Page 14 of 191 FirstFirst ... 412131415162464114 ... LastLast
Results 261 to 280 of 3806

Thread: Syria in 2015

  1. #261
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Young Syrian girls in fight against #ISIS. While young men cowardly flee to Europe. pic.twitter.com/1npwZOVAYO

    The #Damascus suburb of #Duma is under intense shelling once again by #Assad.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rVZ7d9gg9U
    pic.twitter.com/GLj6pQ8Wqy

    Meanwhile in #Syria, our soon "partner against the terror" keeps bombing towns and cities.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iDGSOM5OBvw … pic.twitter.com/ydG6fRPhit

    فيصل بن فرحان @FaisalbinFarhan
    Ukraine now Syria.... I hope NATO isn't planing on making a habit of being caught surprised by Russian moves https://twitter.com/defenseone/statu...31631855505408

  2. #262
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    http://www.economist.com/news/middle...ositionsharden

    Positions harden

    Hopes for diplomatic progress aimed at ending the war go into reverse

    Sep 12th 2015 | CAIRO

    A FREAK sandstorm that swirled out of the Syrian Desert blotted skies over much of the Middle East from September 7th to 9th. Choking dust added to the misery of war-ravaged Syria, yet brought a brief respite from both the Syrian regime’s deadly barrel bombs and, in the parts of Syria and Iraq held by Islamic State (IS), from coalition air-raids targeting the self-declared caliphate.

    The giant dust cloud also provided a metaphor for the muddle of a brutal four-and-a-half-year-long conflict that keeps sucking in more armed actors even as it spews out ever more refugees. Bitter polarisation, not only between local groups but between their international sponsors, repeatedly obliterates any chance for peace.

    A flurry of diplomacy in August had, for instance, seemed the result of a growing convergence of interests between nearly all the main actors in Syria about the need to defeat IS. There were reasons to be hopeful. The deal over Iran’s nuclear program, Russia’s need to calm tense relations with the West, the growing exhaustion on the ground of President Bashar al-Assad’s forces, the keenness of America and its allies to show some progress after a year of bombarding IS, plus Turkey’s decision in July to commit more effort to the American coalition; all these factors suggested the possibility of movement.

    Russia, which despite its backing for Mr Assad has kept ties open with his foes, sponsored a constellation of meetings in Moscow and elsewhere. They brought together Vladimir Putin and several Arab heads of state, as well as Syrian government and opposition figures, Iranian officials and others. Yet it is now clear that no one has in fact budged. Russia and Iran, the main diplomatic and military sponsors of Mr Assad’s regime, announced renewed commitments to his survival. America and its allies retorted, with varying degrees of firmness, that the Syrian leader bears too much responsibility for the rise of IS, and has too much blood on his own hands, to be part of any transition. Turkey and Saudi Arabia, in particular, remain adamant that Mr Assad must go.

    Back to battle

    Positions on both sides seem now, if anything, to have hardened. Iran’s soft-spoken foreign minister, Javad Zarif, deflated what some Western diplomats had taken as hints that the Islamic Republic might be flexible about a regime it has supported with billions of dollars worth of arms and fuel as well as thousands of proxy fighters. “Those who set conditions about the Syrian president should be blamed for the continued war,” he said on September 7th.

    Russia, for its part, appeared piqued that neither America nor its allies in the Middle East is prepared to drop its rejection of Mr Assad in the interest of joining forces against IS. “The demand for Assad’s resignation as a precondition for the struggle against terrorism is completely unrealistic and counterproductive,” said Sergei Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, on September 1st. His words reflected Russia’s long insistence that the Syrian regime represents a bulwark in the global struggle against Islamist extremism—and a belief that its Western critics are naive to assert that Mr Assad’s own brutality and his efforts to stir sectarian hatred have been not only the prime recruiting tools for IS, but also the prime creator of refugees.

    Quietly, Russia also backed up these words with action. Since the start of Syria’s war in 2011 it has supplied Mr Assad with a constant flow of arms, spare parts, intelligence and technical aid. That flow has now increased markedly. The number of ships docking at Russia’s naval depot in the Syrian port of Tartus—its sole military facility outside the former Soviet Union—has grown. Instead of small numbers of regular conscripts, Russia has begun rotating in groups of highly trained infantry. American officials say they have detected the unloading of prefabricated units to house up to 1,000 Russian troops. Russia has also escalated propaganda to bolster Mr Assad; among other moves it dispatched a teen weightlifting star, Maryana Naumova, “the world’s strongest girl”, to the Syrian capital at the invitation of Asma al-Assad, the president’s wife.

