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Thread: Syria in 2016 (October onwards)

  1. #2381
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    Oh....really could have fooled me.....

    BUT eliminating IS...in fact Russia has become in Syria the largest weapons provider to IS...

    Russian Mission UN

    @RussiaUN
    #Churkin: #Russia is not trying to obtain any political dividends from instability in MENA, we aim at eliminating ISIS & other terr. groups

  2. #2382
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    Quite 'confusing' four days, must say. Though, given all the lies thrown up by Russians, no surprise at all...

    First first things first...

    An Update for 12 December: Amaq claimed another SyAAF jet shot down over T-4, plus three jets and/or helicopters destroyed on the ground. This should have happened during the first 'official' big assault on Tiyas AB.


    13 December
    Not a single take-off was reported before 13.50hrs local time, when one Su-22 launched from Shayrat AB in northern direction (i.e. not in direction of Palmyra). Probable reason was bad weather, but also sheer exhaustion after all the flying of the last few days.

    Considering Daesh's siege of T-4, and reported 'evacuation' of aircraft from there, it was interesting to see a single Su-24 took off from Tiyas AB, around 14.23hrs local time, and another at 14.50hrs. All flying then ceased around 16.00hrs local time, and no further take-offs were reported for the next five hours.

    Russians launched few additional strikes during the night, including one at 21.50hrs, and three between 23.45 and 23.48.

    Totals
    SyAAF
    helicopters: 0
    L-39: 0
    MiG-21: 0
    MiG-23: 1
    Su-22: 5
    Su-24: 2

    UAV: 0

    VKS: 5
    V-MF: 0
    helicopters: 0

    ***********

    14 December
    The day began with a single Russian helicopter reported over Western Idlib around 00.22hrs, followed by a take-off of a single Russian fighter-bomber from Hmemmem AB, a minute later. Further take-offs from Hmemmem AB were reported at 01.09, 01.53, 02.03, 02.06, 02.10, 02.11, 02.19, and 03.45hrs local time indicating quite vivid Russian activty. starting at 02.31hrs local time, most of these seem to have targeted Eastern Aleppo, once again denying announcements by Keystone Cops that they ceased bombing Aleppo in October. Indeed, one of these air strikes seems to have hit IRGC positions in Rashideen District of Aleppo.

    Around 02.24, one SyAAF Su-24 was launched from Tiyas AB and this turned in 'north-eastern direction' after take-off, indicating possible mission against Daesh in Palmyra area. Another did the same around 03.54hrs.

    There was no SyAAF reaction to a double SVBIED attack - followed by assaults from three sides - on Tiyas AB, reported by Amaq around the noon that day (can't find the source any more, sorry), but during the day photos appeared of the SyAAF Mi-25 '2808' at Tiyas.

    Weather seems to have stopped all activity during the day, until 16.03hrs, when a single 'Russian' aircraft was reported while approaching Khan Touman. Whether this was a weather-recce sortie or an air strike, remains unclear.

    At 18.33, a single Su-24 was launched from Shayrat AB, followed by another - but from Tiyas - at 18.54hrs. Both flew in north-eastern direction. Meanwhile, Russians launched one fighter-jet from Hmemmem AB, at 18.54, and one L-39 was reported as airborne at 18.54 east of Aleppo. Four Russian fighter-jets were launched from Hmemmem AB between 20.31 and 20.32hrs, another at 21.15, and one at 22.11hrs. Two L-39s were active in Aleppo area too that evening, one reportedly taking off from Kweres at 22.39, another at 23.03hrs.

    Totals
    SyAAF
    helicopters: 0
    L-39: 3
    MiG-21: 0
    MiG-23: 0
    Su-22: 0
    Su-24: 4

    UAV: 0

    VKS: 17
    V-MF: 0
    helicopters: 1

    ***********

    15 December
    The day began with a single Su-24 taking-off from Tiyas AB around 00.15hrs. While it's unclear what was bombed by it, two L-39s that took off from Hama AB at 00.41 and 00.51 were active in Khan Sheikhoun area (southern Idlib). A single Russian fighter-bomber took off from Hmemmem AB at 02.20hrs.

    Once the weather cleared sufficiently, both the SyAAF and the VKS began launching more strikes around 09.32hrs: the SyAAF sortie in question included a single Su-24 from Tiyas AB. Two minutes later, even a single UAV was observed over Western Idlib. Four Su-22s launched from Shayrat by 10.20hrs - all going in north-eastern or eastern direction - i.e. probably against Daesh in Palmyra area.

