Russian Separatists in Occup. Parts of Eastern #Ukraine Trick #Journalists & Mothers Into The Line Of Fire http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulrode.../#3387f1325860 …
No KIA, but 6 UA servicemen WIA by #Russian occupiers in the #warzone in E #Ukraine over the last 24h - official
RUS's 'DPR' handed an "Ukr soldier's" body,killed June 29 near #Lohvynove,to RedCross/OSCE.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Emc4sAQbGlg …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 10:42 AM.
Russian semistrategic drone spotted in eastern #Ukraine
http://uatoday.tv/politics/russian-s...ne-685814.html …
Got my hands on the personel list of the separatists working as Berkut in #LNR, guess it needs to find its way to proper guys
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 03:04 PM.
B]Annexation of Crimea was not an accidental operation. It started w 2003 Tuzla conflict - Voronchenko's interview ENG [/B]http://krymsos.com/en/news/generalle...ikta-na-tuzle/ …
NYT: #Russia fires dozens of officers in #Baltic region
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/01/wo...gion.html?_r=0 …
Predetermined Trials of #CrimeanMuslims as terror "to show who's boss”
http://khpg.org/en/index.php?id=1467160325 …
Kremlin's main propaganda centre in Western Europe #Berlin
http://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/d.../13816272.html …
In German....
"Behind the bullying & disruption of pro-Western governments bordering #Russia lies a clash of ideas"
http://europe.newsweek.com/why-nato-...s-476258?rm=eu …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 03:08 PM.
Putin associate opens #Russia friendly Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute in GermanyOriginally Posted by OUTLAW 09
http://www.dw.stfi.re/en/putin-assoc...110?sf=wvrdpxk …
News of Donbas @novostidnua_en
"DPR" militants' "brigade commander" killed in #Makiivka. - Social nets.
http://novosti.dn.ua/details/276370/
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 06:47 PM.
Yes, one can hear and see Russia fulfilling Minsk accords every night all along the contact line in #Donbas. https://twitter.com/uatodaytv/status/749855812810604544 …
Russia has crossed into Ukraine 12 times in last week - MoD Ukraine:
20 tanks, 17 AFVs, 260 t ammo, 1100 t fuel.
High intensity of combat actions stands: Rus's proxies fired 61 times upon Ukr troops over last day. 38 in Donetsk sect - ATO press center
Pro Russians shelled residential areas in #Toretsk last night, house was hit:
http://espreso.tv/news/2016/07/04/bo...rayony_torecka …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-04-2016 at 07:17 AM.
Russian party is starting again......
14:30 Skirmish with mortars in #Shyrokyne area still ongoing.
From one of the Russian party's yesterday.....
Artillery attack near Lohvynove yesterday
http://liveuamap.com/en/2016/3-july-...nove-yesterday …
pic.twitter.com/NysbevEWT9
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 03:10 PM.
.@InformNapalm posted video of hacked email of #Rus journo Zenin how separatists shelled #Nikishino village Jan 2015 https://informnapalm.org/23857-vzlom...rel-nikishino/ …
Russia's Def Min Shoigu orders Rus military planes to start using transponders over Baltic. Who ordered opposite? https://twitter.com/AnnalenaLauren/s...17365495717888 …
Apparently Putin decided to order to turn transponders on at the prompting of Finnish President Sauli Niinisto.
Article in #Italian about mercenaries from #Italy #ITA, who fight in occup. #Donbas against #Ukraine for Kremlin
http://www.stopfake.org/it/foreign-fighter-italiani/ …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-03-2016 at 03:54 PM.
Dmitry Tymchuk: Military update 03.07
Posted on July 3, 2016
Operational data from Information Resistance:
Russian-terrorist troops in Donbas continue shelling the positions of Ukrainian troops and settlements under Ukrainian control, as well as settlements under terrorist control. During the last 24 hours, the situation began to deteriorate. Militants opened fire practically along the entire demarcation line, using heavy weapons, including 122 mm cannon artillery and armored vehicles (both light infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, as well as heavy tanks).