    While there is no sign that America or its allies have any intention of matching Russia’s bravado by putting troops on the ground in Syria, the coalition air effort is also expanding. Britain announced this week that it has undertaken its first drone strike in Syria (see article). France has launched aerial reconnaissance operations in advance of its own possible air strikes, and Australia has announced that it, too, is joining the aerial campaign. On September 9th, meanwhile, Syrian sources claimed that a coalition air raid west of the IS capital, Raqqa, had killed as many as 20 civilians who had been drafted to dig trenches for the jihadists.

    Since its losses to coalition-backed Kurdish forces in northern Syria earlier in the summer, IS has largely held its ground despite the bombing campaign. Mr Assad’s forces have not fared so well. On September 9th they admitted the loss to a rebel force of an important airbase south of Aleppo, Syria’s second city (its largest in population terms, at least before the war). The defeat follows a sequence of smaller setbacks for the regime, and endangers the long and narrow salient that is the Assad government’s sole supply route to the city, where its forces have been locked in a ruinous two-year war of attrition against multiple rebel groups.

    Embarrassingly for America and its allies, the rebel force that captured the air base was led by Jabhat al Nusra, the Syrian affiliate of al-Qaeda and itself a target of American air raids. The fall of Aleppo would be a disastrous blow to Mr Assad, but it would also generate yet another flood of refugees, adding to the 7.6m already displaced in Syria and 4m who have fled abroad. This time, for a change, the new wave of arrivals in Europe would largely be Mr Assad’s supporters.

  3. #263
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    If we take the experience of the Russian "humanitarian aid convoys" into the Ukraine ratio for military to civilian "aid" this means 80 tons of military aid.

    Russia delivered 80 tons of "aid" to Syria. https://twitter.com/ukrpravda_news/s...30418485309440

  4. #264
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    This is a development of extreme strategic significance. ISIS isn't just in Sinai any more. IS reportedly spreading in Egypt. https://twitter.com/incworldagency/s...70130776375301

    AND the narrative of this Iranian message is what again????
    Khamenei.ir
    ‏@khamenei_ir If any war happens...
    https://youtu.be/QjmDV8kagV8

    Russia signature '#humanitarianconvoy ', first for #Syria, has just arrived. This time, they used 2 cargo planes. https://twitter.com/UKROPSTEEL/statu...25466681618432

    Their faces when they send soldiers to die in the #Syria to rise the price for #Russian oil but it doesn't works... pic.twitter.com/wx30GzMPQI

  5. #265
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    This is a telling comment about the lack of any US strategic thinking at any level when it comes to Russia and especially Putin either in the Ukraine and or Syria—even now.

    Earnest said that the U.S. remains unsure about Russia’s intentions in Syria. (Critics say this inability to understand President Vladimir Putin prevented the Obama administration from anticipating the invasion of Ukraine, or responding effectively to the conflict that followed.)

    “At this point, it’s hard to tell exactly what they’re planning to do,” he said. “We’ve, I think. tried to make clear what we would like to see them do, but ultimately they’ll have to decide.”

  6. #266
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Russia Expanding Syrian Latakia Airport. No #Syrian mil & civ personnel allowed to the site http://abcnews.go.com/International/...rport-33724072 … pic.twitter.com/2IBvYp4OHl

    Bombing Assad would probably mean bombing Russian troops as well by now. Good idea?

    BREAKING: Syrian Rebels declare general mobilization in #Damascus and its countryside.

    Assad is needed to stop ISIS?
    Hardly. His barrel bombs are ISIS's best recruiting tool
    .
    http://bit.ly/1NxhoXA pic.twitter.com/OQTDfF3W7X

  7. #267
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    http://www.nationalinterest.org/blog...he-world-13823

    Moscow's Moves in Syria: 5 Messages Russia Is Sending to the World

    As Russian ships and planes continue to deposit additional personnel and equipment in Syria, here are five geopolitical messages Russian president Vladimir Putin is sending to the world:

    One: Reports of Russia’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. In other words, the narrative that Western sanctions plus falling oil prices combined with China’s economic slowdown have brought the Kremlin to the edge of collapse is quite premature. Russia has only a fraction of U.S. global power projection capabilities but in its ability to send forces to Syria it still ranks among a select few countries—with more European countries prepared to fall off that list—who can send and sustain military forces beyond their immediate borders. The Kremlin is clearly signaling that it plans to take an active role in setting the agenda in the Middle East—and not to passively accept an American vision for how the future should unfold.

