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Thread: State of Denial

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    Small Wars Journal SWJED's Avatar
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    Default State of Denial

    State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III by Bob Woodward (Amazon.com)

    Last edited by SWJED; 10-07-2006 at 12:53 PM. Reason: Running updates to article list above...

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    Default Heavy stuff here...

    Any comments from the SWC?

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    Council Member Tom Odom's Avatar
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    Default Still digesting

    Any comments from the SWC?
    Gulp....sorry, Dave, I am still digesting. This one has many courses and many flavors...I am going to have to order the book--I will do it via SWJ.

    Best
    Tom

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    Small Wars Journal SWJED's Avatar
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    Default Yea, I know...

    Quote Originally Posted by Tom Odom View Post
    Gulp....sorry, Dave, I am still digesting. This one has many courses and many flavors...I am going to have to order the book--I will do it via SWJ.

    Best
    Tom
    I just ordered the book - unlike Ricks, Trainor, Gordon and West - I have reservations about Woodward. But like they say, even a broken clock is right two times a day. The book deserves a serious read and a bounce-off of what we all know to be "fact" - if that is possible these days.

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    i pwnd ur ooda loop selil's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by SWJED View Post
    I just ordered the book - unlike Ricks, Trainor, Gordon and West - I have reservations about Woodward. But like they say, even a broken clock is right two times a day. The book deserves a serious read and a bounce-off of what we all know to be "fact" - if that is possible these days.
    I've got to read the book. I did read several excerpts this weekend. Woodward appeared to be making a pretty substantial case, but from the excerpts it's hard to tell if it's blow or go.

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    Council Member Tom Odom's Avatar
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    Smile Hi ho, to the Oklahoma woods I go--and it ain't for work

    Quote Originally Posted by SWJED View Post
    I just ordered the book - unlike Ricks, Trainor, Gordon and West - I have reservations about Woodward. But like they say, even a broken clock is right two times a day. The book deserves a serious read and a bounce-off of what we all know to be "fact" - if that is possible these days.

    Just sent in mine to Amazon via SWJ. I am headed to my wife's farm in Oklahoma tomorrow for 5 days of bowhunting so I will read it when I get back.

    best all,

    Tom

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    Default The Cold War Inside the Pentagon

    Andrew Bacevich on the On Point blog - The Cold War Inside the Pentagon.

    Bob Woodward's new book, "State of Denial," has political junkies everywhere chattering. Along with its gossipy insider revelations, the book casts light on at least one important substantive issue: the abysmal state of relations between the nation's top generals and the Pentagon's senior civilian leaders, most notably Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld.

    The debacle that is Iraq today has many sources. Among them, civil-military dysfunction may well deserve pride of place. At the pinnacle of the U.S. national security establishment, mistrust and mutual manipulation rather than candor and mutual respect form the basis of interaction between civilian and military chiefs.

    This has been true for decades, although the generals and the politicians have pretended otherwise. Now Woodward has let the cat out of the bag...

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    Default Who's Really in Denial?

    William Kristol in the Weekly Standard - Who's Really in Denial?

    President Bush is right. It would be nice if he weren't. The country would be better off if there were bipartisan agreement on what is at stake in the struggle against jihadist Islam. But despite areas of consensus, there is still a fundamental difference between the parties. Bush and the Republicans know we are in a serious war. It's not the Bush administration that is in a "State of Denial" (as the new Bob Woodward book has it). It's the Democrats...

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    Default Critical sourcing

    Victor Davis Hanson:

    Most genres don’t require footnotes—the memoir, the essay, the journalistic dispatch. I’ve written histories that had too many footnotes—The Other Greeks had citations to ancient sources in the text, explanations with asterisks at the bottom of the page, and formal endnotes at the back of the book—and memoirs like Fields Without Dreams and Mexifornia with no citations.

    But when you write history, and especially history of a contentious nature about Iraq, in which so much is at stake, it is incumbent to identify primary sources. The last three books about the supposed mess in Iraq—Cobra II, Fiasco, and now State of Denial—violate every canon of intellectual courtesy. Check who said what in Cobra II and you find the following: “Interview, former senior military officer”, “Interview, former senior officer”, “Interview, former Centcom planner,” Interview, Pentagon Officials,” “Interview, U.S. State Department Official,” or “notes of a participant.”

