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Thread: Defining Surrender ... and making it stick

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default Defining Surrender ... and making it stick

    Curious if anyone had a good source for what happens after a political entity surrenders. Been looking into the distinctions that occurred after Napoleon. My interest is in how political opponents signaled the end of a fight and did that change as countries became more democratic. - the distinction between an emperor acknowledging unconditional surrender (as in the case of Japan after WWII) and a democratic country offering surrender (perhaps, France during WWII). Anyone know of any papers or books written on the subject?

    Thanks
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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default The Nature of War after Democracy

    OK, I will expand the idea into the nature of war after democracy. Have stuff on the democratic advantage and the nature of the democratic peace, still looking at how one would manage a country whose democratically elected leaders surrender.
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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Other suggestions

    Would you include the decisions made in Southern Africa, to change from colonial / settler / white minority rule to black majority rule after insurgencies of varying intensities?

    Personally I don't think it was a surrender, although Portugal scuttled out rapidly once it became a democracy and Rhodesia / South Africa (inc. SW Africa) were rather protracted political accommodations. At the time much was written and discussed about the successes.

    Nearby is Ireland, first the emergence of the Irish Republic (which promptly had a far more vicious civil war) and more recently the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 on power-sharing in Northern Ireland. The later was hyped a lot by all those involved as the way forward; not to overlook the role of the USA either.

    Giving India independence after WW2 was a momentous decision, more a negotiated transfer of power than a surrender. Much was written on this, not much recently.
    davidbfpo

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default Ireland, accomidation and civil war

    Quote Originally Posted by davidbfpo View Post
    Personally I don't think it was a surrender, although Portugal scuttled out rapidly once it became a democracy and Rhodesia / South Africa (inc. SW Africa) were rather protracted political accommodations. At the time much was written and discussed about the successes.

    Nearby is Ireland, first the emergence of the Irish Republic (which promptly had a far more vicious civil war) and more recently the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 on power-sharing in Northern Ireland. The later was hyped a lot by all those involved as the way forward; not to overlook the role of the USA either.

    Giving India independence after WW2 was a momentous decision, more a negotiated transfer of power than a surrender. Much was written on this, not much recently.
    I have looked at South Africa as a democracy lately. They have a interesting power sharing deal with the traditional tribal leaders, essentially paying them and allowing them to remain the de facto local authority despite their non-elected status and paying them to do that ... but they also have the funding from natural resources to make such a plan work.

    Ireland is interesting. Funny how transitions to a republican form of government is often followed by a civil war. It seems to take a while for the idea of democratic power sharing and accommodation to minorities to really take hold. This is kind of the essence of my question. If a democracy is granted power from the people, then surrender must come from the people. If the political leader acquiesces that is not a guarantee that the people will cease to continue to fight. There was a fairly active resistance in France during WWII. Once you establish democracy (or where you are trying to establish one), you automatically decentralize power, making the idea of surrender more difficult to define.

    India I am not as familiar with. And it also separated after independence along religious lines rather than finding common ground.

    If we assume a war between two democracies, how would surrender work?
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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Germany -v- Western Allies 1918

    If we assume a war between two democracies, how would surrender work?
    I can only immediately think of the ending of WW1 on the Western Front, between Imperial Germany - which had an elected democratic government, although waging war appeared to be directed by the military - and the Western Allies. IIRC the government clinging to domestic power decided that continued fighting was not in the national interest, negotiations began with a joint civil-military delegation sent to meet the allies.

    In 1918 Germany was exhausted, the military offensives in the spring had failed to break the Western Front, defeats were regular, the USA was building up, the navy faced several mutinies, discipline in the the army was deteriorating and civil order was under severe strain. All these factors needed to coincide for the government to decide the war had to be ended.

    Both the civil and military parts of the state knew discipline and order could easily be lost. I am not sure if the Bolshevik Revolution in Russia had much impact then, although in time it would.

    You can hardly conduct negotiations if the state crumbles and any agreement will not be fulfilled.

