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  1. #1
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    http://www.thenational.ae/world/midd...political-move
    … via @TheNationalUAE


    Syrian regime’s recapture of Palmyra was a political move

    Hassan Hassan

    March 30, 2016 Updated: March 30, 2016 11:55 PM

    The capture of Palmyra this week was a clear attempt by the regime of Bashar Al Assad to rewrite history.

    Damascus and its allies presented the victory as part of the wider campaign to strike extremists in Syria.

    In truth, they wanted a victory to strengthen the regime’s political position in the peace talks, after a relentless Russian air campaign helped Mr Al Assad’s forces secure its territory and reorganise its forces to launch offensives against mainstream rebel groups.

    The recapture of Palmyra does not mean the regime will now focus on ISIL and Al Qaeda-affiliated Jabhat Al Nusra.

    Yet Mr Al Assad has successfully turned the narrative upside down in an attempt to showcase his forces as a bulwark against radicalism.

    This cynical plan began shortly after Russia launched its military intervention in September. Some observers visiting Beirut, Damascus, Tehran or Moscow returned with a similar conclusion: that a push to retake Palmyra from ISIL was imminent.

    As talk of a Palmyra offensive circulated, western governments estimated that more than 90 per cent of Russian air strikes had hit regular opposition forces, not ISIL.

    The floating of a plan for a symbolic victory over ISIL was designed to divert attention from the real objective – weakening the opposition and securing the regime’s heartlands.

    The expulsion of ISIL from Palmyra should be welcomed by everyone, including the opposition. But a line should also be drawn between celebrating the survival of the ancient ruins and celebrating a dictator that remorselessly reduced much of his country to rubble. For Syrians, Palmyra is symbolic not only for historical reasons but also because its notorious Tadmur Prison epitomised the regime’s repressive machine.

    But it is also for practical reasons that the regime’s claims should be rejected.

    Some reports stated that the regime would use Palmyra as a launch pad to retake Deir Ezzor and Raqqa from ISIL, despite the fact Raqqa is located much closer to the regime’s strongholds in Aleppo and Hama than Palmyra. Others inaccurately characterised the regime’s win in Palmyra as the biggest military defeat for ISIL in two years.

    Observers should not make the mistake of overstating the regime’s capabilities as they did in February when many thought government forces were about to retake Aleppo.

    The capture of Palmyra was primarily a political move. Palmyra and Raqqa have suddenly become strategically important for the regime – part of “useful Syria" – to beef up its position as the most effective force against extremists.

    The regime may seek to retake the Tabqa airbase in Raqqa to both assert its “sovereignty" on the only province where the regime has no presence and to demonstrate it is a capable force against extremists, especially as the truce between the government and the rebels persists.

    But the mainstream rebels will continue to be its main target, a strategy that has long enabled the rise of extremist forces in Syria.

    In December 2014, the British defence think tank IHS Jane’s issued data showing that the regime and ISIL were “ignoring each other". For Syrians inside the country, such strategy was so evident that many went further to claim the regime and ISIL were working together, especially when the two attacked the rebels at the same time or when the regime targeted the rebels and turned a blind eye to the ISIL bases across the country.

    The presence of extremist forces is convenient for the Assad regime as long as the rebels pose a threat to its rule. That it will now turn its attention to destroy ISIL is a fantasy, even if it has the strength and resources to do so.

    The capture of Palmyra was a clear prize, given its symbolism for people inside and outside Syria.

    Yet the response to the capture of Palmyra revealed the vulnerability of outsiders to the regime’s playing of the extremism card.

    By rescuing the “pearl of the desert" from ISIL, the regime and its allies wanted to show they are the defenders of civilisation.

    But the regime stands accused of being responsible for the rise of these extremist forces, both directly and indirectly, and failing to defend Palmyra as it did other militarily important areas.

  2. #2
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    CrowBat...what do you think?


    Some bios say #Nusra's leader was radicalized by Abu al-Qaqa (an Assad agent) + fought with Fatah al-Islam (heavily manipulated by Assad).

    According to #IS's activists, #Nusra's leader was released by Assad at the outset of the uprising (an accusation that's appeared elsewhere).

    Claim from pro-#IS source: This is #Nusra leader Abu Muhammad al-Jolani, real name Ahmed Hussein Ali al-Sharaa.

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    Assad's airstrikes on East Ghouta are on the rebel group that has most consistently and comprehensively (far more than Assad) fought #IS.

    Erdogan says it is important that Western States treat all terrorist organizations the same.

    Erdogan says that the West must reject the idea that "YPG are good terrorists just because they fight Daesh."

    Erdogan draws a parallel between the PYD/PKK and Jabhat an-Nusra, says that simply fighting #IS does not stop a group being terrorist.

    Erdogan says the #PKK is raising funds in Europe and weapons abroad to send to the #PYD/#YPG in #Syria.

    Erdogan says the #PKK are exploiting the #Syria situation and the anti-#IS war for their own agenda.

    Erdogan says that Turkey is the "motherland" of #Cyprus and wants a just and fair settlement.

    Erdogan demands that #Ukraine's territorial integrity be respected, including #Crimea and the #Tatars.

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    Rebels seized al-Ahmadiya & Tal Battal in northern #Aleppo from #IS

    SyriaCivilDef centre in Deir al-Asafir destroyed by Assad airstrikes today.

    Reports Nusra has released Ahmad al-Ismael & Ahmad al-Abrash from Div 13 & rev activist Husam Hazber. #Idlib

    Reports now of an Assad MLRS attack on the Marj area in eastern Ghouta,

    Aleppo: ISIS facing fronts from Assad & YPG but decide to attack Rebels in Mrigel, never mind, Rebels crushed them
    https://youtu.be/5bGfh6utONA

    Michael Weiss ‏@michaeldweiss
    Ceasefire: Damascus town rocked by airstrike “massacre”: activists

    http://mme.cm/F4AW00 via @NOW_eng

    Child rescued from underneath rubble after Assad regime airstrikes that massacred civilians in Deir Assafir
    https://youtu.be/_IC2piYHMrE'
    AND still smiling

    Not less than 20 people inc women & children were killed in Assad airstrikes on a hospital & school in Deir al-Asafir, rural #Damascus today

    The patience of the Syrian rebels is unbelievable. Assad breached the US/RU/UN ceasefire 900+ times, and they solely fought in self-defense
    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 03-31-2016 at 08:50 PM.

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    Charles Lister ‏@Charles_Lister

    Sarin gas, barrel bombs, industrial torture, 50% displacement & 100,000s dead…
    Yet some otherwise intelligent people say #Assad = solution!


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    Russian media: we are prepared to forgive armed opposition if they lay down their arms

    “They have just now given us new supplies of everything..." An #FSA commander #Aleppo
    https://tcf.org/content/commentary

    Deraa: ISIS recapture Sheikh Saad from Rebels but Rebels managed to kill a top ISIS commander Abu Obeid

    Assad regime arrested around 300 men in Deir Ezzor to forcibly conscript them to die for Assad
    http://en.eldorar.com/node/1883

    Footage
    Also in #Latakia, the #Assad army broke the ceasefire - as every day - today

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f-6HmqMA8RA
    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 03-31-2016 at 08:56 PM.

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