The ANSF does not have to be next. The US does not make the SAME mistake everywhere...the biggest mistake would be to think that everything is the same.
In Afghanistan, the US supported regime and its army are both viable. They have been badly served by many US mistakes and they have thdir own weaknesses, but none that are necessarily fatal. The mistake here would be to dump them because the mess in the middle east proves the US did nothing right...
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