    Much more activity was reported starting from 11.00hrs, including two MiG-23s and two Su-22s from Shayrat, helicopters from Hama, UAVs over Idlib Governorate, two take-offs from Hmemmem and two high-flying Russians over Western Idlib (possibly indicating sorties from Kuznetsov). Even a 'reconnaissance' aircraft was reported overflying Khan Sheikhoun in eastern direction, around 11.36hrs.

    Two Su-24s launched from Tiyas AB (indicating the base was NOT evacuated) at 13.04 and 13.05, both flying away in north-eastern direction, and Hama AB launched a single MiG-21 around 13.35hrs. Later during the day, FSyA rocketed Hama AB with BM-21s, at least temporarily stopping operations from there.

    Through all of this time, sporadic activity of Russian fighter-jets was reported from Ma'arat an-Nauman area. More Su-22s and few MiG-23s took off from Shayrat after 14.00hrs, and a single Su-24 from Tiyas at 14.27hrs. Curiously, though all of this time - and just like in the last few days - no helicopter activity was reported from this area at all.

    All SyAAF activity ceased around 14.45, and Russians became active around 15.15hrs instead, launching single air strikes from Hmemmem AB - mostly in direction of Jishr ash-Shughour or further north-east (i.e. well away from direction of Palmyra).

    Two Su-24s that launched from Shayrat AB at 15.43 and 15.58 flew in direction of Aleppo, i.e. Khan Touman. Four others, launched at 16.02 and 16.03, bombed targets in Idlib area. Two more followed at 17.55 and 18.13, and also flew in northern, not in eastern direction: seems they have bombed the evacuation route agreed between Russians and Turks, while two others deployed reported CBUs on the insurgent-held pocket in Eastern Aleppo - both of which is in violation of the cease-fire and evacuation agreement.

    If truth, such reports would be interesting also because the SyAAF didn't drop any kind of CBUs since years.

    Gauging by number of Su-24-take-offs from Shayrat, it seems that most of Su-24s launched from Tiyas in the last few days were 'evacuated' to this air base. Nevertheless, two Su-24-take-offs were reported from T-4 at 19.28 and 19.46hrs.

    L-39s from Kweres AB became active around 18.34, and targeted Eastern Aleppo and Latamina with a total of five air strikes flown by 19.00hrs. Another took-off around 20.04hrs.

    Russians continued their operations with a total of six air strikes launched from Hmemmem AB between 20.53hrs and 21.27, while another L-39 took off from Hama around 21.29 to attack targets in Khan Sheikhoun area. Up to four Russian air strikes hit Khan Touman area round 21.42hrs: it is possible that the aircraft in question came from Kuznetsov.

    A single Su-24 took off from Tiyas at 22.44hrs, another from Shayrat at 22.54hrs, while another series of VKS take-offs from Hmemmem followed between 22.50hrs and 23.41hrs. Most of these have hit the Jishr ash-Shughour area, before midnight.

    Totals
    SyAAF
    helicopters: 1
    L-39: 6
    MiG-21: 1
    MiG-23: 9
    Su-22: 13
    Su-24: 14

    UAV: 2

    VKS: 35
    V-MF: 3 (possible)
    helicopters: 4
    recce: 1

    Additionally, a single IRIAF C-130 dropped supplies over Fouh/Kefraya.

  3. #2383
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    16 December
    Flying activity began with six take-offs from Hmemmem AB between 02.03 and 02.23. A single UAV was noted around the same time over western Idlib. Another fighter-jet launched at 04.25hrs. All went in north-eastern direction, mostly towards Khan Touman.

    Another air strike at Khan Touman was recorded at 07.49hrs, and at least four hit western Aleppo between 08.59 and 09.21 - the latter possibly launched from Kuznetsov (since no take-offs from Hmemmem AB were reported before 10.34hrs). While absolutely no activity by the SyAAF was recorded all of the night and morning, Russians then ceased flying too. Guess, the weather worsened again.

    Five new take-offs from Hmemmem AB were reported only between 14.07 and 14.23hrs, another three between 15.05 and 15.26hrs. Most of these seem to have targeted various places west and south of Aleppo. At least two of air strikes in question have targeted two villages south of Aleppo with CBUs.