    Making it - surrender - stick?

    In this example Germany withdrew from occupied France and Belgium, the army demobilised, the navy was interned @ Scapa Flow, the Rhineland was occupied by the allies and much more. The Treaty of Versailles was to follow. How Germany was to govern itself was left to them.
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 12-15-2012 at 10:49 PM.
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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    If a democracy is granted power from the people, then surrender must come from the people. If the political leader acquiesces that is not a guarantee that the people will cease to continue to fight. There was a fairly active resistance in France during WWII. Once you establish democracy (or where you are trying to establish one), you automatically decentralize power, making the idea of surrender more difficult to define.
    (1) The French "Résistance" was hyped and was really not a big deal, but rather a nuisance in areas where it was really important. They made landlines unreliable and thus provoked use of radio messages which were intercepted and deciphered, and that was probably the biggest achievement. It's telling how much Soviet partisans appear in German wartime memories and documents and how it takes a substantial search effort to find any reference to the "Résistance" in the same.

    The vast majority of "Rsistance" fighters seem to have joined in June/July '44 only. The whole "Résistance" thing is ~95% face-saving French mythology.

    (2) Very different was the French reaction to the (mixed) German occupation in 1871. The emperor Napoleon III (=dictator, dictatorship) was captured and had surrendered in 1870, but the real mess only began afterwards with Franc Tireurs, levée en masse all over again etc etc. Hundreds of thousands of riflemen appeared and fought actual battles.
    The Résistance was probably the trouble and fighting power equivalent of the couriers used by the French post-surrender forces, certainly not much more.
    ____________

    So I suppose you have a nice story there which would be pleasant to believe, but it falls flat in face of military history.
    Last edited by Fuchs; 12-15-2012 at 11:05 PM.

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by davidbfpo View Post

    Both the civil and military parts of the state knew discipline and order could easily be lost. I am not sure if the Bolshevik Revolution in Russia had much impact then, although in time it would.


    Making it - surrender - stick?

    In this example Germany withdrew from occupied France and Belgium, the army demobilised, the navy was interned @ Scapa Flow, the Rhineland was occupied by the allies and much more. The Treaty of Versailles was to follow. How Germany was to govern itself was left to them.
    Probably a pretty good example. It took total capitulation and a recognition by all elements in the society that the war was lost.
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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fuchs View Post
    (2) Very different was the French reaction to the (mixed) German occupation in 1871. The emperor Napoleon III (=dictator, dictatorship) was captured and had surrendered in 1870, but the real mess only began afterwards with Franc Tireurs, leve en masse all over again etc etc. Hundreds of thousands of riflemen appeared and fought actual battles.
    The Rsistance was probably the trouble and fighting power equivalent of the couriers used by the French post-surrender forces, certainly not much more.
    ____________

    So I suppose you have a nice story there which would be pleasant to believe, but it falls flat in face of military history.
    Actually, your second example is more what I am interested in. Post conflict activities do not seem to be a something that gets a lot of attention.

    Thanks for the example.

    Any thoughts on Germany after WWI? Does it require a total breaking of the spirit of a democratically minded people to be able to declare victory? Or was Germany really that democratic at the time?
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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default A question

    Fuchs?

    Would it be fair to say that the history you describe between France and Germany in 1870 makes a good example of a pre-democratic situation where the king or emperor surrendered(and possibly pledged fidelity to the victorious lord or ceded some disputed territory) which ended the conflict juxtaposition against a new post-democratic political reality where, if the population was not ready to surrender (and their being the true source of political will in the state) they would continue the fight on their own, or am I only seeing what I want to see?
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-16-2012 at 12:20 AM.
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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    1870/71 was really more about nationalism on both sides than about governments or states. The latter were the players, but once the war was set in motion, they were floating on a current and only capable of minor corrections.
    The French government surrendered, but the French simply kept going.



    WW2 was everywhere about pushing so far that organised (and thus effective) resistance became impossible.

