All,

Thanks for your support on recent discussions with regards to Bin Laden.

In light of today's events, I'm returning to the questions. I asked here back in January.

What will be the consequences of Usama Bin Laden's death?

I've launched an automated survey and would very much enjoy any and all opinions. Here is the link to the survey:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/aqafterbinladen

Thanks in advance for any and all responses and I will make sure to cross post the polling results here in about a week.

RLTW,

Clint

Here's a preview of the first question on the poll:

Overall theme of the poll:
If Usama Bin Laden were killed in 2011, would it matter to the global jihadi movement?

Question #1:

What will be the chief consequence of Usama Bin Laden’s death to the global jihadi movement? (Only pick One!)

-Status Quo- No substantial change in AQ activity
-AQ Central directed plots against U.S. and its Allies decrease substantially
-AQAP becomes new AQ Central
-Some other AQ member in AF/PAK becomes leader of AQ Central
-AQ Central loses its chief sponsor, the Haqqani network
-AQ fundraising increases substantially
-AQ fundraising diminishes substantially
-Taliban more reluctant to make peace with Karzai
-AQ-inspired recruitment slows substantially
-AQ-inspired recruitment accelerates substantially
-AQ Central directed plots against U.S. and its Allies increase substantially
-Taliban pursue a peace settlement with Karzai
-AQ Central shifts focus to pursue guerilla warfare in Central Asia
Here's more background on the first version of this poll.

Does Bin Laden Matter?
By Clint Watts on January 2, 2011