View Poll Results: What is the near-term future of the DPRK

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  • It will fall into chaos as a result of renewed famine and poverty, resulting in military crackdowns.

    3 15.79%
  • There will be a military coup that displaces the current leadership, hopefully soon.

    4 21.05%
  • It will continue to remain a closed society, technologically dormant and otherwise insignificant.

    12 63.16%
  • The leadership will eventually make a misstep, forcing military action from the United States.

    0 0%
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Thread: North Korea: 2012-2016

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  1. #1
    Council Member J Wolfsberger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stan View Post
    It's one thing to realize that the North Korean leader is little more than an adolescent, and yet another thing for an educated American politician to play the same game while our troops are on this fragile line of defense.
    True.

    But what really scares me is that there don't seem to be many "educated American politician(s)." What we have instead is a surplus of highly indoctrinated, over aged, self serving adolescents.

    I'll be very surprised if this latest chest thumping by NK doesn't lead to a very bad outcome.
    John Wolfsberger, Jr.

    An unruffled person with some useful skills.

  2. #2
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    Default Do you mean ...

    that international relations have followed the path of internet relations ?

    "Suppose you have two groups"

    Shocking - utterly shocking.

    Regards

    Mike

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by jmm99 View Post
    that international relations have followed the path of internet relations ?

    "Suppose you have two groups"

    Shocking - utterly shocking.

    Regards

    Mike
    This is a classic, thanks for posting.

  4. #4
    Council Member slapout9's Avatar
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    Default US Starts To Give In To North Korea

    Link to article on US delays Missile test amid so called tensions with North Korea. This is a prime example of how America is in decline and no longer respected in the world. We yield to mass murders and leave our allies and friends in suspense about our true intentions as far as it regards our political will to actually honor our defense treaties. We are facing the greatest crisis of leadership I have ever seen in my lifetime for this country. Think Nixon would have put up with this worst haircut ever kinda guy.....I Don't think so.

    http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013...rth-korea?lite

  5. #5
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    Ive got some local context given to me and some general thoughts.

    A very good friend of mine is part of a wealthy and well connected korean family living in seoul. They have been moving money out of the country this time which is something they have never done before. they have also prepared plans to leave, which is also new.

    As far as general thoughts. If we are attacked I believe we will be caught flat footed. Its classic boy who cried wolf and if they act now, it will be after the public has determined thats its only another show.


    How many times has the US and ROKs taken a hit and done nothing? mini subs, arty fire, sunken ships, DPRK agents and sympathizers in the south. They have been allowed to take such action with impunity because have had no meaningful response. They may perceive this as batting 100%, and they may be right.

    Didn't Saddam believe we would not intervene in kuwait because 1. we told him kuwait wasn't an american concern 2. The 16 some-odd UN resolutions that did nothing militarily and had no teeth and 3. He believed the US military risk avers and afraid of casualties

    Its entirely possible in my eyes that kim jong un sees the US and the ROKs in a similar light.

  6. #6
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default North Korea complicates the long-term picture

    An interview with a SME, mainly on the nuclear proliferation aspects:http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/f...g-term-picture
    davidbfpo

  7. #7
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default What makes DPRK tick?

    Dr Schindler's blog offers a commentary and includes this key passage:
    The bottom line, as Myers make clear, is that the juche stuff is all mumbo-jumbo for external consumption while the regime’s actual beliefs, which the population is bombarded with non-stop, are based in crude nationalism that works well at motivating the people though terrible times. Basically, Pyongyang is not a bunch of Commies, rather a bunch of Nazis, of a rarified Asian variety. Myers, who spent years studying the regime’s ideology, demonstrates that the DPRK’s esoteric worldview owes more to Japanese mystical ultranationalism, learned during Tokyo’s occupation of the country from 1905 to 1945, including – time to possibly get worried here – an emphasis on sacrifice and death in kamikaze fashion, than anything to do with Marx, Lenin, or Mao.
    Shortly after:
    Myers also shows that Pyongyang has no fear of the United States and perhaps wants a confrontation, even a military one, to gain dominance over the Korean peninsula. The DPRK’s assessment of strategy, grounded in very different ethnic and political assumptions, is radically different from our own.
    Link:http://20committee.com/2013/04/05/do...talking-about/
    davidbfpo

  8. #8
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    It seems to me that King Kim III's ongoing bluff, if it is a bluff, will have to be called eventually. If it is not, tribute will have to be paid to this king for years and years to come. If and when the bluff is called, there is a chance very serious fighting will ensue. I don't see any way around this ultimately, either pay or risk a fight.

    A separate question. Let's say a decision is made to call. It doesn't matter what the provocation will be, there is always another one coming. Do you think it would help if sort of an open proscription list of DPRK high officials was published? It would name names and say, politely, the guys on this list are dead if a war starts. The idea would be to personalize consequences and thereby discourage aggressive behavior. The King doesn't rule unassisted after all.
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

  9. #9
    Council Member slapout9's Avatar
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    Default We Should Bitch Slap Little Kim With A Sprint ABM!

    After Pershing Missiles I got tp play with this one as a kid to
    Zero to Mach 10 in 5 seconds!!!! with a Neutron Warhead. Little Kim needs to learn a lesson. Link to live footage of Sprint ABM test.


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=msXtgTVMcuA


    Here is another one good one with more detail. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vq4mWyYl2Y
    Last edited by slapout9; 04-07-2013 at 11:49 PM. Reason: stuff

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