Russo-Ukraine War (Jan-March 2016)

[OUTLAW 09]

In the intel world one constantly looks for indicators..in the case of eastern Ukraine the question has always been what is Putin's intent?....to pressure the Ukraine over the EU and on and on...THERE has never been a full discussion on whether he really wants to annex eastern Ukraine or not.

With this Bild analysis the answer is very clear...he is after a full annexation regardless of what he is saying publicly which we all know he always lies.....

THIS is extremely interesting as the town Debaltseve was during the Minsk 2 talks where Putin was present...at the heart of the agreement...Putin constantly demanded that Debaltseve was to be under Russian occupation and even Merkel was dismayed by his demands---at the same time extremely heavy fighting broke out with actual Russian troop units attacking repeatedly Debaltseve until it was captured.

BTW--the actual town of Debaltseve as actually in Minsk 2 fully in UAF territory--while the heavy fighting was ongoing the US, France and Germany said very very little.

During a press conference Putin "crowed" about the UAF being totally surrounded and that they must surrender...BUT surprisingly the UAF was able to withdraw all 3K troops and their heavy weapons much to the surprise of the Russian Army.

NOW with this article we fully see that Putin and his military where working towards a full capture of the eastern Ukraine ie a military annexation BUT due to the heavy UAF pushback which surprised even the Russian military that annexation and total takeover did not occur.

REMEMBER during the Debaltseve fighting the Russians held a massive one sided tank count of over 500 AD Obama was refusing ship TOWs as he did not want to "escalate" the fighting OR as was reported he was afraid the Russians would escalate even higher....WHICH they did anyway multiple times since then even when the US did not send the TOWs.

Russia must’ve anticipated this prop-up of separatists when insisted on railroad city Debaltseve @ Minsk.
pic.twitter.com/27GWtoBLlC

Strelkov: "we had to take Debaltseve with Artemivsk in 3 days, but it lasted 1,5 months"
pic.twitter.com/qvZRgiQMLh
http://liveuamap.com/en/2016/17-janu...dnr-we-have-to …

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian tanks in Mirne, Lutuhinsky district of Luhansk region
pic.twitter.com/WX8hPXr0t3
http://liveuamap.com/en/2016/16-janu...ky-district-of …

OSCE vehicle attack in #Mariynka and other latest events part of #Russia's planned provocation against #Ukraine. http://www.mil.gov.ua/en/news/2016/0...ainst-ukraine/ …

Will Putin continue to fight a two front war.........???
"Moment of Truth": Russian TV's news review leads on economic woes: "We're hoping for the best, preparing for worst'
pic.twitter.com/VTw2TdkE1n

Really........???
Russia's Energy Minister tells Russian TV that low oil prices gives Russia "the chance to diversify its economy"
pic.twitter.com/M2lkvIMizK

State Bank Chief (German Gref, Sberbank) Calls #Russia Loser Country "Stone Age did not end"
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-.../27491521.html …
pic.twitter.com/uxXoH3II5i

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian troop and her mercenaries are involved in a strong series of shellings and ground attacks today into the evening.....

Helsinki Commission briefing sheds light on #Russia/n #humanrights abuses in #Crimea
http://www.ukrweekly.com/uwwp/helsin...ses-in-crimea/ … pic.twitter.com/pfWAsKf6x8

[OUTLAW 09]

Warning: @KremlinTrolls may be false flag account. Sows discord/distrust among colleagues. Reminds of Stasi tactics against GDR's dissidents

[OUTLAW 09]

20:56 #Horlivka
Battle at Shyroka Balka, many small arms, incoming and outgoing fire https://twitter.com/ahab9889/status/688797145877590016 …

Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
Markov confirms Surkov and the Russian army run Donbas. Very insulting to the brave volunteers who think they do. https://twitter.com/golub/status/688800563547508737 …

Frontline very active in #Donetsk and #Horlivka today. #Ukraine
21:05 #Horlivka @062_Region Ongoing battles along the line #Mykhaylivka-#Shyroka_Balka-mine 6/7 -#Mayorsk: mortar,arty,SA,AGL fire, loudly

20:56 #Horlivka @EllySmitt 'DNR tells of tank shelling of Horlivka, yet no reports on sites of impacts'
@ahab9889 They shell *from* Horlivka

21:02 #Horlivka @ahab9889 #Shyroka_Balka: a signal flare [=litterally 'a rocket' - may mean a rocket, missile and flare in Russia]

20:39 #Horlivka @_John__Carter_ Orcs became active in earnest, used artillery at Novhorodske area, mortars over 82mm. Fire from city's west

VK: 20:44 #Hranitne is under fire.
#Ukraine #Minsk3 https://twitter.com/666_mancer/statu...05901420130304 …

Around 4PM today UAF pos nr #Talakivka (abt 7km fr #Mariupol) came under RU fire from 82mm mortars, GL, small arms). pic.twitter.com/Yx57ePys4D

About 2 hours ago UAF positions hear #Starohnativka were under RU tank(s) fire.