    Khan Touman area was hit again by four air strikes between 19.45 and 20.09hrs, while the last three take-offs were recorded between 20.30 and 21.04 and seem to have targeted western Aleppo.

    Totals
    SyAAF 0 activity

    UAV: 3

    VKS: 21
    V-MF: 2 (possible)

    Must be the bad weather is prevalent today too, then so far only one Russian fighter-jet was registered this morning too.

    Can't but observe what a severe impact bad weather has on ops of both the SyAAF and the VKS. For SyAAF, this is not much surprise: that service lacks not only training in all-weather ops, but also equipment (except for Su-24s, of course). But Russians are flying types supposedly capable of operating not only by all weather, but by 'all weather and night'. And still, their activity seems to be strictly limited to periods of slight weather improvement: whenever it's raining, they are not flying at all. This is even less understanable considering their primary nav/attack platform - the famed SVP-24 - is GLONASS-supported, and thus supposed not to be impacted by weather at all.

    *************

    A 'slightly refined' version of the report above is meanwhile available as Bamboozling Aerial Operations by Assad-Regime and Russians, as is the article Pro-Regime Forces in Syria Are Stretched Thin — And Fighting Among Themselves - which is detailing how the Russians are trying to reorganize the 'bardak' created by Assadist and IRGC's militias on the battlefield of Syria.

    (That said, some things about that article 'went wrong'... for example, I find it anything but 'shocking' that the IRGC is leading the onslaught on Aleppo; and the photo of the Russian officer is actually showing General Vladimir Savchenko. His official position is that of ‘Head of Centre for Reconciliation’ – in essence a Russian-PR-stunt mimicking reconciliation between insurgents and the regime.
    He should have signed the Russo-Turkish agreement about cease-fire and withdrawal of insurgents and civilians from Aleppo – which in turn is between ‘largely’ and ‘completely’ ignored by the IRGC and Assadists.)

    Meanwhile, the evacuation of insurgents and civilians from Eastern Aleppo is over. The latest affair began by IRGC's jihadists stopping the last column, forcing all 800 people on board of buses out of these. Then they disarmed and forced them to lay on the ground, executed at least four and de-facto hijacked the others.

    In the aftermath of this, even the Keystone Cops in Moscow were left with little choice but to declare the evacuation for 'completed', and announce that military operations have been re-launched...

    So much about 'Russians have the say in Syria'...

  4. #2384
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    Aleppo: #FSA & Turkish army have captured #Qabr_al_Mukri village east of #Al_Bab from #ISIS.

    EU Mythbusters

    @EUvsDisinfo
    "Western media aren't independent" proKremlin narrative to undermine credibility of any Western media #DisinfoReview
    http://eepurl.com/cqY1GP

    EU Mythbusters

    @EUvsDisinfo
    Western efforts to counter disinformation are distorted as "Russophobia" in pro-Kremlin media. #DisinfoReview:
    http://eepurl.com/cr-oUX

    EU Mythbusters

    @EUvsDisinfo
    Read @stratcomcoe study on new developments in Kremlin's approach to information warfare:

    https://goo.gl/sIoaJD

  5. #2385
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    Social media has been saying this for months now.....

    Pro-Regime Forces in Syria Are Stretched Thin — And Fighting Among Themselves
    https://warisboring.com/pro-regime-f...38#.bplxs4dz0#

  6. #2386
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    Aleppo: 1000s now at the #Syria|n border in #Turkey demanding an end of the Eastern #Aleppo siege.
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  7. #2387
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    Hackers can take over an entire network with this tiny $35 box
    http://read.bi/2h9YicJ
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  8. #2388
    Council Member CrowBat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OUTLAW 09 View Post
    Social media has been saying this for months now.....

    https://warisboring.com/pro-regime-f...38#.bplxs4dz0#
    ...and the author of that article since since more than three years (i.e. before the social media started reporting this)...

    Anyway, it's really 'fascinating' to monitor the Russian 'struggle' with all the militias in Syria, and that since months. In this regards, here an anecdote that was deleted from original manuscript for that article.

    Namely, some of Russians I've interviewed over the time (on condition of anonymity, then there's no way anybody related to mil-ops in Syria can talk openly without jeopardising himself - probably the family too), describe the situation in the country (i.e. within regime-controlled areas) with the word 'bardak'.

    I'm not sure if any of them is aware of that, but this word comes from Hebrew for 'mess' - in sense of 'piggishness' in English, or 'Schweinerei' in German.

