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Forum: Futurists & Theorists 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 4
Views: 3,717
Posted By Bob's World
A few thoughts on revolutionary insurgency and...

A few thoughts on revolutionary insurgency and how to deal with it:

1. This type of internal (even if external parties come to play, as they typically do) is not really war, but is better thought...
Forum: International Politics 09-14-2015
Replies: 7
Views: 7,727
Posted By Bob's World
"Strategy of retrenchment"! "Can't abandon your...

"Strategy of retrenchment"!
"Can't abandon your allies"!
"Isolationist"!
"Appeasement"!

We love to use words like pointy sticks, to poke meaningless holes in the worthy positions of those we...
Forum: Asia-Pacific 08-11-2015
Replies: 19
Views: 8,147
Posted By Bob's World
China's actions are consistent with those of...

China's actions are consistent with those of rising powers throughout history, only colored by their own unique geography, history and culture.

They are doing what we would do in their place, only...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 08-11-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
While all of this is very unfortunate, it is...

While all of this is very unfortunate, it is certainly not unpredictable.

Governments and security forces established by a foreign power are going to be fundamentally lacking in popular legitimacy...
Forum: Middle East 08-10-2015
Replies: 3,804
Views: 115,571
Posted By Bob's World
Yes, we must operate based upon true interests;...

Yes, we must operate based upon true interests; not the after the fact interests we use so often to rationalize poor decisions today.

Facilitating self determination, and garnering influence with...
Forum: Middle East 08-10-2015
Replies: 3,804
Views: 115,571
Posted By Bob's World
Yes, the Sunni-Arab populations of Syria and Iraq...

Yes, the Sunni-Arab populations of Syria and Iraq both believe the Shia dominated governments over them offer no future. They also realize that the US removal of the Saddam regime served to extend...
Forum: Asia-Pacific 07-27-2015
Replies: 96
Views: 65,571
Posted By Bob's World
One major side effect of the US invasion of Iraq...

One major side effect of the US invasion of Iraq was the destabilization of the Shia-Sunni line of competition that once lie along the Iraq-Iran border.

Where is that line now? Along the northern...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 07-04-2015
Replies: 66
Views: 7,492
Posted By Bob's World
We need aptitude far more than skills. The role...

We need aptitude far more than skills. The role of Special Forces is not to fix broken governance, but rather to understand and leverage the energy that broken governance generates within the...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 07-03-2015
Replies: 66
Views: 7,492
Posted By Bob's World
Nations are rarely at war, which is not the same...

Nations are rarely at war, which is not the same as an absence of conflict. The US has not been at war since 1945 - but we often have troops engaged in various conflicts here or there. Heck, we...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 07-02-2015
Replies: 66
Views: 7,492
Posted By Bob's World
Reorganization is what military leaders do when...

Reorganization is what military leaders do when they know things aren't as good as they could be, but have no real idea what the problem is or how to fix it.

A couple of "simple" fixes:

1. We...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 06-11-2015
Replies: 29
Views: 15,891
Posted By Bob's World
"Good Fences Make Good Neighbors" - fortunately...

"Good Fences Make Good Neighbors" - fortunately for the US we have a great "fence" between us and China. What is really at risk is US Influence relative to China's. We need to trust more in the...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 06-11-2015
Replies: 29
Views: 15,891
Posted By Bob's World
Bill, I ran across and read that...

Bill,

I ran across and read that yesterday. Very important indeed. The quote that came to mind for me is "I drank your milkshake."

In the movie "There will be Blood" (note, this is my...
Forum: Law Enforcement 06-10-2015
Replies: 40
Views: 12,094
Posted By Bob's World
Numbers need to be normalized for size of...

Numbers need to be normalized for size of population.

Also very important to note, is that "Suicide by Cop" is a very popular form of suicide in the US, in which case it is the police officer, not...
Forum: Europe 05-31-2015
Replies: 240
Views: 126,689
Posted By Bob's World
The UK has always possessed a much more realistic...

The UK has always possessed a much more realistic appreciation of geo-strategy than the US. I suspect they are also a bit weary of being dragged into an endless string of US-led foreign...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 05-25-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
One cannot train a soldier to fight for what he...

One cannot train a soldier to fight for what he does not believe in.

We always want to make these things objective and measureable. Create a government. Check. Create a military. Check. Employ...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 05-17-2015
Replies: 447
Views: 134,595
Posted By Bob's World
Fair point. Crowd sourced discussions enjoy an...

Fair point. Crowd sourced discussions enjoy an agility that staid academic peer-review processes cannot compete with.

I suspect the peer-review process also slows the ability to get new ideas...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 05-17-2015
Replies: 447
Views: 134,595
Posted By Bob's World
We've been talking about ISIS as the government...

We've been talking about ISIS as the government of the de facto Sunni Arab state for months now. No news there. All this says is that Dave reads SWJ too...
Forum: Middle East 05-17-2015
Replies: 11
Views: 2,843
Posted By Bob's World
Few US foreign relationships have been more...

Few US foreign relationships have been more dysfunctional and out of date/balance in recent years than those with Israel and the KSA. There will be a bit of back and forth until we find a new...
Forum: Asia-Pacific 05-13-2015
Replies: 19
Views: 8,147
Posted By Bob's World
If we bump with China, I would be very surprised...

If we bump with China, I would be very surprised indeed if there was not significant action in both space and cyber. These are domains we both compete within and build capabilities either designed...
Forum: Asia-Pacific 05-08-2015
Replies: 19
Views: 8,147
Posted By Bob's World
Nations do not expand their sovereignty based on...

Nations do not expand their sovereignty based on legal merit (particularly when what is legal or illegal is largely established by their opponents). Nations expand their sovereignty when they...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 05-07-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
Democracy has four fundamental components: 1....

Democracy has four fundamental components:
1. Political in primary purpose,
2. Population - based,
3. Internal to a single system of governance, &
4. Legal in form.

Revolutionary insurgency...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 05-07-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
We will never get better at COIN, until we first...

We will never get better at COIN, until we first get better at our understanding of insurgency.
Revolution, internal to a single system and non-war; resistance, the continuation of warfare by an...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 05-07-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
Internal revolution, illegal politics, to coerce...

Internal revolution, illegal politics, to coerce change upon or to force out some existing domestic system of governance, is indeed timeless. The specific approaches developed by Mao in China, and...
Forum: OEF - Afghanistan 05-05-2015
Replies: 39
Views: 20,004
Posted By Bob's World
Bill, Of course it was phase three of the...

Bill,

Of course it was phase three of the insurgency that consolidated Vietnam. North and South "states" were a Western fiction created in the midst of an ongoing movement to liberate the whole...
Forum: Doctrine & TTPs 05-02-2015
Replies: 18
Views: 5,089
Posted By Bob's World
You wrote about AQI, That is what I...

You wrote about AQI,

That is what I responded to in regards to Iraq. We brought AQ to Iraq when we invaded. You add that we also facilitated AQ to gain an earlier toe hold with our no-fly zone....
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