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  1. Replies
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    To me, this appears entirely irrelevant. ...

    To me, this appears entirely irrelevant.

    Before the USA invaded Iraq, in 2003, the US "national interests" in that country were even lower than nowadays in Libya. So, that with "present worth of...
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    Bob, you've got some excellent points. For...

    Bob,
    you've got some excellent points.

    For example:
    The US is sending out a dangerous Strategic Communications in our posture on Libya. That message is:

    "The US will not back up despotic...
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    Agreed. The probably most "cost & time effective"...

    Agreed. The probably most "cost & time effective" would be a mix like that from 1995, when NATO bombed the Serbs. Air attacks pinned the Serbs down and destroyed their C3 capability while the Croats...
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    Libyan SAMs are not really an issue. Their IADS...

    Libyan SAMs are not really an issue. Their IADS was never completely constructed, never overhauled since Libya "opened" again and thus hopelessly obsolete (no pice of equipment there is "younger"...
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    Depends on the troops that would operate these...

    Depends on the troops that would operate these SA-18s: if they can cope with plenty of people who have quite a few very personal "bills" to pay back, bunches of youngsters firing their AKs - or...
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    I'd say, "all possible". From local contacts and...

    I'd say, "all possible". From local contacts and contacts in neighbouring countries (established in course of my research; see here why, as example), to careful scanning through all sorts of media,...
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    I said "three brigades in and around Tripoli", of...

    I said "three brigades in and around Tripoli", of which "large parts" are attacking az-Zawiya.

    These three brigades have around 6,000 troops: the population of az-Zawiya is differently reported...
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    In and around Tripoli, the regime should have an...

    In and around Tripoli, the regime should have an equivalent of three brigades (5th, 32nd and one called Kuwelidi al-Hamidi). Large parts of these are busy assaulting az-Zawiya since four or five...
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    Obviously, this is the crucial question (i.e. how...

    Obviously, this is the crucial question (i.e. how long can the regime hold out at the current rate of fighting).

    Usually, countries have anything between 6 and 12 months of strategic reserve in...
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    Pakistanis used to train Egyptian and Libyan...

    Pakistanis used to train Egyptian and Libyan pilots on Mirage 5s of the Libyan Arab Republic Air Force, in Libya, back in the early 1970s (before and during the 1973 Arab-Israeli War).

    They might...
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    Sorry, was busy monitoring the air warfare in...

    Sorry, was busy monitoring the air warfare in Libya....and there is a lot of it.

    The Libyans appear to fly less than they used to before the outbreak of the unrest, and their pilots...
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