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  1. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I'm now more confident then ever that Energy...

    I'm now more confident then ever that Energy Security can be achieved a rather low costs and within a not so long time frame. This is of course very unspecific but at the core the matter is very...
  2. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Power generation is already slowly becoming more...

    Power generation is already slowly becoming more and more decentralized. If, and a big if at that, battery prices continue come down storage should also become increasing so. Such a structure is...
  3. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I completely missed your response, thanks for the...

    I completely missed your response, thanks for the links. I may come back later to the first one but I will comment on the second.

    1) A great influx of cheap wind energy does pose a challenge to...
  4. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    This matches my perhaps more limited...

    This matches my perhaps more limited understanding of the current German situation. In short the German citziens pay more, stimulating overall energy supply, so that the energy intensive industries...
  5. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    i) A neat graphic about the Electric Car market:...

    i) A neat graphic about the Electric Car market:

    http://i1.wp.com/gas2.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/electric-cars-infographic.jpg?zoom=1.5&w=900

    ii) Germany's wholesale electricity prices...
  6. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    U.A.E. Removes Fuel Subsidy ...

    U.A.E. Removes Fuel Subsidy a long, long overdue move as we discussed many pages ago with terrible knock-on effects.



    It will be wise the review it in a couple of months..

    A The Context of...
  7. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    A nice Bloomberg piece...

    A nice Bloomberg piece about some of the trends I have been writing about in this thread.

    http://assets.bwbx.io/images/iFvRgH5HKEZk/v1/-1x-1.jpg


    Long term the rapid rise of renewables is of...
  8. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    The move towards a 'smarter grid...

    The move towards a 'smarter grid with much complex physical and digital interactions should indeed naturally greatly increase the ability to input cyber attacks.

    Water consumption outstripping...
  9. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Good questions which are usually not in short...

    Good questions which are usually not in short supply regarding China...



    Peak diesel demand just two years ago is a very bold prediction. A quick look at the commercial vehicle sales have...
  10. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    China’s Fuel Demand to Peak Sooner Than Oil...

    China’s Fuel Demand to Peak Sooner Than Oil Giants Expect makes for interesting reading. China dominated demand growth across pretty much all the commodities so a different path will be felt around...
  11. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    X-rays Reveal Secret Life of Batteries ...

    X-rays Reveal Secret Life of Batteries offers amazing pictures and graphs on some processes inside experimental batteries. It is a public lecture and thus explained in a simplistic but cohesive and...
  12. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    An interesting article...

    An interesting article about oil storage in the US gets filled up at a rapid pace.



    Who saw that coming even one year ago?
  13. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I fully agree with you and the basic logic is...

    I fully agree with you and the basic logic is hard to deny. PV is booming for very good reasons, having become ever more cost-efficient per watt surprisingly quickly.

    ...
  14. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Seven Reasons Cheap Oil Can't Stop Renewables Now...

    Seven Reasons Cheap Oil Can't Stop Renewables Now

    I like graphs so I had to go with that one:

    http://media.gotraffic.net/images/iQYuKSosjb3U/v16/-1x-1.jpg

    As we discussed before the often...
  15. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    As I don't think that technology can keep the...

    As I don't think that technology can keep the costs of crude at the current levels in the long run, putting also in the long run something similar to a floor under it's price, it will continue to get...
  16. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I broadly agree with you and history shows indeed...

    I broadly agree with you and history shows indeed that oil prices swing indeed a great deal. The low prices of today have often been an important factor in the high prices in the next future.

    I...
  17. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    After the oil rout in the last months it might be...

    After the oil rout in the last months it might be useful to return to this topic. The oil market has of course known far more dramatic movement and swings, and I have no idea what the oil price will...
  18. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    The additional margin of safety doesn't seem...

    The additional margin of safety doesn't seem likely to destroy the British economy. Said that it seems that:

    i) It was a great deal of bad luck that so many plants have at the same times problems...
  19. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I think we have an excellent recent example of...

    I think we have an excellent recent example of tradeoffs between short and high energy prices: Ukraine.

    We discussed it earlier, and it shows how low energy prices for many consumers due to...
  20. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Batteries for Electric Cars...

    Batteries for Electric Cars is a short overview by the BCG.



    I think after this it becomes clearer why Elon Musk is pushing hard for the 'gigafactory'. I have no idea if it will work, but it...
  21. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    I was going to agree with you earlier, but run...

    I was going to agree with you earlier, but run out of time. Obviously the policies of countries even as important as the USA and China can influence the oil price to a limited degree. The global...
  22. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    My point as well. Well ideally from an...

    My point as well.



    Well ideally from an energy security point the world market prices should be lower with the state slapping a higher tax on it. In that case you give your citziens the right...
  23. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Elon Musk - The Future of Energy and Transport ...

    Elon Musk - The Future of Energy and Transport is a long, quite interesting interview and Q&A with one of the most acclaimed innovators of the last years. Personally I'm always quite sceptical when...
  24. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    Thanks for catching that error, what was I...

    Thanks for catching that error, what was I thinking? As I stated before coal imports can substitute natural gas imports and indeed they do to some degree. Obviously in the short-term is limited by...
  25. Thread: Energy Security

    by Firn
    Replies
    650
    Views
    450,063

    How Much Energy Does the U.S. Military Consume? –...

    How Much Energy Does the U.S. Military Consume? – An Update



    http://www.dailyenergyreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/The-DoD-Energy-Consumption-2012.jpg



    It's share in oil consumption...
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