View Poll Results: What is the near-term future of the DPRK

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  • It will fall into chaos as a result of renewed famine and poverty, resulting in military crackdowns.

    3 15.79%
  • There will be a military coup that displaces the current leadership, hopefully soon.

    4 21.05%
  • It will continue to remain a closed society, technologically dormant and otherwise insignificant.

    12 63.16%
  • The leadership will eventually make a misstep, forcing military action from the United States.

    0 0%
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Thread: North Korea: 2012-2016

  1. #541
    Council Member AdamG's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bill Moore View Post
    I think we get overly focused on missile capabilities due to our tendency to apply mirror analysis and assume our adversaries seek to fight the way we do. Even after the non-traditional attack on our homeland on 9/11 the military-industrial complex as shown little real progress in addressing increasingly dangerous non-conventional threats.

    However, that doesn't mean we should ignore missile technology, it may or may not be a red herring in this case, but it still bears watching as these two articles point out. At the end of the day, our adversaries have nuclear weapons, and they can be utilized in various ways to achieve their ends to include with and without missiles.
    Nothing was said about *just* a missile attack. Depending on who is involved and what their perceived victory conditions are, an attack might involve 1) missile(s) + 2) hacking +3) terror attacks on select targets + 4) infrastructure attacks (see California power grid) and whatever chaos is caused from that equation might be more about hamstringing a US response to a changing situation somewhere else on this globe.
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  2. #542
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    Gosh. How did we miss the Mu Du Bong mystery?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cPhwfXohDA

    See also
    http://www.rfa.org/english/news/kore...015140502.html

    Then, for nine straight days, from July 1-9, the Mu Du Bong stopped signaling on AIS, and disappeared from the commercial shipping grid. It’s possible the ship was simply sitting quietly at anchor. But there are echoes here not only of the Chong Chon Gang, but of a number of other North Korean-flagged freighters which over the years have followed this pattern of dropping off the grid in the vicinity of Cuba. In congressional testimony last September, illicit-trafficking expert Hugh Griffiths, of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, described this practice as “a common risk indicator of maritime trafficking.”
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/claudiar.../#2097b55c492a


    Current location

    http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/...sel:MU_DU_BONG
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  3. #543
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    North Korea has launched two ballistic missile toward the Sea of Japan, one of which exploded immediately after launch, according to the US. The move has been condemned by the country’s southern neighbor, as well as Japan and Washington.

    The projectile that was launched at about 7:50am local time (around midnight GMT), and, according to South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, flew for about 1,000 km (620 miles) before landing in Japan's economic exclusion zone. US Strategic Command said it had also detected a second launch which resulted in failure.
    https://www.rt.com/news/354410-korea...qCxt2N8.reddit
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  4. #544
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    SEOUL, Aug. 13 (Yonhap) -- North Korea on Saturday accused the United States of seeking to invade the communist state in the near future, and threatened to launch a nuclear strike against the U.S. at any sign of such a move.
    *

    The commentary came three days after Washington said it has deployed three B-2 stealth bombers to Guam in response to repeated and heightened provocations from the communist North that included recent missile launches.

    Pyongyang, however, claimed the deployment of nuclear capable U.S. bombers only showed U.S. intention to invade the North.
    http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/nati...04500320F.html
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  5. #545
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    North Korea has fired a ballistic missile from a submarine off its east coast, say the US and South Korea.

    The KN-11 missile was launched from waters near Sinpo and flew about 500km (300 miles) before falling into the Sea of Japan, a US official said.

    South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff said the missile fell inside Japan's Air Defence Identification Zone.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37171608?SThisFB
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  6. #546
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    North Korea says it has successfully carried out its fifth nuclear test, in continued defiance of UN resolutions.
    A 5.3 magnitude tremor had earlier been detected near its nuclear test site.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37314927
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  7. #547
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    The BBC's Korea correspondent Steve Evans says the South is using the same bloodcurdling rhetoric that the North frequently uses about the South Korean government in Seoul.
    He says there has been rising criticism within South Korea of the government as its attempts to isolate the North have failed to deter leader Kim Jong-un's nuclear ambitions.
    News of South Korea's attack plan for the North is believed to have been revealed to parliament following Friday's nuclear test.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37331852
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  8. #548
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    From October 8th

    SEOUL — North Korea conducted its first nuclear test exactly 10 years ago Sunday, exploding a crude atomic bomb and crossing what had long been considered a “red line.”
    A decade of condemnation, sanctions and ostracism later, the regime in Pyongyang has not pulled back. Far from it.
    Today, the country has a demonstrated nuclear weapons program, has made clear progress with missiles and is widely assumed to be able to put the two together. The only real question now is whether North Korea can deliver a nuclear-tipped missile to a target, and that is not much of a question. If it cannot yet, it will soon, analysts say.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...02f_story.html
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  9. #549
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    Default The Americans Who Chose To Live in North Korea, Defected to North Korea Documentary

    The Americans Who Chose To Live in North Korea, Defected to North Korea Documentary

    Entry Excerpt:



    --------
    Read the full post and make any comments at the SWJ Blog.
    This forum is a feed only and is closed to user comments.

  10. #550
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    The former top American commander in South Korea on Thursday said the Trump administration must be ready to launch a pre-emptive strike on North Korea before it tests a long-range missile capable of hitting the U.S. mainland.
    http://www.defensetech.org/2016/12/0...e-north-korea/
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  11. #551
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    When these sorts of ideas are entertained by CSIS panelists, you can be assured that this is no joke.

    Perhaps this is a message to Beijing that it needs to come to Jesus?

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