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Council Member
I do often remind others that Germany lived in peace for 43 years until the #### did hit the fan and WW1 broke out.
We had only (comparably few) colonial conflicts with indigenous people (few tribes) during that period.
It did not help my grand-grandfather's generation in 1914.
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Arguements about shared economic interests (pre-WWI) or sociological/ideological hopefulness (Kellog-Briand crew) making the likelyhood of interstate warfare less likely tend to be disproven by history.
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