  9. #2389
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    The Mullahs’ Syrian Airlift Gets a Boost
    Boeing sells 80 aircraft to an Iranian regime that uses passenger jets to supply Bashar Assad. Thank Obama’s nuclear deal.
    ...
    One just can't summarize this any better, just like one couldn't describe the situation in Aleppo any better than this:

    Alep#: faux et usage de faux

    'Unusually', the latter is in French, but it's worth running through any kind of translation software you might have - and reading to the last dot and comma.

  10. #2390
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    Circulating Gen. #Gerasimov doctrine graph is from his 2013 article on hybrid war, predicted in 1940s.
    http://vpk-news.ru/sites/default/fil...PK_08_476.pdf#
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  11. #2391
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    Quote Originally Posted by CrowBat View Post
    ...and the author of that article since since more than three years (i.e. before the social media started reporting this)...

    Anyway, it's really 'fascinating' to monitor the Russian 'struggle' with all the militias in Syria, and that since months. In this regards, here an anecdote that was deleted from original manuscript for that article.

    Namely, some of Russians I've interviewed over the time (on condition of anonymity, then there's no way anybody related to mil-ops in Syria can talk openly without jeopardising himself - probably the family too), describe the situation in the country (i.e. within regime-controlled areas) with the word 'bardak'.

    I'm not sure if any of them is aware of that, but this word comes from Hebrew for 'mess' - in sense of 'piggishness' in English, or 'Schweinerei' in German.
    Totally missed you on this........my mind due to work has been in 10 different places this week.....Russian hacking has kept us hopping....

  12. #2392
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    CIT (en) ‏@CITeam_en
    Russian social media: Major Sanal Sanchirov, paratrooper assault battalion commander of 56th paratrooper brigade, killed in Syria recently.


    CIT (en) @CITeam_en
    Putin awards tank commander for Syrian operation, proving Ru tanks indeed fought there:
    https://citeam.org/russian-vehicles-...astern-syria/#




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    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 12-17-2016 at 09:50 PM.

  13. #2393
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    CIT (en) ‏@CITeam_en
    Acc to @rosbaltru, 5 soldiers involved in the filming of Chechen military police going to Syria video were arrested http://www.rosbalt.ru/russia/2016/12/13/1575337.html#…

  14. #2394
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    Russian PMC Wagner Syrian and eastern Ukraine activity is top secret. To derive any conclusion on them it requires tremendous skills & deep knowledge.

    Most prominent recent PMC Wagner KIA was Sergey Chupov in March 2016. Then derived by indirect, inside, direct srcs.

    Per Wagner's 1st wife rumour has it he's born in #Ukraine. His mother lived in #Ukraine. Likely she still lives.
    http://sprotyv.info/ru/news/kiev/esh...shem-vysshie#…

    The Russian killed by ISIS also had a rare infrared scope IWT 640 Charon, price: $14000
    http://allammo.ru/teplovizory-dlja-o...t_640_kharon/#

    The Russian killed by ISIS near Palmyra had on him a very rare Vkladysh mine/grenade
    http://spec-naz.org/index.php?/topic/2647/#




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  15. #2395
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    How the US can cut Russia-sponsored fake news.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...6c_story.html#

  16. #2396
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    Russian hackers appear to be linked to the Cyber Caliphate

    'Children scream as gunmen try to pick them off' - @danriversitv writes a harrowing account from Aleppo
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...men-try-pick/#

    Picture shows #Hizbollah fighters in Alramousah border with the East #Aleppo and cutting the road of the evacuation process
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    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 12-17-2016 at 10:39 PM.

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    Default To OUTLAW 09 RE: Cross-Threading and BMD

    Quote Originally Posted by OUTLAW 09
    You are getting way off the Syrian thread...just one response....
    And which one of us is responsible for that?

    We all know the stunt that Russia is pulling in Syria.

    Does it do the Syria thread any good to make it a cross-thread discussion on US politics, Putin’s foreign policy and Russia’s other small wars?

    RE: NATO BMD/EPAA

    Clark Murdock and others disagree with you that Russia had no cause to be alarmed at BMD in Central Europe. While the system as designed was not a threat to Russia at the time, it could be upgraded to pose a threat if the political decision was made by NATO and/or the United States. Russia continues to wargame nuclear warfare, and has concluded that Russia would have roughly half the survivable retaliatory warheads that the United States would have: approximately 100. Although US BMD systems would have no meaningful impact on a Russian first strike, they could whittle down a Russian second strike, reducing the retaliatory strike from 100 warheads to say 85 or less.

