high...

Outlaw, there is no doubt that Russia needs high commodity prices to finance it's budget. From it's production costs, especially in the future and it's budget position Russia is in a dangerous spot...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
@outlaw09: I think the Ukrainian government would...

@outlaw09: I think the Ukrainian government would be foolish to serve any loan or liability to the Russian government or de-facto SOE like Gazprom. The higher their debt becomes to that bunch the...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
That's a good question. We already a nice graph...

That's a good question. We already a nice graph of the Ukrainian energy consumption:

http://www.euanmearns.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/ukraine_energy_consumption.png

Now I found a stunning...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Gazprom raises gas prices for Ukraine by almost...

Gazprom raises gas prices for Ukraine by almost 50% (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-01/gazprom-raises-gas-export-price-as-ukraine-looks-for-cash.html).



This comes as no surprise. In...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,219
Views: 42,684
Posted By Firn
Now to the more certain grounds of economics: ...

Now to the more certain grounds of economics:

Playing Russian Roulette With Sanctions and Oil Prices...
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