[OUTLAW 09]

20:56 #Horlivka
Battle at Shyroka Balka, many small arms, incoming and outgoing fire https://twitter.com/ahab9889/status/688797145877590016 …

Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
Markov confirms Surkov and the Russian army run Donbas. Very insulting to the brave volunteers who think they do. https://twitter.com/golub/status/688800563547508737 …

Frontline very active in #Donetsk and #Horlivka today. #Ukraine
21:05 #Horlivka @062_Region Ongoing battles along the line #Mykhaylivka-#Shyroka_Balka-mine 6/7 -#Mayorsk: mortar,arty,SA,AGL fire, loudly

20:56 #Horlivka @EllySmitt 'DNR tells of tank shelling of Horlivka, yet no reports on sites of impacts'
@ahab9889 They shell *from* Horlivka

21:02 #Horlivka @ahab9889 #Shyroka_Balka: a signal flare [=litterally 'a rocket' - may mean a rocket, missile and flare in Russia]

20:39 #Horlivka @_John__Carter_ Orcs became active in earnest, used artillery at Novhorodske area, mortars over 82mm. Fire from city's west

VK: 20:44 #Hranitne is under fire.
#Ukraine #Minsk3 https://twitter.com/666_mancer/statu...05901420130304 …

Around 4PM today UAF pos nr #Talakivka (abt 7km fr #Mariupol) came under RU fire from 82mm mortars, GL, small arms). pic.twitter.com/Yx57ePys4D

About 2 hours ago UAF positions hear #Starohnativka were under RU tank(s) fire.

The #PutinEffect
#Germany: +2x Tank battalions
#Sweden: +2x battalions
#Estonia: +1x brigade
#Lithuania: +1x brigade
#Ukraine: +12x brigades

[OUTLAW 09]

BATTLE OF DONETSK AIRPORT ANNIVERSARY: Honoring Ukraine’s Cyborgs
http://bunews.com.ua/opinion/item/ba...unXTQU.twitter …

#doomsday tomorrow for #Russia's #ruble as revoked #Iran #sanctions become true. #oil #FX
pic.twitter.com/koIqecN1rF

'Disturbing fire' in #Horlivka, no mil objectives are achieved with it, it's just for:
1. keep locals alarmed
2. receive combat wages

[OUTLAW 09]

Appears even Clinton does not get non linear warfare......

Hillary Clinton's relationship with #Putin is "interesting," she'd consider another "reset"
http://mashable.com/2016/01/17/hilla.../#KnpHjW.TOSqP …
pic.twitter.com/l9CFLjmxhv

.@HillaryClinton: I could do a reset with Russia, depends what we get for it… Relationship with Putin: It’s one of respect. #DemDebate

Michael Weiss ✔ @michaeldweiss
Russia has violated Reagan-era nuke deals; it is now arming Taliban in Afghanistan. Putin did not "come back". He was there when you were.

[OUTLAW 09]

Putin is getting really close to the butter or guns decision.......

Asian shares skid to 2011 levels as oil slump intensifies
http://reut.rs/1ncZ8s5
pic.twitter.com/o5ydgj6qYj

[OUTLAW 09]

"How to not to" ...
#LNR mortar training in occupied eastern #Ukraine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3iO8j_-OR2k …

[OUTLAW 09]

In the intel world one constantly looks for indicators..in the case of eastern Ukraine the question has always been what is Putin's intent?....to pressure the Ukraine over the EU and on and on...THERE has never been a full discussion on whether he really wants to annex eastern Ukraine or not.

With this Bild analysis the answer is very clear...he is after a full annexation regardless of what he is saying publicly which we all know he always lies.....

THIS is extremely interesting as the town Debaltseve was during the Minsk 2 talks where Putin was present...at the heart of the agreement...Putin constantly demanded that Debaltseve was to be under Russian occupation and even Merkel was dismayed by his demands---at the same time extremely heavy fighting broke out with actual Russian troop units attacking repeatedly Debaltseve until it was captured.

BTW--the actual town of Debaltseve as actually in Minsk 2 fully in UAF territory--while the heavy fighting was ongoing the US, France and Germany said very very little.

During a press conference Putin "crowed" about the UAF being totally surrounded and that they must surrender...BUT surprisingly the UAF was able to withdraw all 3K troops and their heavy weapons much to the surprise of the Russian Army.

NOW with this article we fully see that Putin and his military where working towards a full capture of the eastern Ukraine ie a military annexation BUT due to the heavy UAF pushback which surprised even the Russian military that annexation and total takeover did not occur.

REMEMBER during the Debaltseve fighting the Russians held a massive one sided tank count of over 500 AD Obama was refusing ship TOWs as he did not want to "escalate" the fighting OR as was reported he was afraid the Russians would escalate even higher....WHICH they did anyway multiple times since then even when the US did not send the TOWs.