    The United States no longer wargames in the same manner because they are more focused on the probability of Russia taking a political decision to launch a first strike, whereas Russia focuses on capability over will. There is a logic to the Russian approach, given that the US was in the position after 1992, to launch a conventional counterforce strike on Russia (stealth bombers, PGMs), which the latter had little ability to defend against. Moreover, the Bush administration had various officials who wanted to resurrect SDI.

    You are absolutely correct that Russia wants no threats to the tactical nuclear weapons on is borders. However, Russia relies on tactical nuclear weapons because it has poor conventional precision-strike capabilities.

    In addition, you must acknowledge that the breakdown in cooperation on BMD was not entirely one-sided, and that Poland and the Czech Republic were curious locations for the system, if the threat was from Iran. After all, was Iran not more likely to target the GCC members, Israel, and US bases in Diego Garcia, Turkey, Cyprus, Djibouti, etc., rather than Central Europe?

    If NATO BMD was intended to counter Russian SRBMs such as the Iskander, then Russia’s opposition and suspicion would be understandable, no (the focus on Iran would be a lie)?

    Overall, I think that the Kremlin still suffers from the same misconceptions about American intentions that it did during the early 1980s (e.g. Operation RYAN, Able Archer, etc.). If the US government believes that North Korea's crude bombs make it too much of a porcupine, why would it possibly think that destroying Russia would be worth losing over 1/3 of its population? It is insane, and I don't believe that the Pentagon has a magic number of acceptable losses that it is driving for, say 75 million is OK but 80 million is not...

    We must distinguish between Russia’s more legitimate concerns, and Russia’s desire to freely menace Western Europe with nuclear weapons, which is illegitimate.

    Anyhow, back to Syria, I hope...

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    Default To CrowBat

    Thank you for your continued ORBATs of Russian forces in Syria.

    In March 2015, Phillip Karber analyzed Russia's ORBAT in Donbas, and noted how Russia relied upon rotating in BTGs created from units based all over Russia, from Kaliningrad to Kamchatka.

    Karber noted the difficulty Russia had in actually deploying forces into Donbas that were volunteer professionals. Obviously, deploying an expeditionary force of 9,000 soldiers to Donbas to fight a land war under the cover of plausible deniability, is an entirely different affair than taking on 30,000 NATO soldiers (rapid deployable corps including the VJTF) backed by superior airpower.

    Outlaw 09 has noted how many Russian units that saw service in Donbas rotate into Syria.

    The folks over at StrategyPage have consistently claimed that Russia can draw upon roughly 100,000 professional volunteer soldiers that are trained and equipped along Western standards, and that this includes various National Guard/Interior Ministry Spetsnaz units.

    Thoughts?

  19. #2399
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    Quote Originally Posted by Azor View Post
    And which one of us is responsible for that?

    We all know the stunt that Russia is pulling in Syria.

    Does it do the Syria thread any good to make it a cross-thread discussion on US politics, Putin’s foreign policy and Russia’s other small wars?

    RE: NATO BMD/EPAA

    Clark Murdock and others disagree with you that Russia had no cause to be alarmed at BMD in Central Europe. While the system as designed was not a threat to Russia at the time, it could be upgraded to pose a threat if the political decision was made by NATO and/or the United States. Russia continues to wargame nuclear warfare, and has concluded that Russia would have roughly half the survivable retaliatory warheads that the United States would have: approximately 100. Although US BMD systems would have no meaningful impact on a Russian first strike, they could whittle down a Russian second strike, reducing the retaliatory strike from 100 warheads to say 85 or less.

    The United States no longer wargames in the same manner because they are more focused on the probability of Russia taking a political decision to launch a first strike, whereas Russia focuses on capability over will. There is a logic to the Russian approach, given that the US was in the position after 1992, to launch a conventional counterforce strike on Russia (stealth bombers, PGMs), which the latter had little ability to defend against. Moreover, the Bush administration had various officials who wanted to resurrect SDI.

    You are absolutely correct that Russia wants no threats to the tactical nuclear weapons on is borders. However, Russia relies on tactical nuclear weapons because it has poor conventional precision-strike capabilities.

    In addition, you must acknowledge that the breakdown in cooperation on BMD was not entirely one-sided, and that Poland and the Czech Republic were curious locations for the system, if the threat was from Iran. After all, was Iran not more likely to target the GCC members, Israel, and US bases in Diego Garcia, Turkey, Cyprus, Djibouti, etc., rather than Central Europe?

    If NATO BMD was intended to counter Russian SRBMs such as the Iskander, then Russia’s opposition and suspicion would be understandable, no (the focus on Iran would be a lie)?

    Overall, I think that the Kremlin still suffers from the same misconceptions about American intentions that it did during the early 1980s (e.g. Operation RYAN, Able Archer, etc.). If the US government believes that North Korea's crude bombs make it too much of a porcupine, why would it possibly think that destroying Russia would be worth losing over 1/3 of its population? It is insane, and I don't believe that the Pentagon has a magic number of acceptable losses that it is driving for, say 75 million is OK but 80 million is not...

    We must distinguish between Russia’s more legitimate concerns, and Russia’s desire to freely menace Western Europe with nuclear weapons, which is illegitimate.

    Anyhow, back to Syria, I hope...
    I intertwine both eastern Ukraine and Syria simply because they are part and parcel of the same ongoing Russian non linear war being actively pushed by Putin against first of the US and then EU and then NATO....since 2002...

    As far as I know I am about the only commenter here that has ever been in an very real BMD exercise pushing just about every scenario under the sun directly at the BMD.....and regardless of what others write..say and or think..without THADD coupled into it and there is none in Europe and there are no plans for one......there is absolutely no threat to the Russian ICBM threat..thus MAD is still in place.....I have seen THADD deployed but in the protection of one specific geo location and that was not in Europe.

    THERE is though a direct threat to the tactical level nukes.....which Russia has massively increased in sheer numbers for the last 15 years......

    NOTICE the unleashing of the non linear war starting 2002 and the direct increase in tactical nukes starting in 2001...not by accident.

    I have been able to piece together in conversations with local former GDR citizens that saw Putin a number of times in a certain GDR area that shot holes in a well crafted narrative concerning his time in Dresden....and that he might be far more connected inside the former KGB than we give him credit for....as he trained in a very specific location with an very elite Soviet army unit that we did not know even existed and or that it was located where it was in the early to mid 80s.....

    BTW with the latest Iranian missile testing the range on that test is more than enough to reach central Europe from Iran.....and some say the accuracy is excellent.....and the BMD exercises included that missile development.....

    The Russian argument is the same Soviet arguments used during the cruise missile debates and stationing..

    Suggestion maybe the Russians would like the Israeli Iron Dome upgrade version 2 on their borders.....and their latest BMD development as well...that then might actually be a reason for the Russians to be concerned.....
    Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 12-18-2016 at 07:24 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Azor View Post
    Thank you for your continued ORBATs of Russian forces in Syria.

    In March 2015, Phillip Karber analyzed Russia's ORBAT in Donbas, and noted how Russia relied upon rotating in BTGs created from units based all over Russia, from Kaliningrad to Kamchatka.

    Karber noted the difficulty Russia had in actually deploying forces into Donbas that were volunteer professionals. Obviously, deploying an expeditionary force of 9,000 soldiers to Donbas to fight a land war under the cover of plausible deniability, is an entirely different affair than taking on 30,000 NATO soldiers (rapid deployable corps including the VJTF) backed by superior airpower.

    Outlaw 09 has noted how many Russian units that saw service in Donbas rotate into Syria.

    The folks over at StrategyPage have consistently claimed that Russia can draw upon roughly 100,000 professional volunteer soldiers that are trained and equipped along Western standards, and that this includes various National Guard/Interior Ministry Spetsnaz units.

    Thoughts?
    Based on conversations with senior Russian General Staff officers..senior officers from their military academy and the commanding officers of the 14th Peacekeeping Brigade (2012/2013) the Russian army is to go to a 250,000 full time contract professional army....

    Might actually post their powerpoint presentations about their long term planned development for the entire army...here....some are in English some in Russian...just need to dig them out of data storage.

    THUS the constant rotation to give the existing force combat experience...there has been solid evidence that recent Russian army officers graduating from the Russian artillery school have been in eastern Ukraine and actively engaged in Russian army artillery attacks on UAF positions especially the heavy 152mm side using drone recon assisting in fire and control.....first rumored then confirmed via voice intercepts....

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