Increasing urbanization in the second/third worlds and it's effects on conflict

[Kevin23]

According to the international relations scholar Parag Khanna at the New America Foundation, the world is again becoming divided into spheres of first, second and third world. In which the first world composes of nations that are fully developed and advanced economies and three main superpowers, the US, EU, and China. However, most important for this discussion is the second world and third world. The second world is mainly comprised of such nations like Nigeria, Indonesia, Brazil, Mexico, The Philippines, Pakistan etc, that first world powers compete for in terms of finding clients or contracts from this tier of states. While the third world is made up of nations is largely similar to second world nations, however they tend to be states that are much poorer and progressing in stagnant matter in terms of their economic development, as well as tending to suffer from even greater social, political, or economic instability then what is seen in second world countries like Indonesia, Mexico so on and so forth.

Overall the concept described above is one of the first world and the superpowers within it comprising a core. While the second and third worlds pertinent to this discussion are ether swaying vastly in between as in the case of the second world, or one the periphery with the instance of the third world.

The parts of the theorized system by Parag Khanna, that I describe above. The second and third worlds, are rapidly urbanizing as part of a global trend in that direction of development in which cities of varying sizes are popping up from Manila to Cairo and Lagos all the way to Guatemala City. And as I mentioned above, many of these states in both the second and third world have many stability issues due to the fact that they face a wide array of internal and external issues. Now if mega-cities of populations of more then 15 million are added to the mix, where the average income in an urban area like Lagos or Karachi is a dollar a day along with further adding all the new challenges this urban development is going to cause. One has to wonder what the effect geopolitically is going to be.

Now my question and what I ponder about, is what is this trend towards rapid and massive urbanization in the second and third worlds going to mean in terms of future conflicts and stability in these two spheres? In addition, what are is specifically going to mean for everything from internal conflicts like civil wars to regional or transnational insurgencies?

So overall, what's the opinion on the issue of rapid, large-scale urbanization in the second/third world and what it means for the various types of conflict?