Constant enemy fire attacks from small arms, light and heavy machine grenade launchers, including anti-tank LNG-9M and automatic AGS-17, 82- and 120 mm mortars were observed near Avdiivka and its outskirts (including “Butovka” mine, Opytne, Tsarska Okhota, “Shakhta,” and Pisky), Dokuchajevsk (including Berezove, Yasne, and Novotroitske), Horlivka on the perimeter from Novhorodske to Holmivskyi (militants are particularly active in the area of Mayorskyiv–Zhovanka–Zaitseve), almost across the entire Svitlodarsk arch (from Svitlodarsk to Novozvanivka), almost the entire seaside flank (from Hranitne to Shyrokyne) and areas to the west and south of Donetsk, including Mar‘inka and Krasnohorivka, Shchastia–Stanytsia Luhanska (in the latter area, the enemy was particularly active in the nighttime).
Terrorists twice shelled the positions of ATO forces in the area of Stanytsia Luhanska from a BMP-1, from their positions to the northeast of Veselenke, firing also from large-caliber machine guns and AGS-17, providing cover for the maneuvers of armored vehicles.
Moreover, militants opened fire twice from 122 mm artillery in the Donetsk area, namely from camouflaged positions between the village of Vesele and Stratonavtiv Street (three 122 mm self-propelled 2S1 “Carnation” guns); the shells from 56-58 rounds spread in the fields between Netaylove– Yasnobrodivka–Tonenke. Meanwhile, terrorists attempted to correct artillery fire using UAVs.
In addition, the enemy used artillery applied in the area of Styla. A firing battery (four D-30/D-30A 122 mm guns) opened rapid fire on advanced settlements and strongholds of the ATO forces. Militants fired about 35 rounds during the raid on Ukrainian troop positions in the vicinity of Viktorivka and north of Bohdanivka.
In the area of Avdiivka, terrorists fired from tank weapons. A militant tank fired up to 10 rounds from masked positions in the area of the 251.2 elevation, mainly with RP-shells, towards ATO forces’ positions in the industrial area, after which the tank moved back to the terrorist positions. The tank’s departure was covered by mortar fire (from at least a full battery of 82 mm mortars) from the direction of the “Hospodar” market.
Of particular importance are increasing enemy attacks that purposefully use anti-tank missile systems to destroy ATO forces’ light armored vehicles located directly at the front line. Analysis of the militant anti-tank missile system detachments shows that in the course of their work, the militants are actively using information obtained from enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups on the ground, who refine and ‘tag’ the targets (including benchmarks and tracking the movements of ATO forces’ armored vehicles). For example, in the vicinity of the 175.9 elevation (located south of Sokilnyky) militants set up an “anti-transport ambush” by carrying out two strikes from anti-tank missile systems in the “greenery” at previously explored positions of Ukrainian armored vehicles (both shots missed their targets).
The situation remains difficult in Dokuchajevsk where militants are actively trying to push Ukrainian units as far away from the settlement as possible; armed confrontations are in their fourth day in the area. Terrorist infantry groups continue to infiltrate the flanks and junctures of embankments and the advanced positions of the ATO forces from time to time, in order to force Ukrainian troops to withdraw at least to the Mariupol–Donetsk highway, or even all the way to Novotroitsk. The main point of tension is an advanced ATO forces’ position at the so-called “gray waste heaps” (an elevation south of the Central quarry dumps), which effectively prevents terrorists from operating [in areas] south of Dokuchajevsk, because it allows the ATO forces to sweep all the entrances to the city from this direction.
In addition to attacks and provocations, the enemy actively regroups its personnel and equipment, equipping several units and detachments, both on the front line and in the second tier. Of particular importance is the transfer of crossing means to the area between the settlements of Shchastia and Zhovte. In addition, attention should be paid to the fortification of Stakhanov–Alchevsk enemy groups – the IR group has detected the transfer of at least one militant “motorized infantry battalion” using several convoys from the direction of Lutuhyne and Petrovskyi (14 MT-LB and BMP-1 and ten vehicles passed through Bile [“Bee-leh´”], 15-16 armored vehicles passed through Seleznivka–Perevalsk, including a BMP-1, BMP-2, MT-LB, five BTR-70 and BTR-80, and 14-15 motor vehicles, including 8 vehicles, part of a mortar battery (120-mm mortars). The transfer was carried out in small groups (likely platoons) over a period of two days.
