Bolotov, separatist leader who recently blew whistle on #Russia shelling residential areas around #Luhansk, suddenly dies in #Moscow.
Militants attacks Ukraine positions in Donbas 60 times, ATO forces report 3 WIAs
Bolotov, separatist leader who recently blew whistle on #Russia shelling residential areas around #Luhansk, suddenly dies in #Moscow.
Interactive Missile Map Reveals How Messy a NATO-Russia War Would#Be
https://getpocket.com/@jakubjanda/share/1795173#
Mariupol: "Non stop heavy incomings east of the city, long time since it was that heavy"
20:54 #Mariupol @iMariupol Heavy [guns] work w/o a pause. Long time since such things
Mariupol tonight, sounds of war
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MbJZ...ture=youtu.be#
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-28-2017 at 07:24 PM.
22:20 #Donetsk @l_vinchenso 'DNR'
http://vk.com
# group warns north #Donetsk, #Makiivka, #Yasynuvata to be on alert. Annoucement?
Avdiivka 10.30 am - the battle going on. Looks like serious combat.
11:35 #Staromykhaylivka @hyeva_Marinka Today they started just in the daytime
Shelling can be heard since early morning in the #Donetsk region. #Makeevka #Mariinka #Avdeevka
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-29-2017 at 10:10 AM.
Russ occupants in the early morning on 29 January hard shelled Avdiivka.Three #Ukrainian soldiers killed, one was wounded in morning assault
Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-29-2017 at 09:57 PM.
Russian-Backed Fighters Launch New Offensive North Of Donetsk - Four Ukrainian Soldiers Killed In Avdeyevka
http://bit.ly/2jMiG4Q
BREAKING: Another 2 Ukrainian soldiers killed, 5 wounded due to heavy artillery attacks on #Avdeevka this morning
Ukrainian military intelligence says 15 "militants" of the Russian Hybrid Army killed in two offensives on #Avdeevka yesterday
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-30-2017 at 11:38 AM.
STRATCOMCOE @STRATCOMCOE
Read our latest report "The Dynamics of Russia's Information Activities Against Ukraine During the #Syria Campaign"
http://bit.ly/2ha2op4
Major ground offensive is underway and UAF is strongly pushing back....
Battle continues into night with use of multiple weapons systems including GRAD, 152mm,122mm artillery 120mm, 82mm mortar and tanks today
12 UAF KIA in the last two days of intense fighting....26 WIA....
Putin's and #Trump's phone call is correlated with the number of violent uprising of #Ukrainia`n KIA/WIA:s.
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-30-2017 at 05:59 PM.
Ukrainian intel: About 60 Russian mercenary soldiers in Donetsk morgue after two-day fighting
http://www.unian.info/war/1750397-uk...fighting.html#
This article crosses this thread nicely with the sidelining of the JCoS and DNI in the NSC....as well as it goes to the Putin dream of a Yalta 2.0 that he has been preaching since 2006...that he wants a zone of influence political and economic running from Portugal to the Russian Far East.....
http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.de/...pe-of-emerging...
Monday, January 30, 2017
Solovey on the Shape of the Emerging Putin-Trump ‘Big Deal’ on Ukraine and Much Else
Staunton, January 30 – Valery Solovey, one of the best connected and most thoughtful of Moscow’s foreign policy commentators, says that the telephone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin was the “first step toward ‘a big deal’” between the two not only over bilateral ties but also over a re-division of the world that will leave many countries at Russia’s mercy.
The MGIMO professor outlines what he sees as the seven most important aspects of such a deal in a Facebook post that subsequently has been picked up by other outlets.
On the one hand, if Solovey is right, Trump is prepared to leave the 11 former Soviet republics to face Russian power on their own, something that will represent a betrayal of what has been American policy since 1991.Solovey’s seven points of a possible “deal” between Putin and Trump are:
1. “Moscow considers that a personal meeting of Putin and Trump will be marked by mutual understanding and can lay the groundwork for a strategic deal.”
2. “In the new American administration there are influential people who think that agreement with Russia corresponds to the national interests of the US. Expert workups of these agreements have already begun.”
3. “For the US, the main themes of the deal are the destruction of ISIS and restraining Iran and China. For Russia, they are the de facto recognition of a new geopolitical status quo, a recognition of the post-Soviet space (except for the Baltics) as a zone of Russian influence, a normalization of relations with NATO, and a decisive easing of sanctions.”
4. “A mass joint operation of the US and Russia against ISIS (the theater of military operations in addition to Syria would include two or three additional countries) would prove capable of removing the objections of the Congress against a deal with Russia.”
5. “Regarding the policy of post-sanctions Iran, Moscow now has poorly concealed objections so that a firm base for a future agreement exists.”
6. “For Russia, it is critically important to avoid complications with china, therefore the potential model of agreement with the US regarding China may be formed not on a military-political but on a geo-economic basis involving massive economic cooperation in Siberia and the Far East, with the involvement of South Korea and Japan.”
