Ukraine: military (Aug '14 to mid-June '15) closed

[OUTLAW 09]

Back in #Donetsk Preview video Russian Orthodox Army on frontline. training, night battle, artillery
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6mZZo0bckA …

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian AF in a rather strong airborne nuclear strike formation is now over the Baltic Sea again.

Right now the Russian military has decided to "play chicken" nuclear wise with NATO over the Baltic since last Friday and yet still no comments from the Sec of State Kerry, the new SecDef, or just about anyone else in the White House. NATO's Breedlove is also strangely quiet.

Just hit social media:
Right now!
4xTu-95
2xTu-22
2xTu-134
over the Baltic Sea. More on the way out from the Gulf of Finland.

#What the hell is going on? Is Russian Air Force on exercise or actual live mission? Several days "playing chicken" with NATO QRA over Baltic

If Moscow's aim is to intimidate: NATO's Baltic Air Policing Mission is not intimidated. But risk of accidental 'event' is high.
(NOTE: last week a Russian SU 34 almost crashed into a Norwegian F16 as per the video that was taken by the Norwegian pilot)

98272 Tu-95 "Bear" calling BALANS on 8131 kHz. No answer.

Swedish lessons (post-submarine!) Finska Viken = Gulf of Finland. Östersjön = Baltic Sea.

Folks that know are expressing a lot of surprise at even more Tu-22/Tu-95 (multiple) Russian bomber activity over the Baltic this evening.

RUAF VHF TU22/95 freq active in Baltic Sea. Multiple planes active. Bears and Backfire again?

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian AF in a rather strong airborne nuclear strike formation is now over the Baltic Sea again.

Right now the Russian military has decided to "play chicken" nuclear wise with NATO over the Baltic since last Friday and yet still no comments from the Sec of State Kerry, the new SecDef, or just about anyone else in the White House. NATO's Breedlove is also strangely quiet.

Just hit social media:
Right now!
4xTu-95
2xTu-22
2xTu-134
over the Baltic Sea. More on the way out from the Gulf of Finland.

#What the hell is going on? Is Russian Air Force on exercise or actual live mission? Several days "playing chicken" with NATO QRA over Baltic

If Moscow's aim is to intimidate: NATO's Baltic Air Policing Mission is not intimidated. But risk of accidental 'event' is high.
(NOTE: last week a Russian SU 34 almost crashed into a Norwegian F16 as per the video that was taken by the Norwegian pilot)

98272 Tu-95 "Bear" calling BALANS on 8131 kHz. No answer.

Swedish lessons (post-submarine!) Finska Viken = Gulf of Finland. stersjn = Baltic Sea.

Folks that know are expressing a lot of surprise at even more Tu-22/Tu-95 (multiple) Russian bomber activity over the Baltic this evening.

RUAF VHF TU22/95 freq active in Baltic Sea. Multiple planes active. Bears and Backfire again?

What did just enter baltic sea?

Heavy acitivty on RUAF bear net RUAF acitivty in finnish bay

RUAF VHF comms consistent with SU27 fighters in Baltic Sea

GRU (?) numberstation heavily interfering with RU strategic air force net. How about some fq planning guys?

(NOTE: had assumed the numbers stations from the GRU had gone out of business ---surprised to see this as it is their standard comms method for talking to their spies)

Swedish Air Force Gulfstream SVF623 patrolling mid-Baltic parallel to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania coast
http://www.flightradar24.com/SVF623/500322f

[OUTLAW 09]

Seems the Russian FM is totally surprised by German response---I am not so sure they understand just how badly Putin has damaged German relations.

