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Thread: Yemen 2016 onwards: an intractable war?

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  1. #1
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    Default Iran and the Houthis

    From "Proving Ground: Iran’s Operational Strategy in Syria" by Nicholas Hargreaves-Heald (http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art...rategy-syria):

    Following the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, Iran began to provide extensive aid to the Houthis, a group of Zaidi Shi’ites from the mountains of Yemen who were engaged in a civil war with the Yemeni government and the nations of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). By 2016, the Houthis had seized a significant amount of Yemeni territory, including ground bordering Saudi Arabia. Iranian support, which was intended to develop the Houthis into a massive security threat to Saudi Arabia, followed the classic Quds Force TAA formula. Iranian training (which continues today[30]) has reached thousands of Houthi rebels[31], including Houthi women who have been mobilized to fight invading GCC forces.[32] Interestingly, this training has largely been provided by Iranian proxy organizations, such as Lebanese Hezbollah[33] and Liwa Fatemiyoun, a group of Afghan Hazaras recruited from Afghan refugee camps in Iran. [34] Iranian military aid to the Houthis has included sniper rifles, RPGs, anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs), and various small arms, in addition to more sophisticated weapons technology. American officials have assessed that Iran has provided the Houthis with short-range, Iranian made Qiam and Shahab-2 ballistic missiles to attack Saudi Arabia, Iran’s principal adversary in the Arabian peninsula.[35] The Houthis have launched dozens of these missiles (and others based on their design) at Saudi targets such as the al-Yamama Palace (December 2017)[36], the city of Najran (March 2018)[37], the capital city of Riyadh (March 2018)[38], and the Jizan Regional Airport (April 2018).[39] Authorities have also assessed that Quds Force provided the technology for the Houthi’s explosive, remote-controlled “drone boat”, which they used to attack a Saudi warship on January 30, 2017[40], and the use of an explosive-laden Qasef-1 “suicide” drone to attack a Saudi Patriot batteries in February, 2017.[41] On top of this, Quds Force has been reported to advise Houthi leaders off the battlefield, and encourage them to launch kinetic operations against GCC targets. [42]

    There are, however, some indications that Iranian operations within Yemen are not limited to Quds Force’s standard TAA approach. Over the course of the last year, over forty IRGC (it is unclear whether these are Quds Force or IRGC-GF operatives) and dozens of Hezbollah casualties have been reported in Yemen.[43] While many of these casualties have been reported as the result of GCC airstrikes against Houthi targets far behind the front lines, almost a dozen have been reported to take place within a mile of active combat zones and front lines. Such casualties would suggest that Iranian forces are either actively participating in combat in Yemen or advising Houthi rebels close to the battlefield.[44] So far, however, there has only been limited evidence to support this hypothesis.[45]

  2. #2
    Council Member AdamG's Avatar
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    DUBAI: The Saudi-led Arab Coalition targeted Iran-backed Houthi militia positions along the western coast of Yemen, Saudi state-news agency SPA reported.
    Yemen’s official news agency reported that the coalition raids killed 70 Houthi militants as Yemeni resistance forces advanced toward Hodeidah airport and harbor.
    It was also reported that 21 militants were captured, while Houthi weapons and military vehicles were destroyed in the raids.
    http://www.arabnews.com/node/1314641/middle-east
    Last edited by AdamG; 06-03-2018 at 07:10 PM.
    A scrimmage in a Border Station
    A canter down some dark defile
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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default 2018 Red Sea Coast Offensive and the humanitarian disaster (two sources)

    A useful map and chronology via AEI.
    Link:http://https://www.criticalthreats.o...oast-offensive

    The Soufan Group has a 47 pg. report 'The Forgotten War: The Ongoing Disaster in Yemen'.
    Link:http://thesoufancenter.org/wp-conten...fan-Center.pdf
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 06-05-2018 at 06:57 PM. Reason: 119,365v
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    Default The Battle for Hodeidah: Two Views on What’s at Stake

    Two experts provide some answers; with Gregory Johnsen and Fatima Abo Alasrar, from the Arabia Foundation.
    Link:http://www.arabiafoundation.org/arab...hats-at-stake/
    davidbfpo

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    Council Member AdamG's Avatar
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    Arab states launch biggest assault of Yemen war with attack on main port
    Reuters / Wednesday, 13 June 2018 10:40 GMT

    * Saudi-led coalition launches attack on Yemen's main port
    * Houthis say they hit coalition barge
    * Port is main route to feed 8.4 million on verge of famine (Adds resident quotes, port activity, context)

    http://news.trust.org/item/20180613090136-veud3
    A scrimmage in a Border Station
    A canter down some dark defile
    Two thousand pounds of education
    Drops to a ten-rupee jezail


    http://i.imgur.com/IPT1uLH.jpg

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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    As the media focus returns to Hudaydah, the key port for food supplies, this BBC News article has a map (too large to insert) on the current situation in the Yemen.
    Link to a background article:https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-44471977 andhttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-44491710
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 06-15-2018 at 11:46 AM. Reason: 120,707v today
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    Default Al-Qaeda in Yemen says group will strike hard when time is right

    A summary of a recent AQAP statement via BBC Monitoring (no link is provided to the original source):
    Al-Qaeda in Yemen (AQAP) has released a lengthy interview with its leading figure Khalid Batarfi, commenting on various aspects of the conflict in Yemen and the jihadist group's current position and future plans. The written interview conducted by AQAP's media arm al-Malahim was published on 20 June via AQAP's media outlet on the messaging app Telegram. Batarfi has been the face of AQAP since most of the group's top figures, including its former leader, died in US drone strikes in 2015.
    Link:https://monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c1dpdb8k

    Presumably there are clues within for the expert and reader.
    davidbfpo

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