7. “Regarding Ukraine, the position is the following: to give guarantees that the Russians will not seize Ukraine, and in the future to allow the two neighboring sides to agree among themselves. The US has other priorities.”
It is important to remember that Solovey’s conclusions, however accurate they may be as a statement about where Putin and Trump are now, may not be what any final “deal” will look like: There are simply too many players in both Russia and the US to be certain of that. But they do point to two disturbing possibilities in the former Soviet space.
Moscow apparently is prepared to recognize that the Baltic countries are out of its zone, but any Putin promise to not try to take Ukraine is worthless.
And on the other, in the MGIMO analyst’s view, Trump and Putin are prepared to launch a major military campaign against ISIS not because it would really defeat Islamist radicalism – the experience of Syria shows how unlikely that is -- than because it could serve as a means for Trump to marginalize critics in the Congress of his all-too-obvious tilt toward Russia.
Given the gratitude that Trump would likely have for such additional Russian assistance in US domestic politics, it would be most unlikely that the US president would do anything to block Putin’s authoritarianism and imperial pretensions in Eurasia, guaranteeing not only more violence there but destroying what is left of US credibility more generally.
#
And tragically, if Solovey is right, Trump apparently is only concerned about containing Islamic radicalism and China and is prepared to yield to Russia on everything else. Thus his constant promise to “make America great again” will in the first instance contribute to making Russia great again even as it diminishes America’s influence and standing in the world.
Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-31-2017 at 09:59 PM. Reason: Redundant links
Following the #fighting, #Avdiivka, a town of 35,000 north of #Donetsk, was left with no water, power or heating:
This morning Russian combined terrorist forces shelled #Avdievka residential areas with MLRS BM21 Grad rockets
"8 full loads of MRLS outgoing from Auchan area, two flew towards Zasyadko, four towards #Avdiivka"
Russians are now actively shelling civilians areas MUCH as they bombed civilians and civilian areas in Syria....same exact tactic now in Ukraine....
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-31-2017 at 06:20 AM.
04:16 #Donetsk @The_Ukrop "It is already 4th load of Grad going towards #airport direction, f*ckup here"
06:33 #Yasynuvata [pro-RU source] @swetlaha1706 All night and now very tough battle is ongoing. Long time since I heard it not ceaseng fr 1s
Ukr Gen Staff: Overnight russian forces made another attempt to storm UAF positions near #Avdiivka, again repelled.
"Basurin clams, DNR imposes regime of ceasefire". Black is white, Massive Grad shellings are ceasefire. Ok
Civilians may have to be pulled out of Avdiika in order to protect them from Russian mercenary shelling attacks and then the street to street fighting will bebin...THIS is exactly what the Russians want.....
Zhebrivskyi: We have a written guarantee from the Russian side to cease attacks from 10:00 - 17:00 on #Avdiivka. Repair crews start to work.
Believe it will be upheld...not really....nothing the Russians ever sign gets fulfilled...refer to Minsk 2....
Fighting barely stopped overnight with multiple launches of GRAD rockets. Fighting east of #Mariupol and #Avdeevka this morning.
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-31-2017 at 06:39 AM.
RU forces cut 16.000-ppl Avdiivka from electricity at -20 degrees. RU keeps intensifying shelling and makes it impossible to evacuate people
Unusually blunt statement from OSCE, almost but not quite directly blaming Russian-backed armed group in Donetsk for flare up in Avdiyivka.
Avdiivka - City Hospital has been evacuated. But totally 400 000 residents in the affected area.
DW journo: Pro-Russian proxies send anonymous war propaganda SMSs to #Ukraine's troops in #Avdiivka to undermine their readiness to fight.
Transdniestria accuses Moldova of 'psychological pressure'
http://uawire.org/news/transdniestri...ical-pressure#
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 01-31-2017 at 08:11 PM.
Donetsk: Another load of GRAD rockets just fired
Experts: #Avdiivka cocking plant shut down due to pro-Russia proxies shelling may paralyze #Ukraine's metallurgy.
https://economics.unian.ua/industry/...aterikom.html#
Czech #cyberattack: #Russia suspected of hacking diplomats’ emails
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...lomats-emails#
Transnistria asks Moscow for a 130 Mln $ loan for "economic stabilization"
http://www.europalibera.org/a/28270552.html
Russia Federal Agents Suspected of Treason Reportedly Passed Secrets to the CIA:
https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russ...the-cia-56994#
APPEARS that Russian did not hold to their offered ceasefire to repair facilities....as they agreed to earlier today.....
Not allowing ceasefire 2 repair electricity&heating is a deliberate instigation of humanitarian catastrophe:ALL engaged must be punished
Russian info warfare now being directed massively against Merkel....interestingly in very good English and German.....
Target: Merkel
How the international far right mobbed the German Chancellor after the Berlin#attack
https://medium.com/@DFRLab/target-me...c1#.32vob7nn9#
Artillery duel continued throughout the night in #Donetsk. As of 6AM the battle near #Avdiivka was still ongoing.
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