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Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 12-21-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
A couple of minor, yet significant refinements: ...

A couple of minor, yet significant refinements:

I believe that an essential concept for understanding insurgency, and by correlation, being able to design and implement effective COIN campaigns,...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-28-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
My point was that the Saudis DO NOT sell us...

My point was that the Saudis DO NOT sell us discount oil in exchange for commiting our national treasure, reputation and blood to their continued defense. They see it as their right.

The Saudis...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-28-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
You are arguing with an example of how to operationalize, not with the model

Read the paper. There are 4 causal perceptions as assessed through the eyes of the populace. Does the populace perceive that the system of law as applied to them to be just. In the example the way...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-28-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Things I'll be thinking about during the Kabul 1/2 Marathon this morning

All of this is complex stuff. The Model I have worked up is intentionally designed to provide a simple, general framework to help sort through all of that complexity to focus on what is really...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Slap, good catch.

Yes, Impossible.

As an aside, during QDR one of the service reps (Brigadier) in the session I was in, tried to put "regime change" on the table as a future mission that we needed to resource and...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
For what it's worth on the indian stuff; our GWOT...

For what it's worth on the indian stuff; our GWOT strategy is almost a direct lift from our strategy for subduing the Sioux. Pick a leader for them, expect them to govern and live like us, then...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Close, but not just anyone. If a significant...

Close, but not just anyone.

If a significant distinct segment of a populace does, with the armed aspect being much like the above surface portion of an iceburg, yes. It is the duty and the right...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Go to the link below. Just look at the map for a...

Go to the link below. Just look at the map for a while. As you look at the map, ask yourself, how many of these states that are deemed most troubled have "benefited" from Colonialism?

Look at the...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Exactly.

"COIN" is just a fancy word for a government doing the best it can to support its own populace. As day to day governance grows more and more out of touch with its populace the populace discontent...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
???

No, the objective is for the Governance of a particular populace to gain a better understanding and empathy for the concerns of their own populace; and to rededicate themselves to meeting those...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
All critical causal factors are as viewed from...

All critical causal factors are as viewed from the perspective of the populace in question.

What foreigners think matters not at all; and typically the HN counterinsurgent is blind to what the...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-27-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Getting back on track:

Today's Development-Focused Population Centric COIN is very focused on producing effects that I would categorize as "Critical Capabilities." These are capabilities that one would expect to see as...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-26-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Dayuan, My message is to stop meddling,...

Dayuan,

My message is to stop meddling, not to meddle. To back out of roles where we are perceived as the source of legitimacy of governments that lack popular support. As you say, many of...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-26-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
I think my assessment of history is fine, but I...

I think my assessment of history is fine, but I am open minded.

When I was with the Egyptian Army, they all believed quite seriously that they had never lost a war with Israel.

When I talk to...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-26-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
And I am advocating that Great Britain (and all...

And I am advocating that Great Britain (and all of Colonial Europe for that matter) are examples of Empires that crumbled under the very tactics you profess, and that we study so closely today.
...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-26-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
In Oman the Sultan, said "defeat the rebels, - so...

In Oman the Sultan, said "defeat the rebels, - so that development can begin."
In most UK insurgencies the basic guidance was "defeat the rebels - so as we can organise the peaceful transfer of...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-26-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
You have come to a critical point in your thinking

The responsibility for Good Governance DOES rest solely on the government. That is why it is called "service" or "duty". When governmental leaders begin to think of the populace as existing to...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-25-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Recognizing that you don't understand the point of this particular thread

There is a good chance your persistent posts consisting of "I disagree" or "I don't understand" don't lend much to the SWJ community. There are dozens of other threads on this site where your...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-25-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
While I will refrain from simply replying "Jackass..."

I will instead refer you to page 9 of the document you felt you free to deride without the benefit of a quick scan first to see how it might measure up to your dogma:

"Nonviolent resistance is a...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-25-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
When the opposing armed force IS the populace,...

When the opposing armed force IS the populace, how do you leave them out of it at the same time you are merrily militarily crushing them?

I had an opportune discussion with Dr. Maria Stephan this...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-25-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Smile I draw comfort from knowing the Ken counseled my predecesors too

Young Henry Ford was too wed to the idea that horseless carriages were better than the way we had always done it with horses;

Those darn Wright brothers and their fool contraption were way to...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-24-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Karazai, Mullah Omar and President Obama could...

Karazai, Mullah Omar and President Obama could all sit in a room and debate why they each think that they have the best answer for what good governance is for the people of Afghanistan; and of course...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-24-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
What the Taliban want is moot.

COIN is not about defeating the insurgent, COIN is about out competing the insurgent for the support of the populace. If the populace believes that the insurgent is more likely to provide Good...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-24-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Some only need the model, some need a methodology.

Recently MG Carter looked his commanders and staff in the eye and told them during a planning meeting for Kandahar: "The key to Hamkari is the creation of representative governance and...
Forum: Government Agencies & Officials 05-24-2010
Replies: 136
Views: 57,181
Posted By Bob's World
Hmmm...

Good thing that "CvC, Thucydides, and a few others" didn't share that inclination!

All "Ideas" are by definition "new" at least to the person having them. Few things are truly new of course.
...
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