    ...

    Every source in Cobra II, Fiasco, or State of Denial, may be accurate, but we will never know that, because for a variety of reasons the authors who claim they worked from notes and recordings, chose not to identify the most inflammatory sources by name. It would be as if I wrote a history of the Peloponnesian War and, to support my most controversial points, added footnotes that stated “A manuscript in the Vatican,” or “Private letter to author from anonymous Greek shepherd attesting a stone altar in his field”

    Finally, note the silence from the numerous critics of the “Path to 9/11” who objected to the film’s adaptation of the 9/11 report. But that docu-drama clearly identified itself as a fictionalized rendition of a document, and made no claims as history. In contrast, this new genre of journalistic exposé purports to give us the real story of Iraq, but denies us the very tools of determining whether what we are reading is true, half-true, or simply made up.
    I have not read State of Denial, but I have read every MNFI weekly news briefing for the last three years and I recall many power points presentations where the number of attacks were given as well as the number of them that have been effective, i.e. caused casualties to troops or civilians. What is clear from this information is that while enemy attacks may be growing in number their effectiveness is shrinking significantly. In other word the enemy is having to expend greater effort for less result which does not imply that he is winning. When you add to that, the fact that most of his "effective: attacks are against non combatants, it means he is further alienating the people of Iraq whithout changing the corelation of forces. Woodward's reporting on this point really misses the mark.

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    Council Member Stu-6's Avatar
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    I would reserve comment on the Woodward’s book until I have actually read it however little of what I have read about it seem implausible. That being said I think there is probably a bit of hyperbole to it. For instance the article about the Bush teem hiding the number of attacks, these numbers are out there, the administration just doesn’t advertise them and of course like all politicians the spin like crazy.

    Merv-While numbers of coalition casualties have remained steady in the face of increasing attacks, the total number of casualties has increased at a similar rate to that of attacks, leading me to question your theory of a dramatic decrease in effectiveness. In fact the casualty rate appears to be increasing faster than the rate of attacks; of course this is no doubt a result of greater targeting of civilians. However this targeting of civilians only seems to alienate sections of the population from each other thus decreasing the chance of a stable united Iraq in the near future.

    http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs...ortAug29r1.pdf
    Last edited by Stu-6; 10-04-2006 at 09:35 PM. Reason: computers suck

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    As with many others, I have not completed a reading of the book; yet, I am surprised by so many comments concerning the implausibility of his assertions, research, and conclusions. If this book is full of hyperbole or just plain b.s., does this mean that his first two books that were generally supportive of the administration and the war are crap as well?

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    Council Member Stu-6's Avatar
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    I find it interesting that so many thought that his earlier books were so pro Bush; I thought that they were at best neutral, at times pointing out some real shortcomings with administration judgment. I wonder if I is a matter of perspective, when those books came out people were generally more optimistic towards the Iraq war so in that context they viewed them as being pro Bush. I have been pessimistic about the Iraq war since I became convinced that the president was determined to invade, spring 2002, so I read the books with my pessimistic point of view.

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    Default Plausible deniability

    Strickland writes:

    As with many others, I have not completed a reading of the book; yet, I am surprised by so many comments concerning the implausibility of his assertions, research, and conclusions. If this book is full of hyperbole or just plain b.s., does this mean that his first two books that were generally supportive of the administration and the war are crap as well?
    Could be. Here is a statement by Brent Scowcroft via Real Clear Politics:

    "I have spoken to Bob Woodward a number of times about a variety of subjects over the years, but I did not agree to be interviewed for his latest book. Further, there are statements in the book, directly or implicitly attributed to me, that did not and never could have come from me. I never discuss any personal conversations that I may have with President George H.W. Bush, and he never discusses with me any conversations that he has with President George W. Bush."
    Substantial doubt has also been raised about one of his earlier books by a former associate at the Washington Post.

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