Improvised empirical test:
Countries capable of projecting military force like that: 3-4 (4 if we count Russian paratroopers)
Countries "cut off" during the last decades: 0,
unless we count aggressors who were under a UN blockade
Another approach:
Japan:
* 2nd most powerful fleet in 1941
* biggest or 2nd biggest marine force in 1941
* 4th greatest air force in 1941
* still cut off from crude oil supplies (would not have happened with a more peaceful foreign policy)
Peaceful cooperation 2, big stick 0
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