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  1. Replies
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    Using UCAVs to shoot down North Korean ICBMs

    From Garwin and Postal at FAS: https://fas.org/rlg/airborne.pdf
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    They've had plenty of time to do it themselves,...

    They've had plenty of time to do it themselves, and put all of their resources into it. It is, after all, a more than 50-year old technology...
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    Military Options for North Korea

    Recently, the Congressional Research Service produced a report, providing 7 military options for Congress to consider (https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/R44994.pdf):

    1. Maintain Military Status Quo
    ...
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    My Conventional Limited First Strike Scenario

    Please feel free to comment and critique...My thesis is that North Korea's WMD capabilities and conventional Seoul-threatening artillery can both be knocked out.


    1. Washington confers with...
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    North Korea now making missile-ready nuclear weapons, U.S. analysts say

    From The Washington Post:...
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    Technical Analysis of North Korean Capabilities by 38 North

    John Schilling: What is True and Not True About North Korea’s Hwasong-14 ICBM: A Technical Evaluation (July 10, 2017)

    Introduction:




    The Hwasong-14 cannot carry multiple warheads or...
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    Commentary from CNI on North Korea

    These are the final opinions that I will be posting. Curiously, Heritage and RAND have been notably silent on how to address the July 4th "firework"...

    Harry J. Kazianis from the Center for the...
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    A Sampling of Opinions Following North Korea's July 4th ICBM Test

    Robert E. Kelly at the Lowy Institute (Australia): Learning to live with a Nuclear North Korean ICBM (July 11, 2017)


    There can be no preemptive attacks on North Korea by the U.S. because South...
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    Avoiding Apocalypse on the Korean Peninsula: Diplomacy is not appeasement

    From Rajan Menon at TomDispatch, published at War Is Boring: http://warisboring.com/avoiding-apocalypse-on-the-korean-peninsula/

    Selected excerpts:
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    Thinking Through a North Korean Downfall

    https://mwi.usma.edu/thinking-north-korean-downfall/

    By Maj. M.L. Kavanaugh
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    Thunder Run: Assessing North Korea's War Plan

    https://mwi.usma.edu/thunder-run-seoul-assessing-north-koreas-war-plan

    By Lt. Col. Raymond Farrell, Canadian Forces

    Selected Excerpts:
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    Pottinger is partly correct. Certainly,...

    Pottinger is partly correct. Certainly, Pyongyang believes that a nuclear deterrent will allow it to blackmail the international community to prop up the Kim dynasty materially as North Korea will...
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    Well, hold on. Iraq never surrendered its...

    Well, hold on. Iraq never surrendered its nuclear weapons program; on the contrary, it ran out of resources due to the disastrous wars in Iran and Kuwait.

    The countries that did dismantle their...
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    To Outlaw 09 RE: North Korea

    I trust Bill Richardson on North Korea as much as I trust Dennis Rodman.



    Are you serious?

    The record shows frequent and deadly North Korean acts of war against South Korea, Japan and the...
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    Agreed, Bill. The "wag the dog" slogan is...

    Agreed, Bill.

    The "wag the dog" slogan is merely part of the 2016 Campaign that never ended in November. If the current president softens on Kim, then he is a Russian agent dismantling American...
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    Analyzing North Korea's Missile Parade: Prescription For Fear, Dose Of Reality

    From Tyler Rogoway at TheWarzone: http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/9331/analyzing-north-koreas-missile-parade-prescription-for-fear-dose-of-reality
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    RE: Kim's new toys

    David,

    I think there is a measure of sensationalism at work here.

    There are no indications that these new designs are anything other than cosmetic revisions or that they even work. As for...
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    Imminent Nuclear Test?

    https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/852283171546816512


    https://twitter.com/TheBaseLeg/status/852037451480616960
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    Cigars and Brandy

    My personal opinion, is that Xi and Trump will arrive at an agreement over cigars and brandy, not unlike how Churchill and Stalin did with regard to German-occupied Eastern Europe.

    It would...
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