    The Italians knew there was no way to resist any more if the enemies can even invade your country like that.

    The Japanese leadership understood it couldn't go on after losing the ability to import material, with obviously determined enemies readying for invasion. The Japanese people knew their cities were ashes and obeyed the emperor (whose voice they heard for the first time when he told them to stop fighting).

    The Germans of 1945 were really first and foremost fighting for comrades and fleeing civilians, or simply because fighting was deemed less horrible than being caught and executed by MP or taken POW by Russians. Especially the resistance in the East in '45 was more of a screening operation for fleeing civilians or an attempt to keep some escape route open for almost cut-off comrades than anything else.


    I'm obviously not into theorising about breaking spirit (or "will") any more, not even about Clausewitzian disarmament; instead, it was quite often the loss of the foundations for successful organised overt resistance which meant ultimate and acknowledged defeat during WW2.
    The will to resist with organised, overt violence was regularly broken when said violence served no purpose any more for want of a scenario how it could lead to a more acceptable outcome.

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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Making it - surrender - stick?

    The exchange prompted me to think again. It may not fit your terms of reference as it was not a surrender.

    I refer to the public and political reaction in Yugoslavia in 1941, when the national government signed a treaty with Germany and were deposed:
    Following agreements with Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria that they would join the Axis, Hitler put pressure on Yugoslavia to join the Tripartite Pact. The Regent, Prince Paul of Yugoslavia, succumbed to this pressure on 25 March 1941. However, this move was deeply unpopular amongst the anti-Axis Serbian public and military. A coup d'tat was launched on 27 March 1941 by anti-Paul Serbian military officers, and the Regent was replaced on the throne by King Peter II of Yugoslavia.
    Link:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Yugoslavia
    davidbfpo

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default Wrong question?

    Quote Originally Posted by davidbfpo View Post
    The exchange prompted me to think again. It may not fit your terms of reference as it was not a surrender.
    Perhaps that is my problem. I am looking for examples that don't fit the accepted idea of surrender.

    I just have to be careful that I am not twisting them too far.
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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default Perhaps an explination is in order ...

    The genesis of this question comes from a piece I am working on regarding changes in war that are a result of the shift in the world's political landscape away from monarchies, theocracies, ideological autocracies or other forms of government where the political system is "top down" versus the world we are only now starting to live in where the political systems are more democratic or "bottom up". The changes which are traced back to Napoleon I include an Army with a more egalitarian officer corps and the idea of Levee en masse or the entire nation supporting the fight rather than a small professional army.

    I have found research on the alleged advantage democracies have fighting wars and the idea of the democratic peace (democracies do not choose to fight against other democracies because the nature of a democracy allows for accomidation). I can also link changes in the nature of Terrorism as democracy became its target (The Assassins targeted political leaders as did many of the anarchist because that is where the political power lies but more recent terrorist act are perpetrated against the general population as a way to sway political decisions as in the case of the Spanish train bombings). I can also show that democracies are more likely to wage war against an autocratic system in order to help create a new democracy (evangelical democracy). What I lack is how a democracy deals with losing on their own soil.
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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Democracies not fighting each other? That's news to me.
    There are no pure democracies, and some imperfect democracies surely waged war against each other.
    The Greeks were the first with a (well-documented) kind of democracy, and they understood peace to be the exception, not the rule.

    The Americans attacked the constitutional monarchy of Spain in 1898.
    Germany fought against the French Republic and the British constitutional monarchy during the First World War while having a powerful parliament (the emperor was merely head of state, incapable of enacting laws or defining budgets himself).
    Lots of republics faced each other in Latin American wars.

    ____________

    I suppose that the characteristic "democratic" is often overpowered by nationalism in regard to your topic and that the relative scarcity of wars between democracies is probably rather a result of democracies becoming more common during the period of impractical wars between great powers than democracies working for peace.

    Just look at how the war of 1898 came into being - you may be reminded of 2003.

