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Search: Posts Made By: jcustis
Forum: Historians 4 Days Ago
Replies: 46
Views: 66,562
Posted By jcustis
The realist in me says that “defeat” is no longer...

The realist in me says that “defeat” is no longer in the cards.
Forum: Historians 4 Days Ago
Replies: 46
Views: 66,562
Posted By jcustis
I’ve long considered this rebellion most relevant...

I’ve long considered this rebellion most relevant to courses of action to defeat the TB in AFG. Alas, Pakistan’s proximity and degree of support tilts the situation.
Forum: Asia-Pacific 5 Days Ago
Replies: 132
Views: 66,243
Posted By jcustis
The more I that I think through the problem, the...

The more I that I think through the problem, the more I believe the U.S. should just round up the money to fund the reconstruction, re-settlement, infrastructure repair/upgrades we’d have to deal...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 12-03-2017
Replies: 22
Views: 116,172
Posted By jcustis
Indeed.

Indeed.
Forum: Media, Information & Cyber Warriors 10-25-2017
Replies: 12
Views: 8,842
Posted By jcustis
I am not surprised at all that Russian-sponsored...

I am not surprised at all that Russian-sponsored bots have been deployed to serve as foot soldiers in these disinformation campaigns.

https://www.byline.com/column/67/article/1906
Forum: Middle East 11-03-2015
Replies: 35
Views: 25,837
Posted By jcustis
But bombs going off in cargo holds don't...

But bombs going off in cargo holds don't necessarily cause flash burn injuries.

Exploding fuel might cause that, and when you look at the photos of the airframe wreckage on the ground (sans the...
Forum: Middle East 11-02-2015
Replies: 35
Views: 25,837
Posted By jcustis
My guess is they are not flying over the Sinai...

My guess is they are not flying over the Sinai for illogical reasons, the seats just can't be sold, and they have to show due diligence on being "careful".

No matter the final determination of the...
Forum: Middle East 11-02-2015
Replies: 35
Views: 25,837
Posted By jcustis
This seems to show that the only thing missing...

This seems to show that the only thing missing onthe ground was the tail:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/nov/01/russian-plane-crash-airbus-broke-up-in-mid-air
Forum: Middle East 11-01-2015
Replies: 35
Views: 25,837
Posted By jcustis
The facts don't add up to an IS attack at the...

The facts don't add up to an IS attack at the moment.

The aircraft was at 31K feet when contact was lost, and air traffic control radar analysis has highlighted a rapid drop (less than 30...
Forum: Middle East 07-21-2015
Replies: 4
Views: 38,217
Posted By jcustis
Yes, the reality of Sunni populations in Iraq has...

Yes, the reality of Sunni populations in Iraq has to be reconciled with in any future incarnation of the Iraqi state.
Forum: Middle East 06-22-2015
Replies: 4
Views: 38,217
Posted By jcustis
Shi'a Arabs would not be a minority in any Iraq...

Shi'a Arabs would not be a minority in any Iraq that had not broken down into three autonomous regions.

http://www.iranreview.org/file/cms/files/iraq-ethnoreligious-groups-2003-2013.jpg

I...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 06-15-2015
Replies: 67
Views: 88,614
Posted By jcustis
I recently purchased a group of books, and the...

I recently purchased a group of books, and the most important one is a reprint of JEAN LARTGUY's (1920-2011) classic "The Centurions" which was only released on May 19th, 2015.

As I get ready to...
Forum: Middle East 05-26-2015
Replies: 8
Views: 22,370
Posted By jcustis
Interesting that this post shows up a weekend...

Interesting that this post shows up a weekend after I return from supporting Exercise EAGER LION for 35 days in Amman. I'll be the lead planner for it next year and already have about six months of...
Forum: Intelligence 02-19-2015
Replies: 64
Views: 96,167
Posted By jcustis
Sir, could you expand on that and what you mean...

Sir, could you expand on that and what you mean by directed leadership?
Forum: Europe 01-12-2015
Replies: 246
Views: 125,637
Posted By jcustis
Sadly David, his story will not get an...

Sadly David, his story will not get an appropriate degree of attention for the truth holds, because it doesn't fit the narratives of the inciters feeding on this incident. Great post nonetheless.
Forum: Africa 12-30-2014
Replies: 231
Views: 145,300
Posted By jcustis
If you blinked you might have missed it

Former Special Envoy to Somalia, Ambassador Robert Oakley, passed away at age 83 earlier this month.
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-24-2014
Replies: 183
Views: 154,905
Posted By jcustis
Middle East Urban Areas, MOUT, and COIN

You'd be surprised what people run search queries for around these parts.

No commentary, but posted because we will need the information again in the future...and someone has already done some of...
Forum: Middle East 11-20-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
Are you implying that President Bush thought the...

Are you implying that President Bush thought the insurgents (and insurgency) were defeated, and that perhaps he discounted the intelligence reports that "said otherwise"?

I ask because although...
Forum: Middle East 11-19-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
I watched these sort of fledgling efforts wallow...

I watched these sort of fledgling efforts wallow around before; in 2004. It was a #### show then, and with a precedent that powerful we can expect to see it happen again in 2015.
Forum: Middle East 11-19-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
Yup.

Yup.
Forum: Middle East 11-19-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
Bill, I have long been of the opinion that...

Bill,

I have long been of the opinion that there are no absolute right or wrong answers. We run the risk of loosing our way trying to find those absolutes, or trying to defend them as such,[
...
Forum: Middle East 11-18-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
That has been a long-standing practice among Jews...

That has been a long-standing practice among Jews who are not Sabras, but want to serve Israel's armed forces. Common enough that I've seen a number of news articles about it and a Nat Geo expose...
Forum: Middle East 11-18-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
Haven't the policies regarding those issues...

Haven't the policies regarding those issues changed over the years, directly as a result of problems arising from clearance/citizenship conflicts?
Forum: Middle East 11-17-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
If modern COIN concepts seem to hold very little...

If modern COIN concepts seem to hold very little power as a model for action at the moment--or at least rely so heavily on the right mix of balanced strategic objectives and achievable policy goals...
Forum: Middle East 08-24-2014
Replies: 1,149
Views: 247,621
Posted By jcustis
The collectors, analysts, targeteers are doing...

The collectors, analysts, targeteers are doing exactly what needs to be done, considering a far broader set of constraints that they face. Those constraints are not the fault of the IC.
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