    Second: Putin is making it clear that he will not accept Washington's default position that the removal of a brutal strongman from power is a path to greater long-term stability in the Middle East. And while the United States and Europe continue to debate their next moves, particularly in the wake of the migrant crisis, Russia is prepared to act on its assessment that more direct military assistance to aid Assad in combating the Islamic State is the best way to end the conflict. Putin has repeatedly indicated that if the goal of Western policy is to reduce the flow of refugees and decrease the threat of Islamic terrorism gaining a new Afghanistan-style base of operations, then the experience of Iraq and Libya suggests that overthrowing Assad and hoping the opposition can form a more effective and stable state administration will not achieve these ends. Having reached this conclusion, Putin is uninterested in asking for the West's permission or Washington's blessing.

    Third: Russia is more confident of its position in Ukraine. The uptick in violence over the summer has receded, with the cease-fire again largely appearing to be holding. At the same time, Ukraine’s ongoing domestic political and economic woes suggest that there will be no major breakthrough that will solidify the Maidan revolution and put the country on an irreversible path towards closer integration with the Euro-Atlantic world. Instead, things appear to be settling down into a protracted frozen conflict where Moscow retains most of the leverage.

    Forth: The Kremlin enforces its red lines. Just as Moscow would not permit the separatists to face catastrophic defeat last summer in Ukraine, Russia has signaled that it will not sit by and allow Bashar al- Assad to be overthrown or removed by outside military action. With more Russian forces on the ground, and reportedly augmenting Assad's air defense capabilities, the risk calculus for any sort of U.S. or NATO action against Assad's government has dramatically increased. Even more limited proposals; such as enforcing a no-fly zone to create protected space on the ground for refugees now opens up the possibility for a clash with Russian forces.

    And Fifth: Russia's willingness to put "boots on the ground" in Syria, in contrast to a increasingly desperate search on Washington's part for local proxies willing and able to fight both Assad and ISIS and the reluctance of key U.S. allies to take on more of the burden, serves several purposes. It reassures Russian partners that Moscow is prepared to meet its pledges even if there is a cost in terms of resources, lives, and reputation. This has not gone unnoticed in places like Egypt and Azerbaijan, where governments question the depth of the American commitment to their well-being. For Middle Eastern countries that have opposed Russian policy in Syria, Putin's decision to up the ante may lead them to reassess whether the path to a viable settlement resides not in Washington, soon to be increasingly distracted by an election campaign, but through Moscow.

    Putin's decision reflects an assessment that the risk of greater Russian involvement in Syria is outweighed by the dangers to Russian interests if Assad should fall. Russia will not be persuaded by strongly worded demarches to reverse its deployment. The United States, in charting its response, needs to be guided by a similar calculation of the ends it hopes to achieve with the means it is prepared to commit.

  8. #268
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Poor #Assad. Despite #Russia's vast support, he's unable 2 even start fighting #ISIS w/o special invite from West. https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/643080483308371969

  9. #269
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Some SAA/SyAAF personnel who've managed to withdraw from Abu Duhur Airbase have made it to an NDF checkpoin... http://redd.it/3kte0x

    Syria #jazal_field Daesh published a video, showing the Battle, when they show off the captured weapon's, they also pic.twitter.com/glncCI1Ob5

    show this 9K115 Metis ATGM system with 6 missile's in crates... pic.twitter.com/MLvp6ovRV7

    Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
    Russia calls on US to co-operate with its military in Syria - http://FT.com http://on.ft.com/1K18DPt via @FT

    Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
    Mark the progression of logic. Kremlin and apologists went from denying a new military buildup to saying "no big deal, same as always"...

    Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
    ... to acknowledging direct Russian intervention to warning the West that "accidents" may occur if we don't coordinate.

  10. #270
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    If roads between Homs & Damascus can be blocked, there will be incentive for regime to sit down.
    But afraid Assad needs to go first.

