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  1. Question: From where the system stands today,...

    Question: From where the system stands today, what are the possible end states of Russia in the Ukraine?
  2. The administration shaped the bill. It is...

    The administration shaped the bill. It is designed to give him room to maneuver because that was what was demanded.
    ...
  3. I would imagine military aid from Europe and the...

    I would imagine military aid from Europe and the US. Further economic sanctions from both. And discussions with Finland and Sweden about joining NATO.
  4. You also have the EU saying that they agree with...

    You also have the EU saying that they agree with new sanctions. http://www.interpretermag.com/ukraine-live-day-302-eu-agrees-in-principle-on-further-sanctions-as-sporadic-fighting-continues/

    This...
  5. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/17/world/europe/oba...

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/17/world/europe/obama-signing-russia-ukraine-sanctions-bill.html
  6. Paper on the differences between the 2006 version...

    Paper on the differences between the 2006 version and the 2014 version.

    http://web.isanet.org/Web/Conferences/ISSS%20Austin%202014/Archive/274823a3-32e3-48ff-bf68-f8cb4079f07b.pdf
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    Russia 'abducts' Estonian officer after Obama says US will defend Estonia

    I thought this was interesting enough to start a new thread. The base question is broader then the thread title, I think. Basically, will Russia expand its aggressive behavior to NATO members?
    ...
  8. I think that is about right. They see themselves...

    I think that is about right. They see themselves as a world power and think they should have cold war type influence. But the problem is, they really aren't that significant of a player. You may...
  9. Yes, an expansive NATO was seen as encouraging...

    Yes, an expansive NATO was seen as encouraging Russian aggression. However, Russian actions are continuing to change that judgement. One thing Putin is getting from this is a rejuvenated NATO. He...
  10. I found this interesting. ...

    I found this interesting.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/02/world/europe/nato-to-create-a-rapid-response-force-for-eastern-europe-officials-say.html?_r=0



    We need to use Russian actions as...
  11. Sanctions aren't as strong as Iran. Plus, he is...

    Sanctions aren't as strong as Iran. Plus, he is increasing the political will to do more, not decreasing it. A simple invasion would have not been resulted in as strong of sanctions as we have seen...
  12. An invasion could have been just as easily been...

    An invasion could have been just as easily been sold to that audience. Protecting Russian people from harm, etc. The Russian people have never not backed him on this and would have backed other...
  13. What has he gained from a strategy of deniability...

    What has he gained from a strategy of deniability that no one actually believes? What would have been the result of simply seizing Eastern Ukraine and Crimea when this started?
  14. I don't think he wants an off ramp, but if your...

    I don't think he wants an off ramp, but if your key constraint is Europe, it doesn't hurt any to say that. It allows Europe to build a consensus. And rather he gains "new Russia" or not, an...
  15. Calling it not an invasion doesn't mean we don't...

    Calling it not an invasion doesn't mean we don't have a strategy. It means that we are trying to allow Russia the ability to walk this back. Disagreement with a strategy is not the same thing as...
  16. He has used a UW campaign. I agree with that....

    He has used a UW campaign. I agree with that. However, he has used it in a way that as been overt and dragged Europe into deeper economic sanctions that will have lasting harm on Russia. He is...
  17. Putin's goal isn't the issue. His policy goal...

    Putin's goal isn't the issue. His policy goal has always been pretty clear. His methods are terrible. It is a lesson in how to maximaze damage to oneself. Whatever the result from this, Russia is...
  18. The strategy on Ukraine is pretty clear. ...

    The strategy on Ukraine is pretty clear. Economic isolation of Russia in partnership with the EU. Rather you agree with that is another issue. However, what we are doing is clear.
  19. They are going to go as far as Europe and no...

    They are going to go as far as Europe and no further. And Europe does seem to be set to go further. (...
  20. So this on an article on Ukraine in the NY Times....

    So this on an article on Ukraine in the NY Times.

    http://graphics8.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/03/05/ukraine-maps-v2/74261effa1bf512dddaedc8cfaf886462672a216/0822ukraine-Artboard_1.png

    I...
  21. At some point, why not just act decisively and...

    At some point, why not just act decisively and invade? I think long term, that is a disaster for Russia. But this is also a disaster for Russia. The only difference is in one disaster is you get...
  22. I agree. He is upping the support significantly...

    I agree. He is upping the support significantly . However, at this point it appears Ukraine is still making progress. It was just reported they control the police station in Luhansk.
  23. I would say after the the 2010 midterms, the...

    I would say after the the 2010 midterms, the Administrations main internal focus was foreign policy. It was the one area that the commander in chief can act with greater autonomy. He certainly...
  24. Much of that sounds like what would be said by...

    Much of that sounds like what would be said by any administration. Does that really provide a means to understand the actions of this administration?
  25. How would the Obama Administration define the "Obama Doctrine"?

    From the perspective of the Obama Administration, what would they argue is the "Obama Doctrine". I would argue they would say it was this:
    ...
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