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    The primaries will be decided by what...

    The primaries will be decided by what "separatist" leader the Kremlin favors, and which one the Kremlin has found to be a liability and worthy of assassination.
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    To Outlaw 09

    Most Germans believe that migrants will increase the likelihood of terrorism and that Muslims want to be “distinct” (July 11, 2016)

    The fact that Germans believe that their economy and social...
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    Ah, Der Spiegel

    Outlaw 09 may agree with many Germans on the value of the European Union ;), but Germans clearly disagree with him on the value of the trans-Atlantic alliance. Despite the pressure that Merkel has...
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    Western Betrayal Redux?

    To be fair, Outlaw has been on this since Minsk I...

    According to Vladimir Socor at the Jamestown Foundation:


    ...
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    Updates from the Warsaw Pact (Meeting)

    https://twitter.com/Interpreter_Mag/status/751453598173761536

    Francois Hollande: "NATO has no role at all to be saying what Europe’s relations with Russia should be. For France, Russia is not an...
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    This is why I've been hesitant to refer to Putin...

    This is why I've been hesitant to refer to Putin as a chess master as the Western press is wont to do every time he does something surprising:


    The Kremlin has signaled its interest in Abkhazia,...
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    Or it could be that the Kremlin believes that the...

    Or it could be that the Kremlin believes that the decision has already been made and its aggressive moves are an attempt to change it...

    I believe that Putin was taken aback by the Ukrainian...
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    The more Russian strategists consider severing...

    The more Russian strategists consider severing the Baltics from Poland, the more Sweden or Finland's accession to NATO makes sense as a way to facilitate access to the Baltics. This could also be...
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    Yes I know. But Russia no longer has the same...

    Yes I know. But Russia no longer has the same cordon sanitaire that the Warsaw Pact provided.

    Kaliningrad serves to obstruct any attempt to marshal forces in the Baltics for an invasion, but if...
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    Lukashenko has been adept at playing both sides. ...

    Lukashenko has been adept at playing both sides. He is well aware that the EU would be less critical of a Russian incursion into Belarus than it was over Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Belarus is...
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    Putin's July 4th message...

    Putin's July 4th message:

    CNN: ..."The history of Russian-American relations shows that when we act as equal partners and respect each other's lawful interests, we are able to successfully resolve...
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    From Donbas to Belarus?

    I've long argued that Putin is far more likely to attack Belarus or Kazakhstan than the Baltics, as the former two are:


    Not protected by any major and/or nuclear-armed powers
    Hold more...
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