    Strategic areas taken by rebels will eventually lead to talks. Talks where rebels/regime meet as equals.

    What happened yesterday in eastern Ghouta is exactly what is needed for eventual political solution.

    Another view based on full @IUCAnalysts map: recent @CENTCOM targets in Syria in relation to Russian base in Tartus. pic.twitter.com/SLsyuxzFaZ

    More mixed signals from Moscow? Putin Said to Explore Sidelining Assad Even as Russia Arms Him http://bloom.bg/1K8HfBe

    Footage
    Syrian #FSA rebels fire foreign-supplied 60 and 82 mm mortars on the #Latakia-#Idlib border
    .
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5fWZl41zUqQ

    Elijah J. Magnier @EjmAlrai
    Iraq hits the Iranian influence: Abadi heading toward dismantling Hashd al-Sha’bi. My take
    http://www.alraimedia.com/ar/article...619795/nr/iraq … pic.twitter.com/zNRGeBvpXt

  11. #271
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Humor----

    Russia sends advanced air defences to #Syria even though #ISIS doesn't have jets, 'They might have magic carpets' pic.twitter.com/yStNta3IpH

  12. #272
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Appears Kerry needs to come up with a new plan-----other that calling on the phone and complaining.

    Russia is going all in on their deployment into Syria—this is not just any old train and equip—the T-90 is the most modern Russian tank and even on the Ukraine only one and or two were spotted and reported via social media—not the seven at one time mentioned here.

    Appears that actually Russia have in fact be bringing in three Russian brigades which is far more than what is needed for a train and equip mission—besides the most the Syrians have been driving are the T-72s.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/...s-syria-usa-id...

    Russia positioning tanks at Syria airfield: U.S. officials

    WASHINGTON

    Russia has positioned about a half dozen tanks at a Syrian airfield where it has been steadily building up defenses, two U.S. officials told Reuters on Monday, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss the matter.

    One of the U.S. officials said seven Russian T-90 tanks were seen at the airfield near Latakia, a stronghold of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The two U.S. officials said Russia had also positioned artillery there.

  13. #273
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/14/op...-on-syria.html

    The Opinion Pages | Op-Ed Contributor

    Don’t Trust Putin on Syria

    By ANDREW FOXALL

    SEPT. 14, 2015

    LONDON — SYRIA is being destroyed. The civil war, now more than four years old, has left the country in ruins. The implacable Islamic State controls vast areas of the north and east, and the barbaric regime of President Bashar al-Assad maintains its Damascus stronghold.

    The Western powers — the United States and Europe — have no good options to combat the Islamic State, but they can’t do nothing. Either they must work with Mr. Assad’s regime to combat the jihadists, or ignore its existence and undertake military action alone to push back the jihadists. Thus far, though, the American-led air campaign against the Islamic State has done little to halt its advances.

    This stark choice is a result of the failure of recent Western policy. One person who understands this better than most is the Russian president, Vladimir V. Putin.

    On Sept. 4, Mr. Putin announced that Russia had been providing military aid to Damascus against the Islamic State — support that has recently been ramped up. He also called for “some kind of an international coalition to fight terrorism and extremism.” This is in keeping with Moscow’s Syria policy, which has been consistent since 2010: Block any American-backed move to remove Mr. Assad from power and instead force the West to embrace him as a partner.

    Russia has been isolated by the West because of its actions in Ukraine, but now presents itself as an unlikely savior — an indispensable partner in the West’s efforts against Islamist extremism.

    We’ve been here before. After the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Mr. Putin was the first world leader to speak with President George W. Bush. Days later, Mr. Putin promised Russia’s support for the American-led coalition against the Taliban in Afghanistan, urging others to join Russia in “fighting international terrorism.”

    Islamist terrorism is an issue close to Mr. Putin’s heart; it helped him rise to power in the first place. Over several weeks in September 1999, a series of bombings destroyed four apartment buildings in Moscow and two other Russian cities. Almost 300 people were killed, with hundreds more injured.

    Islamist terrorists from the southern Russian republic of Chechnya were blamed for the attacks. Given that pretext, Russia’s traumatized public readily acquiesced when Moscow began a second war in Chechnya. A few months after the invasion, Russia’s then relatively unknown, recently appointed prime minister, Mr. Putin, was swept into the presidency.

