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  1. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    It's not possible to determine the externalities...

    It's not possible to determine the externalities in a metro/no metro comparison. The results of such comparisons are either subjective or based on an incomplete comparison.

    A well-designed metro...
  2. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    A better investment would probably be to use...

    A better investment would probably be to use non-coal electricity for output growth and upgrade the existing coal-firing power plants with (better) emissions filters (or simply maintain existing ones...
  3. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Spoken like a hydroengineer. Too bad the...

    Spoken like a hydroengineer.

    Too bad the Austrians would gain nothing by building lots of dams. Their tourism sector would suffer terribly. They're already losing their glaciers and will fight to...
  4. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    The Iranians do the same, as do actually many...

    The Iranians do the same, as do actually many major oil exporters.

    The reasons are multiple, I blame two the most:
    * incompetence; people even in government don't understand opportunity costs...
  5. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    This doesn't seem to fit. You seem to forget to...

    This doesn't seem to fit.
    You seem to forget to include opportunity costs into how much they lose.
  6. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    This is not meant as a guide to make money or...

    This is not meant as a guide to make money or other economic advice, but if I was looking for profitable businesses or sectors, I'd -among other things- look at their relative position in the chain...
  7. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Bill, profitability and economic activity (or...

    Bill, profitability and economic activity (or growth thereof) are different pairs of shoes.

    My standard example which I offer to people who expect huge profits from growth market are airlines;...
  8. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Green energy stocks have crashed in Germany...

    Green energy stocks have crashed in Germany because the Chinese state subsidised its green energy (mostly photovoltaic) industry greatly. There are now surplus output capacities and the Chinese are...
  9. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Their related publications of the last years are...

    Their related publications of the last years are here:
    http://www.bgr.bund.de/DE/Themen/Energie/Erdoel/erdoel_node.html
    http://www.bgr.bund.de/DE/Themen/Energie/Produkte/produkte_node.html
  10. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Not in English.

    Not in English.
  11. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Look, crude oil is widely recognised as being a...

    Look, crude oil is widely recognised as being a non-renewable resource and there is substantial consumption which won't stop on its own.
    So there has to be some peak production sometime.

    The...
  12. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    I recognize that one. That's a speculation on...

    I recognize that one.
    That's a speculation on security policy consequences of peak oil and a literature review of peak oil literature without original research on "peak oil yes/no and when?" itself....
  13. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Which one? Our military has no oil production...

    Which one?

    Our military has no oil production experts. We've got a civilian agency for minerals stuff that bristles with experts instead.

    Its latest report.
  14. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Not Nazi technology, especially not NAZI...

    Not Nazi technology, especially not NAZI technology.

    The tech dates back to 1920's
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fischer_Tropsch
    and is German technology.

    Several plants were running (or are),...
  15. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    The electrical grid is a classic example of a...

    The electrical grid is a classic example of a natural monopoly and should not be run by for-profit companies anyway.

    I doubt that bureaucrats and their hirelings are a competent choice for...
  16. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Misifus, you play the insider expert card a bit...

    Misifus, you play the insider expert card a bit too much.

    Experts of all kinds disagree with experts of their very same kind quite often. Being an expert does not equal being correct, nor does...
  17. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    The somewhat funny thing for me is that I do not...

    The somewhat funny thing for me is that I do not care the least about global warming or peak oil.
    I think there are already enough motivations to switch towards sustainable energy technologies...
  18. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Their hypothesis rests on the quite self-evident...

    Their hypothesis rests on the quite self-evident limitation of total deposits.
    This hypothesis can be proved wrong by future events.

    The assumption that these deposits will last long is not...
  19. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    The scientific way is not to demand conclusive...

    The scientific way is not to demand conclusive evidence for a theory; it merely needs superficial plausibility and falsifiability (dunno if that's the correct word, I learned this stuff in German).
    ...
  20. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Misifus, it's a common scientific (empirical)...

    Misifus, it's a common scientific (empirical) practice to look at outcomes in addition to models on what constitutes inputs.

    It's thus totally legit to look at global output over time in search...
  21. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Keep in mind that different companies from...

    Keep in mind that different companies from different continents might actually be different. ;)
  22. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    The unproven-ness of the reserves is linked to...

    The unproven-ness of the reserves is linked to the unproven-ness of their ability to ramp up production.

    They were pretty much caught lying about their oil and thus there's no real reason to...
  23. Thread: Energy Security

    by Fuchs
    Replies
    650
    Views
    459,785

    Saudi oil reserve statistics / estimates have no...

    Saudi oil reserve statistics / estimates have no value or credibility. Same for Kuwait.
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