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  1. #1
    Council Member CrowBat's Avatar
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    Default

    Here we go:
    Mozambique army raids more Renamo hideouts

    BTW, should this become a serious campaign, expect the Zimbabweans to get involved too. The Beira corridor - the corridor connecting the port of Beira with Zimbabwean border, where there is also a major railway line - is of vital importance for that land-locked country, and there is no way they'll ignore any kind of threats for it.

    Back in the mid-1980s, Zimbabweans were crucial in fighting RENAMO (and, thanks to their traditions from Rhodesian times, and additional training by Pakistanis, also far more successful than the government forces). Nowadays they are usually either completely ignored, or much underestimated in the West. However, they have one of most professional and best trained militaries in Sub-Saharan Africa, a well developed COIN doctrine, and - most importantly - plenty of relevant and recent experience (from Congo, 1998-2003; namely, Zims tend to serve with the military for very long, because it's one of last 'decent' jobs in that country).

  2. #2
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default From the jungle to the beach

    It appears that RENAMO activities have spread from the interior, possibly alongside criminal kidnappers:http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/tr...e-tourism.html

    The (UK) Foreign Office warns that:
    the situation in Sofala Province remains tense and on October 22 there were reports of armed attacks in the region, including against a vehicle travelling on the EN1 road. Further attacks can’t be ruled out. There have also been reports of violent clashes between government forces and Renamo in Manica and Nampula provinces, and an armed attack on a civilian vehicle travelling along the E8 road between Nampula and Malema. Take extra care when travelling by road outside urban areas in the affected provinces.
    davidbfpo

  3. #3
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default An unknown 'Small War' may end

    Note the last post was in November 2013. Just caught an update via Twitter:
    A sense of calm has descended on Mozambique after long-standing civil war foes the Mozambique National Resistance Movement (Renamo) guerrillas and the Mozambique Liberation Front (Frelimo) government agreed to a new year ceasefire.
    Link:http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/relative-calm-descends-mozambique-optimism-grows-long-lasting-truce-1598541?

    The article implies there has been an insurgency since mid-2015, which I had not spotted - hence the title.

    I note the apparent map of AFRICOM's SOF activity does not include Mozambique:https://theintercept.com/2016/12/31/...s-shadow-wars/
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-02-2017 at 01:53 PM. Reason: 7,226v
    davidbfpo

  4. #4
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default What could go wrong: bankers and spooks borrow $2billion

    Sad tale how Mozambique's security agency negotiated a US$2billion loan, on the expectation of wealth from natural gas offshore and failed to tell anyone. The result:
    ... has caused a fiscal crisis that means interest on loans, civil service new year bonuses and other government bills was not paid this month.
    Link:https://www.theguardian.com/global-d...es-debt-crisis

    Might this factor in trying to get peace with Renamo?
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-27-2017 at 10:15 AM. Reason: 8,490v 1200 in 3 weeks.
    davidbfpo

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