    There are issues, however, with the official narrative. Critics point to evidence that the apartment bombings were carried out by Russia’s Federal Security Bureau, or at least with F.S.B. involvement.

    Less than a week after the fourth bombing, a fifth bomb was uncovered in the basement of a building in another Russian city. It was disarmed before it could explode, and the bombers were arrested and identified. They turned out to be not Chechen terrorists but F.S.B. agents. Mr. Putin, himself a former head of the F.S.B., dismissed the notion that the bombings were a state-sponsored plot.

    Yet suspicions that Moscow manipulates terrorism for its own purposes have re-emerged. In July, Novaya Gazeta, one of Russia’s few remaining independent newspapers, reported that the F.S.B. had been controlling the flow of jihadists from the North Caucasus to Syria, where many joined the Islamic State. The newspaper’s investigation found that the F.S.B. had established a “green corridor” allowing Islamist radicals to travel via Turkey, since Moscow would rather have these jihadists fighting in Syria than in Russia.

    So much for leading the international effort against terrorism. Yet, that same month, President Obama said he was “encouraged” by a call from Mr. Putin to discuss Syria, and that this “offers us an opportunity to have a serious conversation.” Mr. Obama should not be fooled.

    Mr. Putin’s master plan for Syria — promoted by his foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov — is clear: that the Western and Arab countries, which form the present anti-Islamic State coalition, should join forces with Mr. Assad, together with Kurdish and Iraqi troops; Iran, Hezbollah and Russia may also join this alliance. The coalition would obtain a formal mandate from the United Nations Security Council and then defeat the jihadist insurgency.

    Russia would then bring Mr. Assad to the negotiating table and oversee a political transition that preserves his regime. Mr. Putin plans to address the United Nations General Assembly later this month about this plan.

    In promoting a rapprochement between Russia and the West over the Islamic State, Mr. Putin hopes to rehabilitate himself, just as he did after Sept. 11. Back then, Mr. Putin convinced the West that the threat it faced in Afghanistan and elsewhere was the same as Russia faced in Chechnya. By doing so, Russia’s president was able to tamp down Western criticism of Russia’s brutality in Chechnya.

    The Kremlin saw the West’s enthusiasm for cooperation as weakness. It led Mr. Putin to believe that he could act however he liked in Russia, and get away with it. That belief still prevails — but no longer applies only to Russia.

    If a new rapprochement on Syria goes ahead, Ukraine would be conveniently forgotten. This would risk undermining the West’s Ukraine-related sanctions, and provide Mr. Putin with tacit recognition of Russia’s annexation of Crimea and Moscow’s dominance of eastern Ukraine.

    Russia would thus have triumphed over the world order imposed by the West after the end of the Cold War. America’s enemies, from China to Iran, would see this as an invitation to redefine their relationships with Washington.

    The West should consider all options on Syria — including an international coalition with Russia against the Islamic State. But if that is the chosen course, the West must doubt that Mr. Putin can be trusted, that intelligence shared by Russia will be credible, or that the Kremlin can help negotiate a diplomatic settlement in Syria that the West and its Arab allies can support.

    Georgia and Ukraine show what happens when the West does not block Russia’s coercive diplomacy. We must not let Mr. Putin dictate the terms of cooperation. To do so risks repeating past mistakes.

  14. #274
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Russia confirmed that their latest T-90 tanks are in "one of the Arab countries". Guess where? https://twitter.com/rianru/status/643440243228700672

    Syria: More photos for areas (mounts and bases) captured by Rebels in NE-#Damascus. pic.twitter.com/914TosRc3k

    The fall of these mounts will secure the northern areas of E-Ghouta (including #Douma) from Regime artillery attacks. pic.twitter.com/ek7IbpR7xt

  15. #275
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    There are now enough Russian housing units at Bassel al-Assad International Airport in Latakia for 1,500 Russian soldiers.

  16. #276
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs...ampaign=buffer

    September 14, 2015

    Syria: The Right Salafis Can Make All the Difference

    By Mona Alami

    Salafi groups in Western media have triggered a debate over the jihadists’ role in the Syria war. The proliferation of terrorist groups like the Islamic State (ISIS or ISIL) has left the West wary of the Salafis, a narrative used by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to promote himself as a counterweight to the spread of extremism—an expansive label lumping together secular rebels and Salafi factions. The temptation to group all Islamists and rebels under a single label ignores new dynamics—from internal rivalries to efforts to consolidate some groups—that could shape foreign policy responses and, indeed, the Syrian conflict itself.