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fuchs View Post
    I suppose that the characteristic "democratic" is often overpowered by nationalism in regard to your topic and that the relative scarcity of wars between democracies is probably rather a result of democracies becoming more common during the period of impractical wars between great powers than democracies working for peace.

    Just look at how the war of 1898 came into being - you may be reminded of 2003.
    The paucity of data and the trouble defining democracy both hamper the effort. Under modern parlance America was not a democracy until 1920. There is also the problem of nationalism overriding democratic ideals, particularly when a country feels that it is under attack (for the US, 1941 and 2001). Times when people are willing to trade their freedom for security.

    Non-the-less it has relevance in the future of war as an instrument of a democracy's political desires.
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    Posted by Fuchs

    Democracies not fighting each other? That's news to me.

    This is a popular American myth, and the key driving force why we crusade globally to spread democracy. This myth is perpetuated in places like Harvard, Yale, the Department of State, the Pentagon, etc. Since perception is reality, the myth has in fact become fact (for us).

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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Moore View Post
    This is a popular American myth, and the key driving force why we crusade globally to spread democracy.
    Hmm, I thought this was more like 'democracies tend to be more economically liberal, thus meaning more opportunities for U.S. corporations to make profit'.

    Perry didn't insist on elections, for example.

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    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
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    Default More than an American Myth ...

    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Moore View Post
    Posted by Fuchs

    This is a popular American myth, and the key driving force why we crusade globally to spread democracy. This myth is perpetuated in places like Harvard, Yale, the Department of State, the Pentagon, etc. Since perception is reality, the myth has in fact become fact (for us).
    The "myth" dates back to Kant's "Perpetual Peace" published about 1795. Not everyone buys into it [Sebastian Rosato. The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory (2003). The American Political Science Review, Vol. 97(4)]. Probably the most common attack is based on the idea that the democratic peace, at least in recent history, was a byproduct of the Cold War [Farber and Gowa. Common Interests or Common Polities? Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace (1997). Journal of Politics Vol. 59]. And while it may be no more than myth what does seem to be true is that democracies prefer to fight against non-democratic states with at least part of the justification being the spread of democracy [Morgan and Campbell. Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints, and War: So Why Kant's Democracies Fight? (1991) Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol 35(2)]. The 'myth', or the perception, of the democratic peace is part of the logic of getting involved in those wars. So, as you say, perception is reality, or at least in this case, it justifies it.

    Why should this matter? Because if we want to determine the type of war the US Army is most likely to engage in at some future date, then it is more likely to be against a non-democratic state justified, at least in part, on the idea that we are spreading democracy. And if spreading democracy is part of the justification, then it will be part of the requirements of victory.

    I don't prescribe to the the maxim of a democratic peace, otherwise I would not be asking the question what surrender by a democracy might look like (or how might it be different from the surrender of the Japanese after WWII or even the German's for that matter).
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-16-2012 at 10:32 PM.
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    Hmm, I thought this was more like 'democracies tend to be more economically liberal, thus meaning more opportunities for U.S. corporations to make profit'.
    No, of course not. Corporations just take advantage of opportunities created by our altruistic crusading.

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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    I don't prescribe to the the maxim of a democratic peace, otherwise I would not be asking the question what surrender by a democracy might look like
    One of the most interesting surrenders of a democratic country was the surrender of Czechoslovakia prior to WW2. It was probably the greatest strategic air war success ever, for the mere threat of bombarding Prague (people thought more of gas than fire in such a context prior to 1940) was pushing the Czechoslovak leader to cave in.

    The later popular resistance was a mere nuisance in comparison to what happened farther east.

    This example fits my description of hopelessness of resistance being influential; the Czechs were not beaten in the field at all.
    (Their army was actually very respectable. It would have been wise if they had at least sabotaged their guns and tanks instead of surrendering them and the plans intact. The equipment was worth a German tank division and multiple infantry divisions, a much larger haul than in Austria. It's not a stretch to claim that Czech pre-surrender hardware was necessary for the 1940 campaign in France.)

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