COIN PhD

[Mark O'Neill]

As someone in the final throes of a 'COIN/IW' PhD I commend Steve Metz's advice to you.

If you have a prospective school/ supervisor in mind you should have a lengthy conversation with them - there is no point in having a research topic that cannot or will not be taken on..

With respect to the 'COIN' is dead nonsense - it is exactly that, nonsense. I will bet London to a brick that the world will still see men and women who rebel against their state next year, next decade and well into the next millenium. It has always been the case. And if, as invariably happens, that state fights back in some way, there will be counterinsurgency.

If anything, the 'demonstration effect' of what Iraq and Afghanistan has done to / for the US, NATO and other allies will only serve to signpost the possiblities of insurgency to those who are aggrieved but relatively weak.

Those who claim 'COIN is dead, period' fail in one of the fundamentals of critical thought - realisation of context and perspective. Others who make claims for the adherence to or 'supremacy' of a particular COIN paradigm or future suffer a similar failure of critical thought.

Do not confuse the highly transient passions of the Western punditocracy or the eternal enthusiams and preferences of Western militaries (and their supporting industries and political stakeholders) for 'good old fashion westphalian warfare' for meaning that we have either seen the last of COIN in general, or that we (the west) will not fight such wars again. Of course, if you do believe that, I also have a nice bridge down on the Harbour (or an Opera House..) in my home town that I can sell you...

A concluding note, if you are interested in the doctrine angle for you research, have a look at the PhD Alex Alderson submitted at Cranfield (UK) :Alderson, Alexander. "The Validity of British Army Counterinsurgency Doctrine after the War in Iraq, 2003-2009." Unpublished PhD thesis, Cranfield, 2009.

regards,

Mark

[viperventoux]

Cheers Mark,

Im in discussion with my MA supervisor at the minute and looking for a supervisor for the PhD. I have taken Steve Metz's point and Im looking at it objectively.I do not believe that COIN is dead, I am a believer in it as I am in CT. I learned along time ago never to follow the pack and to do my own thing. So despite the pundits I will be driving on with COIN. As for the bridge you can keep it, alternatively I know a couple of guys who are good with C4
I would like to talk further with you about your PhD, move to PM?

[viperventoux]

"Washington’s national security goal is to prevent the reemergence of a safe haven for al Qaeda inside Afghanistan. Today, no such safe haven is possible, thanks to U.S. special operations raids, a network of informants, and U.S. surveillance capabilities. A force of around 20,000 U.S. soldiers can prevent a safe haven indefinitely, as long as the Afghan army controls the cities and highways (which makes the cohesion of the Afghan army a key part of the U.S. and NATO drawdown)."

Found this in an article on Bing West's webpage. Is this realistic?? I have an interest in this as regards the PhD. I have long thought that the ODA and NSW teams along with the CIA SAD teams originally deployed in 2001 could have done something similar. Particularly given there UW brief. Could it be done? What are the caveats regarding this? e.g. Drones, CAS and other forms of support.

Viper.

[viperventoux]

Working title. Comments, adjustments, etc.
Counterinsurgency after Afghanistan: The Past and Future of Special Forces in COIN.

[davidbfpo]

Working title. Comments, adjustments, etc.
Counterinsurgency after Afghanistan: The Past and Future of Special Forces in COIN.

Like it - well the working title.

Easy to bring in Soviet SF in Afghanistan too. I am sure there are ample examples in the public domain for SF in COIN, ranging from Malaya onwards. The Malayan experience appears to have influenced the Rhodesians; which could provide illustrations from smaller COIN campaigns.

[viperventoux]

I will need to select a few case studies. The Soviet angle is good as I can compare strategies in the same country against much if not the same enemies. Im wonder about Malaya, it is a bit messy as regards debate. How about Oman? Any suggestions?

[Bob's World]

For what its worth, I know several highly regarded scholars with "COIN PhDs" and while all contribute in their own way to the body of work and advice on this topic, my assessment is that they tend to know more than they understand, and that their advice is also are overly relied upon due to their academic credentials, which in turn contributes to exacerbating that first condition. Obviously there are exceptions, and this varies in degree among them.

I guess my cautionary bit of advice is, that in the pursuit of knowledge, never lose sight of the fact that knowledge is only the gateway to understanding. It is good to be smart, but it is far better to be wise. I suspect the first stage of wisdom is realizing that one isn't all that smart to begin with.

I've also had the pleasure to meet a few people who are very wise on this complex topic. Only a couple of those had PhDs. (or stars, for that matter). So seek wisdom and seek out those who you believe to possess it as well. As to knowledge, as Professor Holmes told one of my classmates in 1st year contracts class, "you will find that books hold the knowledge you seek very well." I took that to mean you can always look the facts up, but that the real key was to learn how to think about the topic we were studying. Good luck

[davidbfpo]

I will need to select a few case studies. The Soviet angle is good as I can compare strategies in the same country against much if not the same enemies. Im wonder about Malaya, it is a bit messy as regards debate. How about Oman? Any suggestions?

Viperventoux,

I agree about Malaya, but the recent SWJ article might help you decide:http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art...arts-and-minds

If comparing two separate campaigns is a requirement, how about the Phillipines which from my very limited knowledge has several, separate periods? The other one would be Algeria, contrasting the French and Algerian approaches - you may need to read French though.

Less well known would be the Portuguese in Mozambique fighting FRELIMO and the follow-on period with RENAMO being the enemy. The Rhodesian and then South African cross-border role is well documented, if obscure. The key learner being South Africa.

Oman is increasingly well documented, although most books can be rather laudatory regarding the British role and I've yet to see an Omani account. The cross-border aspect could be a theme across the campaigns.