    Assad’s future as president appears increasingly less viable as his territory shrinks to one sixth of pre-2011 Syria. Despite the lack of adequate military and financial support, the Free Syrian Army (FSA)—Syria’s nationalist rebel coalition—remains the best hope at reviving a post-civil war Syria, but represents only one of many players in a scene dominated by radical heavy weights. The limited US $500 million train-and-equip program has had little effect in propping up the FSA. In July, the first US-trained fifty-four graduates of the program crossed into Syria. The Nusra front swiftly kidnapped seven before later releasing them in August.

    In contrast to the weakness of the FSA, Islamist and Salafi groups have continued to capture territory and consolidate their strength, with most recently advances made by Jaysh al-Islam in the Ghouta region, close to Damascus, on September 13. The philosophies that shape their motives, however, yield subtle but important differences that make all the difference in a post-war Syria.

    ISIS and the Nusra Front, for instance, remain ideologically close to al-Qaeda. “For ISIS and Nusra, jihad is at the center of their ideology, which is by definition transnational. But while ISIS militants are takfiris [the belief that other groups are apostates], Nusra includes elements who are and others who are not,” said Syrian Islamic scholar Sheikh Hasan Dgheim in an interview with the Atlantic Council from Rihaniya, on the Turkey-Syria border. Alternatively, groups such as Jaysh al-Islam (a coalition of Islamist and Salafist units) and Ahrar al-Sham (formerly a coalition that coalesced into a single brigade) are considered mujahideen who use jihad as a rallying cry against the Assad regime. “For us, jihad constitutes a means and not an end, which means it is limited to the context of the Syria war and will end with it,” Lieutenant Hassan Alloush, spokesperson for Jaysh al-Islam, said in an interview with the Atlantic Council.

    Fear of all things Salafi has led many experts to conflate Syrian Islamist rebel groups, regardless of their ideological and political evolution. Former US Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford, now at the Middle East Institute advocated engaging with Ahrar al-Sham, demonstrating in his writing how these misconceptions could lead to lost opportunities to end the conflict. Jihadists’ priorities have slowly diverged in recent years, as illustrated by the different philosophies of factions such Jaysh al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham—whose goals are above all Syria centric—and radical factions such as ISIS, Nusra, and Jund al-Aqsa—whose primary agenda remains transnational.

    The mujahideen have proven their ability to adapt to changes on the local Syrian scene. Ahrar al-Sham initially positioned itself as a faction rejecting Western-style democracy and calling for a Sunni theocracy in Syria after the fall of Assad. Syrian sources privy to the group’s dynamics, however, note that a growing number of its militants have admitted that any post-Assad government should reflect the Syrian people’s will. The group’s leader Hashem al-Sheikh also stated that future governments would emerge from the people.

    This evolution has shifted Ahrar al-Sham’s policies in a more moderate direction. After the Jaysh al-Fath coalition—a major Islamist rebel actor comprised of Salafis and Islamist groups including the Nusra front, Ahrar al-Sham, Jund al-Aqsa, and Ajnad al-Sham among others—secured a significant victory in Idlib in March, Ahrar al-Sham spokesperson Abu Yazed Tafenaz insisted that civilians should administer the city and that rebel groups should handle the city’s security.

    Jaysh al-Islam leader Zahran Alloush has similarly reversed previous policies hostile to Western values. In an interview in 2013, Alloush rejected democracy, adding that only an Islamic system would guarantee justice and equality for all. He also voiced hatred toward Shia Muslims and many believe him to have orchestrated the kidnapping of famous Syrian pro-democracy activist Razan Zeitouneh, among others. Yet, Alloush is also a staunch opponent of ISIS and Nusra. Jaysh al-Islam has increasingly worked with civilians to support local administration, the justice system, and policing efforts in Ghouta, according to Istanbul-based Syria expert Sinan Hatahet.

    Both Jaysh al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham appear to have agreed during a recent Islamic panel to adhere to the Syrian constitution of 1950, preserve local institutions, and reject revenge operations, according to Hatahet and Sheikh Dgheim (although this information could not be independently confirmed).