Russia must’ve anticipated this prop-up of separatists when insisted on railroad city Debaltseve @ Minsk.
pic.twitter.com/27GWtoBLlC

How Russia finances the Ukrainian rebel territories
http://ow.ly/X9wTh
pic.twitter.com/ztiqzXA7aJ

What is interesting about the BILD report in how Russia finances their mercenaries and eastern Ukraine....127 Russian language media outlets and 25 Ukrainian language media outlets covered the reports' release.....

BUT NOT a single German media outlet........???

Important Russian business portal @Radio_BFM covers our #DonbassReport beyond TASS summary.
http://www.bfm.ru/news/313021 pic.twitter.com/ytTxMrgfG6

[OUTLAW 09]

Twitter banned hundreds of #Ukrainian users because of attacks of Russian bots
http://uaposition.com/latest-news/tw...-russian-bots/ …
pic.twitter.com/FuqzVFv05X

Ukraine says to review cyber defenses after airport targeted from Russia - Reuters
http://dlvr.it/DJfr1z

@MoscowTimes Russia Considers Suspending Loans to Other Countries
http://tmt-go.ru/556181

Russia's Central Bank is lying about its reserves, here's what the math says
https://ninajobe.wordpress.com/2016/...-reserve-scam/ …
pic.twitter.com/jgDiLob2hM

[OUTLAW 09]

Reference Russian info warfare.....hard at work......

StopFake English Digest: Most discussed false news of the week debunked
http://uatoday.tv/society/stopfake-573286.html …
pic.twitter.com/mBTunVSJ9x

Stop Fake @StopFakingNews
“Ukrainian Nazis” are really Russian nationalists. New fake from channel "Zvezda"
http://www.stopfake.org/en/fake-ukra...-nationalists/ …

[OUTLAW 09]

Ukraine intel reports Donbas militants shoot in public places, steal arms
http://uatoday.tv/news/ukraine-intel...ms-573244.html …

[OUTLAW 09]

Putin is getting really close to the butter or guns decision.......

Asian shares skid to 2011 levels as oil slump intensifies
http://reut.rs/1ncZ8s5
pic.twitter.com/o5ydgj6qYj

Can Putin continue his two front war........????

Worried about sub-$20 crude? Some sellers are already there
http://reut.rs/1U6B0l2

Russian 2016 budget was built on 50USD oil and now redone at 40USD per barrel......this will in effect cause the replay of 1989...just a matter of time--- about two months if oil continues downward.....

A bulk of the Russian oil is "sour" thus those prices on the current market are in the 12-14USD ranges BUT Russia is still trying to get the Brent pricing......which many buyers are actually avoiding in exchange of Mexican oil.

[OUTLAW 09]

Minsk agreement is one sided & absolves US&UK from providing border security as BudapestMemo signatories

In #Mariupol sector #Lebedynske (at ca. 5km from Mariupol outskirts) and #Vodyane shelled with 120-mm mortars.

ATO: UAF positions near #Starohnativka (#Staroignatievka) came under RU fire today from IFV's. GLs, AA-guns.

LNR is stealing six Luhansk plants and all coal to Russia.
http://zn.ua/UKRAINE/boeviki-vyvozya...v-201659_.html …

Moscow Patriarchate beefs up its staff for hybrid operations against Ukraine
http://euromaidanpress.com/2016/01/1...ns-in-ukraine/ …
pic.twitter.com/XWt6m1pM9H

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian troops and her mercenaries are shelling again today.......

Russian-separatist forces attacked Ukrainian troops 28 times since the beginning of Jan 18 with Minsk banned weapons
http://www.unian.info/war/1239891-uk...on-monday.html …

20:35 #Mariupol sector @milhlopak "O, that is #Shyrokyne under shelling, half hour it sounds from there"

[OUTLAW 09]

Maxim Tucker @MaxRTucker

Former separatist chief Strelkov admits 4 murders during #Ukraine war. #Russia harboring a confessed war criminal.
http://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2016/01/18/7095793/ …

[OUTLAW 09]

NOTICE the US and Germany are doing alot of urgent meetings with Russian counterparts about Minsk 2 BUT not a single Ukrainian rep is present.....????

Merkel's security adviser Heusgen, with #Hollande's Audibert, met Surkov, Gryzlov, Ushakov in Moscow today to revive #Minsk process.

Both the US and Germany have been attempting to force the Ukraine into unilateral appeasement moves without a recipocal offer by Putin.....

AND again Surkov is on the sanctions list as the creator of the eastern Ukraine invasion.......

[OUTLAW 09]

Carl Bildt ✔ @carlbildt

Are cyberattacks against infrastructure in Ukraine the next phase in the hybrid war by Russia? We better take note.
http://www.interpretermag.com/ukrain...day-700/#11931 …