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  1. #1
    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
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    Post Hmmmm

    Quote Originally Posted by TROUFION View Post
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080303/...zuela_colombia

    Ah Hugo, in my opinion you are a dollar store version of Cesear. But you do keep South America interesting. I wouldn't put invading Colombia beyond his mindset, could he pull that off? Would Venezuala support him and if so for how long.

    I think he could launch an invasion but beyond a few weeks it would bog down, certaintly not worth the costs. Unless he really believes his investigation into the "real reason" for Simon Bolivar's death was by Colombian Agents...

    -T
    Mr. Chavez is extremely good at doing and saying whatever he wants without thinking through the end results. Me thinks Some of his neighbors might have a word or two on this and what they say will end up doing more to determine what happens then anything he dreams up.

    Just make sure nobody tells him the king isn't wearing any clothes

    As for Equador simply put, handle your own garbage or it will be handled
    for you. Sounds fair to me

  2. #2
    Council Member MattC86's Avatar
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    Colombia is now claiming they uncovered intel linking FARC and Ecuador. . . which is hardly a surprise given that when under pressure, the narco groups and the guerrillas cross into Ecuador for security. I still haven't heard any good analysis about whether this is a lot of bluster or a serious chance for major conflict, but it's unnerving either way.

    Especially given that it could end up the subject matter for a "big wars" forum. . .

    Regards,

    Matt
    "Give a good leader very little and he will succeed. Give a mediocrity a great deal and he will fail." - General George C. Marshall

  3. #3
    Council Member wm's Avatar
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    Default If it works

    for Turkey, why not for Colombia too?

  4. #4
    i pwnd ur ooda loop selil's Avatar
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    How well does armor work in the Darian gap?
    Sam Liles
    Selil Blog
    Don't forget to duck Secret Squirrel
    The scholarship of teaching and learning results in equal hatred from latte leftists and cappuccino conservatives.
    All opinions are mine and may or may not reflect those of my employer depending on the chance it might affect funding, politics, or the setting of the sun. As such these are my opinions you can get your own.

  5. #5
    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
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    Post On that note

    Quote Originally Posted by selil View Post
    How well does armor work in the Darian gap?
    It may be interesting to note how much of the overall forces ordered to the border show up in WORKING order.

    As to the overall how do we suppose the Drug cartels themselves would act to new players in house. Although initially there might be some curiousity about possibilities, one would think most of the big timers didn't get where they are by being overtly stupid. I'm quite sure it would occur to them where their loyalties would end up having to be in order to continue their existence.

    Suppose Mr Sulfur smeller thought about that?

  6. #6
    Council Member pcmfr's Avatar
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    The solution to this problem is a $.50 match round.

  7. #7
    Council Member Wildcat's Avatar
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    http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/americ...bia/index.html

    Colombia is now making claims of recent, substantial financial ties between Hugo and the FARC. $300 million in financial ties, to be precise. The timing of this information's release seems interesting, no?

    Uribe is also not redeploying his forces to meet the Venezuelan and Ecuadoran forces. He's leaving his borders more or less unprotected. That's a real melon-scratcher, in my opinion. Any idea what that's about?

    Honestly, besides a few new airframes from Russia, what does Venezuela's military have to boast of? The only area in which they would be relatively free to operate would be the south, where the FARC is and where the CAF are not. But the terrain is not at all suitable to conventional military forces, so... ? Plus, the CAF have been fighting the FARC for 40 years, so they're quite experienced. It seems to me that with help from U.S. satellites and AWACS, and maybe a carrier task force in the Gulf of Panama, this would be a very brief and very one-sided defeat for the Venezuelan and Ecuadoran forces. I'm pretty sure the OAS would immediately condemn any hostile action by Venezuela as well. This seems like a one-way ticket to humiliation for Chavez.
    When I die, I want my last words to have been "Hold my beer and watch this."

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