    Internal dynamics also play a key part in shaping the behavior of Salafi groups. Recently, Ahrar al-Sham’s foreign relations official Labib al-Nahhas launched a charm offensive on the West, penning editorials in The Washington Post and The Daily Telegraph where he argued that his group represents a moderate Syrian faction. However, shortly after, another branch of the movement published a powerful eulogy of Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar that praised the Taliban movement’s activity.

    These recent contradictory statements underline a rivalry between two competing currents within Ahrar al-Sham. Nahhas represents the more moderate, media-friendly arm while a man called Mohamed Abu Sadek leads the more conservative trend—one with close ties to the Nusra Front. These relative ideological rivals will soon face off in the group’s next election, the outcome of which would undoubtedly affect Ahrar al-Sham’s future policies.

    The Nusra Front has also struggled with three competing internal movements: one comprised of takfiri militants close to ISIS; another conservative movement represented by Jordanian scholar Dr. Sami Uraydi; and a reformist movement led by Syrian born Abu Maryam al-Qahtani. Qahtani has shown the greatest flexibility in working with FSA factions and supported the creation of a Turkish safe zone, which the Nusra leadership had rejected. Some Islamists within Nusra believe that the rivalry could lead to Qahtani’s withdrawal from Nusra. If he can secure the necessary funding, he would either start his own group or join one of the Syrian mujahideen groups.

    Understanding local dynamics namely those that might possibly result in a restructuring of influential groups is key to developing efficient foreign policy to Syria. The Jaysh al-Islam and Ahrar al-Sham cases show that Syrian hardliner groups have the capacity to evolve and that key leaders within these factions can redirect a group’s philosophy. By identifying influential figures and providing the appropriate support, they will influence the future of their movements and possibly of Syria at large.

  17. #277
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    http://dailysignal.com/2015/09/14/it...fighting-isis/

    ‘It’s a War’—A Look at How the US and Its Allies Are Fighting ISIS

    Nolan Peterson / @nolanwpeterson / September 14, 2015

    U.S. ARMED FORCES, Southwest Asia—It’s dinnertime at the DFAC (the military acronym for chow hall) at this remote desert base somewhere in the Persian Gulf region. As they eat, a group of four U.S. Air Force A-10 pilots talk about their war against Daesh, which is what the U.S. military and its coalition partners call ISIS.

    Even with their close-cropped hair and tan flight suits there’s nothing outwardly remarkable about the pilots. They might pass for any other Americans in their late 20s and early 30s. They smile a lot as they talk and casually tease each other based on inside jokes accumulated after living and working together 24/7 for about five months. Most have families and children back home. They have the normal complaints for deployed troops, including restrictions on moustache size, which is a major topic of conversation. Dinner at a U.S. military chow hall in 1944 probably wouldn’t be much different from this one.

    As the pilots talk they use all the familiar lingo and clichéd expressions common to military aviation. But among the typical lexicon there’s another word they use a lot, which seems to stand out from the rest: “Hunting.”

    “I’m doing stuff here that I never thought I’d get to do,” one pilot, an Air Force major said. “We’re hunting. And there are very few sorties when you’re not shooting.”

    Many U.S. military pilots and other personnel have chosen not to reveal their identities due to security concerns. Mainly, they’re concerned about domestic ISIS sleeper cells retaliating on their families back in the U.S.—a threat they consider deadly serious.

    The pilots say their mindset flying against ISIS is different from the one they had in Afghanistan, a theater in which most of these pilots have also flown in combat. In Afghanistan, they say, they had a defensive mindset; the priority was to defend U.S. troops on the ground with close air support. In the war on Daesh over Iraq and Syria, however, they describe their mindset as offensive. In addition to close air support and bombing missions, they also fly air interdiction missions in which they patrol for targets of opportunity—essentially hunting for ISIS militants to kill. And they kill a lot. Sometimes one pilot will kill dozens of ISIS fighters in one sortie.

    Each pilot flies every one to three days, racking up about 100 combat hours a month. Due to the large airspace they patrol, the sorties are long, sometimes lasting about eight hours. The pilots prepare their bodies to endure the physical demands of long missions in a single-seat attack aircraft with massages and special workout programs.

    “We’re like professional athletes at the end of a season,” a pilot said. “We’re fighting a legit war here, and it’s active.”