In addition, a secret transfer of a militant tank platoon and eight armored vehicles was observed in Olenivka; the transfer was carried out by bypassing the settlement from the east. The enemy also transferred eight APCs from the eastern part of the Petrovskyi district of Donetsk via the Donetsk Bypass road towards the south. The enemy continuously supplies ammunition in the Styla area. According to preliminary data, militants set up an advanced base in the eastern part of the Petrovskyi district of Donetsk or behind it in the are toward Lisne.
In an area from Staromykhailivka and to the north of it, up to Spartak and Putylivka, militants have launched a network of mobile roadblocks and checkpoints in the tactical and operational-tactical zone. In effect, they have “closed” the entire northwest corner of Donetsk, south of Avdiivka, and the Donetsk International Airport. The purpose of these activities is currently being assessed – most likely, a large terrorist formation will be set up and deployed in the area.
Battle at #Shyrokyne is still ongoing, can be heard in #Mariupol.
19:50
From Donbas to Belarus?
I've long argued that Putin is far more likely to attack Belarus or Kazakhstan than the Baltics, as the former two are:
- Not protected by any major and/or nuclear-armed powers
- Hold more "resources" for Russia than the Baltics (i.e. human and commodity)
- Regarded as much part of Russia historic "buffer zone", "privileged sphere of interest" or "near abroad" as Ukraine
- Exhibiting tensions towards the "Russian World" i.e. distancing themselves from Moscow and Russian language and culture
Here is the latest from Jamestown: Minsk Fears Moscow May Organize Hybrid War and Color Revolution in Belarus
"Many governments in the post-Soviet space fear they may be threatened by a color revolution; others are worried that they will become victims of a hybrid war. But Belarus is worried about both at the same time, something that makes it difficult for Minsk to cope because the challenges posed by the one and those posed by the other are quite different. Moreover, the policies that might be most useful to block one could, in some circumstances, have the effect of making the latter more likely. This is especially true because one outside power—Vladimir Putin’s Russia—is interested in making use of both in pursuit of Moscow’s ends..."
Russia has no need to further "threaten" Belarus as they have all they need to do that already stationed inside Belarus ........and as Crimea has shown they can beef up those bases and Belarus cannot really say anything especially since Belarus is a member of CIS as well......
Based on the Russian statements that they perceived the NATO actions in the Baltics to be militarily provocative they are following their Cold War Warsaw Pact strategy of building a second line of defense.
Just as the Soviet Army was forward based inside the GDR it had far fewer troops in Czechoslovakia but built a second line of defense by basing more troops in say Poland and next to the Czechoslovakian border in order to stop a "perceived NATO ground attack"
Yes Belarus can feel a "perceived" Russian military threat by these new troop basing's....IMHO it is a second line of defense against a "perceived NATO military threat coming from the Baltics'.
So Putin wins twice...he "threatens Belarus" and defends against NATO in one single move.
BUT.......
This is Why @NATO Needs to be Worried About Russia
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...putin-and-nato …
BUT........
Putin is rapidly reaching his decision point of "guns or butter" as he cannot afford any further "both"........I had said back after Crimea and shortly after the Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine he would soon reach that point and it is now literally in front of his nose....that is why he is suddenly "playing nice" before the NATO Warsaw Summit by "lowering tensions in the Baltics" by turning on his "transponders"......begs the question if he turned them on...WHO turned them off?????
Russia Is Very Quickly Running Out Of Cash
https://lnkd.in/e5XaKxN
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-06-2016 at 06:02 AM.
Mark Galeotti: Russia's Slow and Hesitant 'Purges' Mask Policy Void ... The Moscow Times
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinio...id/574318.html …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-06-2016 at 06:51 AM.
