Has the exodus from Afghanistan begun? We know for example ANA SF have a 20% attrition rate per year, so a 95% refusal by diplomats to return to Kabul is, well, of note!

A total of 105 Afghan diplomats were meant to report for duty at the Foreign Ministry in Kabul on Saturday. They were being rotated out of their foreign postings as scheduled, and it was time to return to headquarters. Yet just five of them have resurfaced..... staff members have said they would apply for asylum in their respective host countries or at least apply for an extension of their service until the presidential election in spring 2014....Many Afghan diplomats are the sons and daughters of high-ranking politicians..
Link:http://www.spiegel.de/international/...-a-907601.html

In the same report a comment by a German NGO in Kabul:
In recent months some of our most qualified contacts have left the country. The refugees are above all "the highly educated, who were much more optimistic about the future a year ago".... Government ministers, lawmakers and senior military officials are also attempting to get their families out of the country.
The best comment is the last, by a Presidential official on the West's optimism:
This story has just one catch: Most Afghans don't believe it.