    Stalemate

    Overall, Operation Inherent Resolve (the U.S.-led combined joint task force in Iraq and Syria) is killing about 1,000 ISIS fighters a month. The death toll roughly matches the number of new recruits ISIS is able to field each month, effectively capping its manpower strength at about 30,000 to 40,000 fighters.

    “This is a war, just based on the magnitude of the people we’re killing.” said Col. Michael Koscheski, commander of the 332nd Air Expeditionary Wing (the iconic “Red Tails” from World War II in which the Tuskegee Airmen flew) in an interview from an undisclosed deployed location.

    “We’re killing a lot of them, I mean a lot,” Koscheski added. “The body count is a factor. It’s not the only factor, but it’s a factor. It will be interesting to see if Daesh can maintain its current attrition rate.”

    Although Operation Inherent Resolve comprises more than 60 countries, only 12 are actively conducting airstrikes. According to Department of Defense data released Sept. 8, the coalition has conducted 6,700 airstrikes and flown an estimated 53,278 total sorties.

    U.S. and coalition commanders explain their overall objective in Operation Inherent Resolve as twofold—to both destroy ISIS and to train and equip the Iraqi Security Forces, Kurdish Peshmerga and Free Syrian Army to take back territory under ISIS control and to eventually shoulder the fight on their own.

    “Success is the implosion of Daesh from within,” Koscheski said. “Over time it will be like a cancer, it will eat itself from the inside out.”

    “But the Iraqis have to do this for themselves,” he said. “That’s the end goal. Without Iraqi ground troops to take back ground, the effectiveness of airpower is limited.”

    Continued.........

  18. #278
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Rebels in Mare', #Aleppo discovered an ISIS VBIED that tried to enter the city, the driver was also apprehended. pic.twitter.com/krrhUE9dhn

    Hebrew text on #Hezbollah's machine guns in #Qalamoun http://mme.cm/E69U00 by @RanyaRadwan

    The great #Putin Ever vigilant. Keeping us safe from the evil west! pic.twitter.com/hMKa3k9BKN

    Russia shipping tanks into Syria, in ‘first clear sign of offensive weapons’

    Pentagon refer 2 'steady flow' of kit & people 2 Syrian airbase; believe #Russia establishing forward air operating base there. 2 what end?

  19. #279
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Syria : Many new defensive/comms positions recently built between Ghab Plain and #Latakia This one overlooking M4 pic.twitter.com/l3zvL4kbU6

    Syria|n Il-76T YK-ATB departed from #Damascus going to #Teheran. pic.twitter.com/iQ5VsEIFBB

    Def officials estimate:by end of Sept #Russians ready to operate out their base in Syria http://www.cbsnews.com/news/russian-...rive-in-syria/ … pic.twitter.com/CP1nhpVPzT

    SYRIA: At least 7 Russian Condor transport planes have been sent through Iranian and Iraqi airspace - @uygaraktas
    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/15/wo...=top-news&_r=1
    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 09-14-2015 at 06:00 PM.

  20. #280
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    35,749

    Default

    Humor---

    Russian Trolls last week - "It's humanitarian aid"
    Russian Trolls this week - "Haha. It's tanks"

    U.S. intelligence publishes satellite imagery of Russian base in Syria
    http://www.unian.info/world/1123207-...-in-syria.html … pic.twitter.com/fYTSwYr1Ts

    Syria : Another recent #SAA #NDF marathon. This time from the South Ghab Plain http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35...53374&z=15&m=b … pic.twitter.com/ggobpuqT44

    A #Syria Air Airbus just made a strange "loop" over #Russia`s #Latakia Air base http://www.flightradar24.com/SYR390/76c1cfa pic.twitter.com/euK21H5c1I

Similar Threads

  1. Foreign fighters in Iraq & Syria
    By davidbfpo in forum Middle East
    Replies: 39
    Last Post: 12-08-2015, 08:52 PM
  2. Afghanistan 2015 onwards: Moderator's Notice
    By davidbfpo in forum OEF - Afghanistan
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 12-30-2014, 09:12 PM
  3. Syria: The case for inaction
    By Fuchs in forum Middle East
    Replies: 33
    Last Post: 09-10-2013, 01:23 PM
  4. Replies: 534
    Last Post: 09-20-2010, 01:18 PM

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •