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Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
more about oil

Here is a note giving links (http://fabiusmaximus.wordpress.com/2007/11/11/links-to-articles-and-presentations-of-some-a-team-energy-experts/) to valuable presentations about Peak Oil, and how to...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
good, can we finally kill this thread?

I have no idea what Stan's post #27 is saying. Can anyone explain, otherwise this is a waste of everyone's time. Apparently he has no questions, makes up & embellishes quotes (Global Scout did not...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
bourbon, thanks for the link to this valuable article!

Speaking as an amateur in all aspects of this (esp forensic security trading analysis), I find Poteshman's article more compelling than the official government verdict. For unknown reason I cannot...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
kehenry1, that's brilliant!

Also, thanks for the link to your other work. This is one of the clearest explanations of the threat that I've seen.

Question: do you have any references or links about pre-9/11 trading by...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
let's try again with Stan!

First, a correction. “FM recently stated that his enormous volume of posts (151) and ‘views’ would otherwise conclude he’s popular.” I never mentioned how often I’ve posted, let along anything...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Effect of US dollar devaluation

Shek: "Given that, however, it is still not a big fundamental issue."

It's a subject on which I'm not competent to have an opinion, but "a potential regime changing event" is in my opinion the...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Minsky cycles

For a description of this see "Are We at The Peak of a Minsky Credit Cycle?" (http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/208166)by Roubini (July 30, 2007). He explains the 3 stages:

First, sound or...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
just a thought on housing...

selil correctly reports that the consensus of economists is that the housing crisis will be a normal cyclical event. This is beyond the scope of this thread, but somewhat relevent. There is a...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
thanks, Global Scout

I am open to questions. My MO is to post longish excerpts from articles (sometimes drafts), the articles having substantial links to supporting evidence (the exception being forecasts, which I...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Are hedge fund managers criminals when they inflict economic harm?

Hedge funds are not criminal under our system of laws, no matter how much harm they cause. When they collapse companies or even nations, they are considered agents of the "invisible hand" (Adam...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-11-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Do hedge funds wage war?

Is it war when speculators from western nations damage a foreign nation for their personal profit? It's not conventional war, as we know it in the post-Westphalian order. Perhaps more like Drake...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Last note

Not a surprise. As I said below, you appear to be a well-educated person. Too bad you don't have anything to say here other than childish insults, as I'll bet you would be interesting to debate.
...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
4GW, WWI, and Economic Warfare

I don't know the protocol of this, but anyway...I just posted this on my blog (http://fabiusmaximus.wordpress.com/2007/11/10/economic-warfare/), stimulated by this excellent discussion!

1. 4GW...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Peak Oil and the 1970's

I am not aware of any major energy-related institution that says global oil production will not peak. It's like death, the question is when. Due to lack of knowledge about reserves in the Middle...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
US dollar

Is the fall of the US dollar good or bad? Both, neither. It's the wrong question. Is a fever good or bad?

Both are symptoms. The US consumes more than it produces, the difference met by...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
impressive post, goesh

100% wrong in all respects. I'm not restricted (now posting on the Econ Warfare thread; would not care if I was), I have a large email traffic with a wide range of professionals in the...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Who brought down the USSR?

Alternative view: the Saudi Princes waged one of the great economic wars of the post-WWII era against the USSR for control of the oil industry. They opened their spigots, crashed the price of oil,...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Much of the 21st century may be events foreshadowed in the 1970's

Great point! The 1970's saw the forequakes of global peak oil production; the real thing will likely occur sometime in the next 20 years (today, perhaps). The 1970's saw the first great US dollar...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
China, not dependent on the US

China is following the trajectory of by W Germany, Japan and the SE Asian Tigers. Overlaying the growth charts shows that China is at an early stage in the process. It's easy to forget how long...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 244
Views: 75,733
Posted By Fabius Maximus
economic warfare

It's a hot topic by email among some working with military theory, and I've exchanged many dozen notes on the subject. I think this is the very edge of new thinking about war/conflict. But it seems...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
economic warfare

It's a hot topic by email among some working with military theory, and I've exchanged many dozen notes on the subject. I think this is the very edge of new thinking about war/conflict. But it seems...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-10-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
I don't know Latin, so no nifty quote here

Some people say I am pessimistic, but your comment is one of the most depressing sentiments I have heard about America in a while. Cheer up, man – we’re not that bad.

You have only raised one...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-09-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Thanks goesh!

That is a sincere post, illustrating an important aspect of today’s America.

The American ideal has always been one of open debate. The clashing of opposing viewpoints so that a stronger...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-06-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
Iraq est omnis divisa in partes tres

Mark, I fully agree with the point of your post. The road to peace for Iraq -- thru partition or another path -- will not be easy. Hence I said "fragmenting" and "developing." Nobody can tell how...
Forum: Futurists & Theorists 11-06-2007
Replies: 37
Views: 9,890
Posted By Fabius Maximus
as always, nice to see your comments!

Thanks for posting the link to this. Since Labor Day I’ve adopted the Lind publishing schedule: weekly short articles. So I have not been reading much at SWC.

The folks at SWC have been my most...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 156

 
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