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Thread: Iran: ally, friend or enemy? (2015 onwards)

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  1. #19
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    Former Iranian president Rafsanjani dies of heart attack: state media
    http://reut.rs/2iWIMoO

    Three people built and then sustained the Islamic Republic. Khomeini, Rafsanjani and Khamenei.Rafsanjani made 2 mistakes. The first & worst was to allow the IRGC into the Iranian economy. This would prove catastrophic for his faction (& Iran) it turned the IRGC from just a military org into a force that would permeate and ultimately dominate all levels of Iranian society: economically, politically and militarily.

    The IRI we see we see today: with Iran resurgent across the ME can be traced (*in part*) to that decision. The second mistake he made was to think he could "control" Khamenei forever.

    As time passed Khamenei consolidated power, esp after 2009 uprising. When Khamenei, breaking with protocol, directly intervened in Iranian politics on side of Ahmadinejad whose fraudulent re-election as president had brought the people onto the streets in protest.In so doing Khamenei threw his lot in with Ahmadinejad and the IRGC that backed him, and drew away from Rafsanjani and the clerics in the holy city of Qom.

    Since then Rafsanjani became marginalised & an overt government critic. He was banned from standing as Pres in last elect.

    In its place is an IRI dominated less by the clerics and more by the IRGC. Right now in Iran there is a huge struggle between President Rouhani - a *moderate* - who wants greater cooperation with the west & entrenched hardliners who are against any further cooperation with the West. Cooperation w the west = no "Great Satan", a founding principle of the IRI.

    And no common enemy with which to unite the people around. Rafsanjani's death weakens Rouhani and empowers hardliners.
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-10-2017 at 03:11 PM. Reason: Moved from Syria thread.

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