Lavrov surprised by Germany telling Russia to bugger off. http://mobile.reuters.com/article/id...41209?irpc=932 …

[OUTLAW 09]

In #Bahmutka,district of #Kalmius, #Donetsk thnx to #Russian terrorist inside #Ukraine army shelled 20 KIA 20 WIA of the Russian army 138ОМБ

BREAKING TheseT-64s were transported on Ruslan to #Taganrog & later to #Girking in #Slaviansk
https://twitter.com/askai707/status/542357133464186881 …
pic.twitter.com/4lySZbmDea

[OUTLAW 09]

A solid article on understanding the dynamics between Russia and the EU concerning the Ukraine and the direction the EU should take with Russia.

http://carnegieeurope.eu/2014/12/09/...th-russia/hw8b

For more than two decades, the main goal of the EU’s Russia policy was to help the country transform: from autocracy to democracy, from planned economy to market economy. The guiding vision was the “common European house”―the idea that Russia would gradually integrate into the structures that the EU had built over decades. The EU and its member states designed many bilateral and multilateral initiatives with Russia to create a whole web of relations. The bloc helped Russia become a member of the G8 group of leading economies, supported Moscow’s entry into the World Trade Organization, and set up a host of programs to foster Russia’s transformation. Russia was at the center of the EU’s activities in the region; other post-Soviet countries (besides the Baltic states) received considerably less attention.

This approach to the post-Soviet space has failed. Russia today is more autocratic internally and more aggressive toward its neighbors than at any time since the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991. Official propaganda paints the West as an enemy and actively tries to undermine unity in the EU and coherence in the transatlantic alliance. Russia has attacked Ukraine and even annexed a part of its territory, in violation of the agreements that underpin today’s international order and to which Moscow has signed up. At the same time, many other post-Soviet states are still very weak, which provides Russia with opportunities to endanger stability. In light of this changed context, the EU should shift its focus from Russia to other Eastern European countries.

Understanding Russian Behavior

There are two schools of thought that seek to explain Russia’s behavior.

For one school, Russian aggression is a reaction to the refusal by the United States to treat Russia as an equal power and to grant it an exclusive sphere of influence. According to this school, Russia never really gave up its imperialist mind-set―the view that Russia has the right to control its neighborhood in a world that Moscow perceives as multipolar and dominated by a small number of great powers. Having consolidated internally, Russia is now trying to rebuild a kind of Soviet Union lite. For two decades, Russia has been pushed around by an aggressive West; now, the country is on its feet again and is pushing back.

According to the second school of thought, Russia’s attack on Ukraine is defensive: the desperate move of a kleptocratic regime facing an existential threat, trying to keep democracy away from Russia and to regain legitimacy by rallying the population around a nationalist cause. In this view, the nightmare scenario for Russian President Vladimir Putin would be a color revolution in Russia like the popular uprisings of the early 2000s. By actively undermining democratic forces in neighboring post-Soviet countries, the Kremlin is building a buffer zone against Western influence.

[OUTLAW 09]

What did just enter baltic sea?

Heavy acitivty on RUAF bear net RUAF acitivty in finnish bay

RUAF VHF comms consistent with SU27 fighters in Baltic Sea

GRU (?) numberstation heavily interfering with RU strategic air force net. How about some fq planning guys?

(NOTE: had assumed the numbers stations from the GRU had gone out of business ---surprised to see this as it is their standard comms method for talking to their spies)

Swedish Air Force Gulfstream SVF623 patrolling mid-Baltic parallel to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania coast
http://www.flightradar24.com/SVF623/500322f

Finnish Air Force has a very artistic take on QRA photos.
http://goo.gl/ZnHHrm

[davidbfpo]

In the just cited Finnish MoD public website, a necessary detail:

Most Russian packages have departed from bases within Russia's mainland and headed towards the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad, to return via the same general routing.

One assumes these flights are in international airspace, although presumably encroach upon air defence identification zones (ADIZ), hence the NATO air policing response.

[OUTLAW 09]

In the just cited Finnish MoD public website, a necessary detail:

One assumes these flights are in international airspace, although presumably encroach upon air defence identification zones (ADIZ), hence the NATO air policing response.

NATO warplanes intercepted a "significant" force of six Russian nuclear-capable bombers (4 X Tu-95, 2 X Tu-22M) over the Baltic Sea v @afp

Some of the "numbers transmissions"

41431 to BALANS : 621 168 218 454 966 020 279 (16:38UTC) .Add at 16:41UTC: 831 518 +++ 41432 to BALANS : 159 168 010 950 966 011 (16;44UTC)

UPDATE: NATO Says Portuguese F-16s Intercept 6 Russian Nuclear-Capable Bombers (NOTE: Nuclear capable can mean the weapons are onboard but not armed)
http://bit.ly/1BwwAhm

[OUTLAW 09]

NATO warplanes intercepted a "significant" force of six Russian nuclear-capable bombers (4 X Tu-95, 2 X Tu-22M) over the Baltic Sea v @afp

Some of the "numbers transmissions"

41431 to BALANS : 621 168 218 454 966 020 279 (16:38UTC) .Add at 16:41UTC: 831 518 +++ 41432 to BALANS : 159 168 010 950 966 011 (16;44UTC)

UPDATE: NATO Says Portuguese F-16s Intercept 6 Russian Nuclear-Capable Bombers (NOTE: Nuclear capable can mean the weapons are onboard but not armed)
http://bit.ly/1BwwAhm

For those interested in number stations ----
http://priyom.org/

Next station in 26 minutes
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[OUTLAW 09]

For those interested in number stations ----
http://priyom.org/

Next station in 26 minutes
• HM01 11635kHz AM [Credit: N&O]
• M01 5320kHz CW

Russian Army
• UVB-76/The Buzzer/S28
• Latest 2014 Messages
• The Buzzer Primer
• S30 The Pip
• The Pip Dossier
• S32 The Squeaky Wheel
• Russian Army Page

Top Active Stations
• E06 English Man
• E07 English Man
• E07a English Man
• E11a Oblique
• E17z English Lady 674
• E25 Rebeat
• S06 Russian Man
• S06s Russian Lady
• S11a Cherta
• G06 German Lady
• V07 Spanish Lady
• V13 New Star Broadcasting
• V24 South Korea
• V30 Lighthouse
• VC01 Chinese Robot
• XPA Polytone
• XPA2 Polytone
• X06 Mazielka
• M03 Oblique
• M12
• HM01 Hybrid Mode

Something new happened on the number stations side today.

Numbers-Stations.com @Spy_Stations
Russian Spy Station E07 sent out in USB instead of AM mode, message was also read faster

[OUTLAW 09]

Another video has leaked out on Russian Spetsnaz operations in the Ukraine---

VIDEO 8/12/14 #Russia GRU Spetsnaz Soldiers in #Donetsk #Ukraine readying to go on mission

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn2H...kpZgeuWX1gvcJQ …
pic.twitter.com/oZUj7eXe3P

[OUTLAW 09]

NATO warplanes intercepted a "significant" force of six Russian nuclear-capable bombers (4 X Tu-95, 2 X Tu-22M) over the Baltic Sea v @afp

Some of the "numbers transmissions"

41431 to BALANS : 621 168 218 454 966 020 279 (16:38UTC) .Add at 16:41UTC: 831 518 +++ 41432 to BALANS : 159 168 010 950 966 011 (16;44UTC)

UPDATE: NATO Says Portuguese F-16s Intercept 6 Russian Nuclear-Capable Bombers (NOTE: Nuclear capable can mean the weapons are onboard but not armed)
http://bit.ly/1BwwAhm

RUAF strategic air forces (TU22/TU95) sw net up with voice traffic - this time possibly from North Sea?

My new sounds: 85042 Tu154 RUAF special flight
http://soundcloud.com/titanus_ko/850...special-flight … on #SoundCloud
(NOTE: Russian crew--- during comms back to base)

Two pair of Tu-95 "Bear" fly to home base Engels now. C/s 41462 . VHF comms .

[OUTLAW 09]

Taken straight out of the Russian eight phase UW strategy--seems they are deploying it in order to check the ability to support the UW strategy.

BREAKING #Girkin aka #Strelkov openly admits #Russia has 1st time used private companies in #Donetsk war activities

http://slon.ru/fast/russia/intervyu-...-1190377.xhtml …

[OUTLAW 09]

RUAF strategic air forces (TU22/TU95) sw net up with voice traffic - this time possibly from North Sea?

My new sounds: 85042 Tu154 RUAF special flight
http://soundcloud.com/titanus_ko/850...special-flight … on #SoundCloud
(NOTE: Russian crew--- during comms back to base)

Two pair of Tu-95 "Bear" fly to home base Engels now. C/s 41462 . VHF comms .

Impact from all the Russian activity

Lithuania Gen. Tamošaitis: "decision was made to put several of our military units on a higher state of preparedness"

http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs...in-kaliningrad …

Gen. Tamošaitis: "we have observed a rise" in activity of forces in Kaliningrad "as well as in the western part of the Russian Federation"

now it is Finland that has put her army on a heightened state of alert http://goo.gl/fb/YNHDkq

[OUTLAW 09]

RUAF strategic air forces (TU22/TU95) sw net up with voice traffic - this time possibly from North Sea?

My new sounds: 85042 Tu154 RUAF special flight
http://soundcloud.com/titanus_ko/850...special-flight … on #SoundCloud
(NOTE: Russian crew--- during comms back to base)

Two pair of Tu-95 "Bear" fly to home base Engels now. C/s 41462 . VHF comms .

Not the exact location given by the NATO QRA jets that intercepted it.

Russian warplane did not cross into Estonian airspace - defense ministry

MOSCOW. Dec 10 (Interfax-AVN) - The Russian Defense Ministry's aircraft did not violate the airspace of the Republic of Estonia, a ministry spokesperson said on Wednesday.

"On December 9 the Russian military aircraft was making a routine flight from the Kubinka airfield (Moscow region) to the Khrabrovo airfield (Kaliningrad region). The flight was carried out according to the established itinerary strictly in accordance with international rules for the use of airspace," the spokesperson said.

The Estonian Defence Forces' General Staff said on Wednesday that a Russian spy aircraft, an Ilyushin Il-20, had crossed into its airspace the night before.

[OUTLAW 09]

Again it appears Russians are in an "altered state of reality" and it was their moves into the Crimea and sending Russian troops and heavy weapons into eastern that nudged NATO eastwards with men, equipment and exercises.
15:00

General Staff: NATO uses "threat from East" thesis to bring its military infrastructure towards Russian border

[OUTLAW 09]

Appears France's Thales has been providing ITAR restricted equipment to Russian defense companies and the Chinese as well.


Thales's close ties to RUS military: avionics of Su-27, Ka-52 heli; MiG-AT aircraft ; Su-30 fighter; T-90 tanks; Superjet 100.

Thales should be ready for a big ITAR sanction and fine... that is going to hurt

US detected violations in transferring the restricted US space technology by Thales to China.

T-72B3 Tank used by Separatists equipped by French-made Thales Optotronique thermal imaging, detect 5km, ident 3,5 km
pic.twitter.com/AuUB3oqBPX

Thales (and others) uses a bunch of front companies for weapons/tech transfers, specially to certain customers.

Another proof that the EU Arms Export Control not functional.

Selling “ITAR-free” is a serious violation, US's Aeroflex fined, wondering why Thales isnt fined yet.

[OUTLAW 09]

Ukrainian Rada is going to change the ATO term they currently use--anti terrorist operation title-- to formally the term war in the next day or so and then on top of it declare the non block status null and void---that will agitate the Russians again.

Seen this? #Russia general staff admits has troops in #Donetsk, #Ukraine (mil. commission).
http://www.interfax.ru/world/412243

VIDEO "Kadirovci" -private army of #Chechnya leader Ramazan #Kadyrov in #Donetsk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-80r...1RC5P447d2nuKw … pic.twitter.com/3561uFnhna

#Putin's Creation:
Military Unit 22179 id'd as part of #Russia's invasion forces in #Ukraine
http://goo.gl/kpLuiV pic.twitter.com/Mao1znJ5f7

[OUTLAW 09]

'Don't care who kills me-#Poroshenko or #Putin!'Warlords riot(#Russia-held Pervomaisk,#Ukraine
pic.twitter.com/zREBlkxXrh

Russian #Cossack leader in #Pervomaisk: "We have not seen a single package from any of the Russian aid convoys. The LC keeps it."

#BREAKING
COSSACK FORCES IN #PERVOMAISK THREATEN OPEN WAR W/THE LC REGIME IN #LUHANSK:
"We can turn our weapons into the other direction!"

#BREAKINGNEWS
#Russia claims, #Ukraine requested Russian army troops to the frontline in #Debaltseve to negotiate a truce with the "rebels".