View Poll Results: What is the near-term future of the DPRK

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  • It will fall into chaos as a result of renewed famine and poverty, resulting in military crackdowns.

    3 15.79%
  • There will be a military coup that displaces the current leadership, hopefully soon.

    4 21.05%
  • It will continue to remain a closed society, technologically dormant and otherwise insignificant.

    12 63.16%
  • The leadership will eventually make a misstep, forcing military action from the United States.

    0 0%
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Thread: North Korea: 2012-2016

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  1. #1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ron Humphrey View Post
    is not so much about red lines and escalation so much as about retribution or lack there of.

    Have any ideas on exactly where the Chinese whom you give such great importance in the what if's see the "too far" bar in relation to their reckless child to the souths hissy fits?

    Seems like important information when determining how best to avoid "accidental" escalations which seems like everyone agrees wouldn't be good for all involved.
    First off the risk from NK is much higher because of their nuclear capability. So there is the first mistake from the weakness of the past.

    Given the survival of the NK regime under the current sanctions China remains their source of all sanctions busting imports and probably finance as well. The power is total, "do as we say or we close the border."

    China holds the key.

    ... oh yes, and tell the kids in SK to stop doing silly things unless they are will to step up to the plate and not just threaten to take action next time.

  2. #2
    Council Member Dayuhan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMA View Post
    First off the risk from NK is much higher because of their nuclear capability. So there is the first mistake from the weakness of the past.
    How, short of war, could the north have been prevented from acquiring a nuclear capability?

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dayuhan View Post
    How, short of war, could the north have been prevented from acquiring a nuclear capability?
    Try to give it a little thought and see what you come up with.

  4. #4
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    Default South Korea defence minister resigns after attack

    From the Mail & Guardian:

    South Korean President Lee Myung-bak accepted the resignation of his defence minister on Thursday, two days after an attack by North Korea and amid criticism that the South's response was too slow.

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