Taliban & Co. have been remarkable at remaining a more or less cohesive political entity over many years.
Mullah Omar has been the critical in maintaining that cohesiveness. He has a lot of respect and they all at least profess to defer to him.
At the same time, there have been over the years continuing indications that there are strong differences of opinion amongst these people, differences that if perhaps some restraints were loosened, might tend to loosen the cohesiveness.
Taliban & Co. breaking up into factions would be good for the current Afghan gov and for everybody else.
Taliban & Co breaking up into factions would be bad for the Pak Army/ISI and their madman fantasies of a Punjabi empire being the loci of a new caliphate.
Mullah Omar has been the Pak Army/ISI's man for a long, long time and there is no reason to think he won't stay their man.
He is a prime tool, perhaps the prime tool, they use to control Taliban & Co.
Taliban & Co seem to hate the Pak Army/ISI almost as much as they hate anybody and perhaps more. If they could just get loose of them... Of course different factions would differ on how loose they want to be.
We can't only infer what is going on. Our spies can't seem to do much to figure out what is actually going on.
With that in mind, the thought that whoever replaces MO may be worse is just a guess. He seems to be a critical person and as one who has wrapped himself in the cloak of the prophet, to not much objection, it is more probable to my mind that he cannot be replaced by somebody with similar stature.
Soooo...Kill him.
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