Vasil Slipak's killer (Russian trained mercenary sniper) has been eliminated by a #Ukrainian sniper
http://goo.gl/Rjve09
Canadian military trainers find they can also learn much from Ukraine's experience of Russian hybrid war tactics
http://bunews.com.ua/component/zoo/i...sts?Itemid=101 …
Ukrainian Colonel freed after 2 yrs of militant captivity
http://www.unian.info/society/140288...captivity.html …
Should have been released on a all basis right after Minsk 2 was signed but the Russian mercenaries refused to follow....
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 07-06-2016 at 07:46 AM.
"The belief is that missile defense is just cover, that bases are there for a first strike intended to kill Putin."
http://bloom.bg/29hrviC
Russia won't ask #Belarus for permission to attack #Ukraine-ex-envoy (Belsat interview,vid)
http://belsat.eu/en/news/ex-envoy-be...ttack-ukraine/ …
A Russian serviceman from the 18th Motorized Infantry Brigade seen fighting in eastern Ukraine, and back on base. https://twitter.com/askai707/status/750695546629783552 …
The Russian MFA thinks Kyiv is preparing a new operation in the East Ukraine
Idiots...
http://liveuamap.com/en/2016/6-july-...-new-operation …
SBU detained "anti-fascist" from Russian militants gang "Vostok" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ki0qOP4HYtA … pic.twitter.com/WSVGvNYnqF http://liveuamap.com/en/2016/6-july-...militants-gang …
OSCE: Three children killed in grenade blast in militant-occupied Yenakiieve
http://www.unian.info/war/1404212-os...enakiieve.html …
Lukashenko has been adept at playing both sides. He is well aware that the EU would be less critical of a Russian incursion into Belarus than it was over Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Belarus is more integrated into the Russian-led economic and security architecture than Ukraine was (CSTO, EEU), and Belarus' role in Russia's aerospace defense is even more vital than Crimea. Nevertheless, we have seen increasing attempts by Lukashenko to garner Western interest in the hope of counter-balancing Russia and maintaining as much independence as possible. As long as Putin is invested in Ukraine and Syria, and as long as the Kazakhs are agitating more, Lukashenko can slacken the leash.
Putin has probably concluded from the Ukrainian situation that proximity, economic integration, political and intelligence infiltration and forward deployment of forces is not enough to guarantee "loyalty". He secured Crimea but lost most of Ukraine and was dealt a severe intelligence (technology secrets) and military (industrial capacity) blow, all because Yanukovych did not "obey orders". Putin won't make the same mistake in Belarus.
Defense in depth, no? In practice, the Soviets' notion of defense was to keep attacking by way of counter-offensives, and even their planned response to a NATO invasion was to march west...
So Kaliningrad is the staging area for the first line to prevent NATO from reaching the second line in Belarus?
Belarus is as integral to Russian security as Canada is to the United States, and I would go so far as to say that while the loss of Kaliningrad might not warrant "nuclear de-escalation", a NATO drive into Belarus certainly would.
I read the Bloomberg article, but it doesn't add anything new to the debate, other than some more detail on Russia's opposition to NATO BMD in East-Central Europe, which I surprisingly agree with. Of course, Bloomberg's reporting is very political and I imagine that the billionaire opposes BMD in Europe and the more conciliatory EPAA.
The impetus for BMD was to protect the United States against blackmail or a small strike from a rogue state (such as North Korea, Iran or Syria), an accidental launch (e.g. Black Brant) or one by a rogue local commander. NATO BMD is supposedly intended to protect NATO from Iran, even though Iran's likely targets are Israel, the Gulf Arab states and US bases in CENTCOM.
Nuclear warfare experts (CSIS) conclude that BMD today, while hardly capable of stopping a full strategic exchange, could whittle down a second strike. And unless Russian officers are granted access to Aegis Ashore sites, along the lines of Nunn-Lugar, they may very well assume that the sites can also be used for offensive purposes.
From what I can see, Russia will have a very slow recovery to stagnation or slow growth and only exclusion from SWIFT or another serious financial measure will force Putin to choose between guns and butter.
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