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Search: Posts Made By: Firn
Forum: Europe 3 Days Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
So they took out the big interest rate bazooka. I...

So they took out the big interest rate bazooka. I confess I'm surprised by the boldness of the move.

It is just amazing to see such a vast gulf between the interest rates of the Western World and...
Forum: Military - Other 1 Week Ago
Replies: 111
Views: 11,089
Posted By Firn
Looking back it is amazing how quickly key...

Looking back it is amazing how quickly key institutions of the USA endorsed wide-spread torture and too which degree they tried to justify with 'legal' arguments. Considering the incredible...
Forum: Europe 1 Week Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
The head winds have gathered even greater force...

The head winds have gathered even greater force and thus the CBR did it (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-11/russia-raises-rates-to-end-ruble-run-as-rout-ravages-economy-1-.html), for the fifth...
Forum: Europe 1 Week Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Putin's speech strenghtens some the fears for the...

Putin's speech strenghtens some the fears for the Russian economy. He wants to appear strong and to avoid any sign of weakness and thus strides firmly down the ever darker economic road.

Of...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
The jump in emigration in 2014 is quite large,...

The jump in emigration in 2014 is quite large, still I'm pretty sure that the partly ethnic Russians fleeing the fighting and dispair in Dobnas over the open border will more then balance it out even...
Forum: Law Enforcement 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 23
Views: 6,610
Posted By Firn
With Obama's Support, Police Body Cameras Could...

With Obama's Support, Police Body Cameras Could Become the New Normal (http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-12-02/obamas-plan-would-almost-double-use-of-police-body-cams#r=hp-ls)



I'm...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
...and busy they are, and doing well it seems...

...and busy they are, and doing well it seems (http://bigstory.ap.org/article/166097f662ec4e6e899b14c12e9a0c58/change-leadership-crimea-means-property-grab).



Looks like a Russian robbery in...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
I think one has to be quite careful with an...

I think one has to be quite careful with an assumption of oil around 45 or less, or with any. That it gets discussed shows how many animal spirits react to the often mentioned supply glut.

High...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
In some cases you will reach success only through...

In some cases you will reach success only through almost heroic effort, but if something makes little if any economic sense you have to ask yourself Pyotr Shumakov's question: 'Who needs this “heroic...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 36
Views: 2,383
Posted By Firn
From Anton's blog...

From Anton's blog (http://anton-shekhovtsov.blogspot.be/2014/11/the-french-far-right-secure-9m-loan.html), mentioned by Kaur:



I would add Italy to that list, with the Lega Nord. Even among the...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 118
Views: 25,001
Posted By Firn
I think looking at history moral courage,...

I think looking at history moral courage, standing up against more powerful ones at one's risk, even if it is just for a prank, doesn't necessarily come easy (even) for people with a record of...
Forum: Europe 2 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Yes outlaw, the oil rout in recent weeks,...

Yes outlaw, the oil rout in recent weeks, especially the last days was indeed an amazing thing to watch. Show me the expert which predicted it at those levels and was not almost anytime wrong in the...
Forum: Europe 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 36
Views: 2,383
Posted By Firn
Zeman got elected after a rather dirty campaign,...

Zeman got elected after a rather dirty campaign, fitting seemingly the man which has acted in style...
Forum: South Asia 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 2
Views: 1,491
Posted By Firn
Perhaps just a quick comparision with the US LE...

Perhaps just a quick comparision with the US LE deaths (http://www.nleomf.org/facts/officer-fatalities-data/causes.html):



Roughly 150 per year, 1 out of 6000. It is difficult to break down the...
Forum: Europe 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 1,268
Views: 43,293
Posted By Firn
As somebody which has advocated early quick and...

As somebody which has advocated early quick and harsh sanctions against Russia I think it is honest to say that we don't know how those might have worked out. I tend to think better at that critical...
Forum: Europe 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
More interesting, from an economic point of view,...

More interesting, from an economic point of view, are the various difficulties...
Forum: Europe 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
@Outlaw: Inflation, especially in the food sector...

@Outlaw: Inflation, especially in the food sector was certainly strong (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/staple-foods-rising-prices-to-hit-russian-consumers/511557.html) in this year...
Forum: Europe 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Good catch. The lack of activity is of course not...

Good catch. The lack of activity is of course not surprising if you consider the great shift away from far more modern European yards to Asian, especially South Koreans ones.

Maybe that LLC...
Forum: Europe 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
@Outlaw: I'm always a bit amused on how quickly...

@Outlaw: I'm always a bit amused on how quickly and massively some analysts change their forecasts, happens also for listed companies. Of course I can afford to have no opinion on the future oil...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-07-2014
Replies: 118
Views: 25,001
Posted By Firn
An Italian movie classic contains a famous scence...

An Italian movie classic contains a famous scence (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9wgluQ_bcw) with perhaps a nod to Stern's book. The communista asks feebly why the Soviets, having so much land...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-07-2014
Replies: 118
Views: 25,001
Posted By Firn
To understand the latter books about WWII better...

To understand the latter books about WWII better from the tactical side I'm slowly making my way through Taktik im Russlandfeldzug...
Forum: Europe 11-07-2014
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Roughly half a year ago I stated in this post...

Roughly half a year ago I stated in this post (http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showpost.php?p=153897&postcount=488):



I think it is now plain that Russia's center of gravity is indeed it's...
Forum: Europe 11-05-2014
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Just a quick look by Bloomberg...

Just a quick look by Bloomberg (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-05/russia-changes-ruble-intervention-policy-to-ward-off-speculators.html):




We have of course just a limited insight but...
Forum: Europe 11-04-2014
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Konstantin Sonin's view ...

Konstantin Sonin's view (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/ruble-s-fall-echoes-1991-not-1998/510290.html) reflects much of my own thoughts. Of course the self-inflicted wounds, the...
Forum: Europe 11-04-2014
Replies: 498
Views: 26,078
Posted By Firn
Nor suprisingly the impact of the Russian...

Nor suprisingly the impact of the Russian slowdown is in those 'Stans' felt more on the import side and the soft paychecks of migrant workers. On the other hand the fall in commodity prices reduces...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 200

 
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