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Search: Posts Made By: Firn
Forum: Equipment & Capabilities 6 Hours Ago
Replies: 19
Views: 13,527
Posted By Firn
Bogus is rather a strong word. ;) I...

Bogus is rather a strong word. ;)

I generally try to keep it short for time reasons and out of want to avoid tedious repetition. Sometime that makes it less clear than it could be.

The...
Forum: Equipment & Capabilities 1 Day Ago
Replies: 19
Views: 13,527
Posted By Firn
The big big drawback of every battery-powered...

The big big drawback of every battery-powered electric vehicle is well, the fact that it is battery-powered. A battery has a dismal energy density compared to gasoline, which makes it in general...
Forum: Equipment & Capabilities 1 Day Ago
Replies: 19
Views: 13,527
Posted By Firn
Another year one

It is now 2016 and from my limited perspective I see several trends:

1) The arguably trend-setting and most high-end European market is still growing a great pace, roughly 25%...
Forum: Europe 1 Week Ago
Replies: 240
Views: 126,010
Posted By Firn
Certainly any such drastic change in budgeting...

Certainly any such drastic change in budgeting raised eyebrows, as consistency is for very good reasons a key principle in accounting. Such a shift should have a much better arguments on it's side as...
Forum: Europe 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 636
Views: 62,929
Posted By Firn
Two charts to keep in mind before going into the...

Two charts to keep in mind before going into the interview with the Russian Finance Minister:

http://assets.bwbx.io/images/i5DNX_CQP.mc/v3/-1x-1.png
...
Forum: Europe 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 636
Views: 62,929
Posted By Firn
Two worthwhile updates by Mark Adomanis...

Two worthwhile updates by Mark Adomanis (http://www.forbes.com/sites/markadomanis/2015/12/22/dont-look-now-but-russias-banking-system-is-still-a-mess/), including a neat chart:


...
Forum: Europe 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 636
Views: 62,929
Posted By Firn
Return of Russia's economic rollercoaster...

Return of Russia's economic rollercoaster (http://www.dw.com/en/return-of-russias-economic-rollercoaster/a-18951127):



I guess the author means by 15,000 and not to 15,000. However the follow...
Forum: Middle East 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 69
Views: 27,143
Posted By Firn
To sum up some of my thoughts on the economic...

To sum up some of my thoughts on the economic (and political) future of Saudi Arabia:

1. What can't go on forever will end. Even with far higher oil prices - budget breakeven being at around 90$ -...
Forum: Law Enforcement 3 Weeks Ago
Replies: 5
Views: 3,434
Posted By Firn
Homeland Security Looked Past Antigovernment...

Homeland Security Looked Past Antigovernment Movement, Ex-Analyst Says (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/09/us/politics/homeland-security-looked-past-militia-movement-ex-analyst-says.html):


...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 27
Views: 15,072
Posted By Firn
China's jittery investors/speculators and the...

China's jittery investors/speculators and the opaque regulators with rather counterproductive, often-changing rules offer a first-class movie.
...
Forum: Middle East 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 69
Views: 27,143
Posted By Firn
Well I do focus more on the sinews of war...

Well I do focus more on the sinews of war (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-07/saudi-riyal-forwards-set-for-highest-level-since-at-least-1996), not the political conflict:



...
Forum: Middle East 4 Weeks Ago
Replies: 69
Views: 27,143
Posted By Firn
Maybe that particular execution was indeed aimed...

Maybe that particular execution was indeed aimed at inflaming the conflict to have the old external enemy at the center of much internal attention in a time when subsidies have been cut for the first...
Forum: Africa 12-30-2015
Replies: 2
Views: 3,518
Posted By Firn
I have been there last year. Someone told me that...

I have been there last year. Someone told me that he feared trouble, even violence if Pierre Nkurunziza would run for a third time. Never did I, naively maybe as I'm, have expected such terrible news...
Forum: Middle East 12-29-2015
Replies: 69
Views: 27,143
Posted By Firn
Well, that is why I wrote about a "somewhat...

Well, that is why I wrote about a "somewhat constrained" executive summary. The McKinsey guys I know are easily smart enough to understand in which kind of business they operate and who pays them for...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-28-2015
Replies: 27
Views: 15,072
Posted By Firn
Transport has also undergone a massive...

Transport has also undergone a massive transformation in the last decades, be it by air or land, car or train, bicycle or electroscooter. And indeed China has led the world in two-wheeled...
Forum: Middle East 12-28-2015
Replies: 69
Views: 27,143
Posted By Firn
A while ago we talked about basic math and...

A while ago we talked about basic math and today's budget (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-28/a-breakdown-of-the-2016-saudi-budget-and-its-implications) is an interesting exercise in...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-22-2015
Replies: 647
Views: 101,723
Posted By Firn
Power generation is already slowly becoming more...

Power generation is already slowly becoming more and more decentralized. If, and a big if at that, battery prices continue come down storage should also become increasing so. Such a structure is...
Forum: Africa 12-22-2015
Replies: 356
Views: 70,681
Posted By Firn
A great summary, thanks for that email with some...

A great summary, thanks for that email with some fact of which I wasn't aware of. Vastly more insightful then most you can find in articles like the following one...
Forum: Europe 12-18-2015
Replies: 457
Views: 44,305
Posted By Firn
Ukraine's economy is in deep distres after years...

Ukraine's economy is in deep distres after years of terrible corrupt leadership and the Russian invasions. Now Ukraine Defaults on $3 Billion Bond to Russia...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-10-2015
Replies: 27
Views: 15,072
Posted By Firn
Forget to post the wind potential of China....

Forget to post the wind potential of China. Obviously such maps should be just taken as a very rough guide at a more or less current state of technology. Developments as those outlined above increase...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-07-2015
Replies: 27
Views: 15,072
Posted By Firn
The greatest economic story of the last four...

The greatest economic story of the last four decades has been Chinese growth, which has enabled hundreds of millions to escape poverty and to embrace new opportunities. The huge benefits however came...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-07-2015
Replies: 27
Views: 15,072
Posted By Firn
Good catches, those NYT articles are a fine read....

Good catches, those NYT articles are a fine read. Especially the one about Africa.



To be honest the view that Chinese investment (http://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt) into US Treasury...
Forum: Catch-All, GWOT 12-06-2015
Replies: 14
Views: 5,445
Posted By Firn
We discussed the fall in (gun) homicides earlier...

We discussed the fall in (gun) homicides earlier (http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showpost.php?p=143626&postcount=34). I'm glad that the Washington Post...
Forum: Global Issues & Threats 12-06-2015
Replies: 647
Views: 101,723
Posted By Firn
I completely missed your response, thanks for the...

I completely missed your response, thanks for the links. I may come back later to the first one but I will comment on the second.

1) A great influx of cheap wind energy does pose a challenge to...
Forum: Trigger Puller 11-22-2015
Replies: 9
Views: 8,948
Posted By Firn
In the sense more theory then 'just' about small...

In the sense more theory then 'just' about small arms maintenance?
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