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Thread: Iraq in 2018-2019

  1. #41
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    Security report for 1st week of May in Iraq.

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    Example of forced displacement in west Ninewa. One of the lasting legacies of the war vs IS. Here's a link.

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    Security report 2nd wk of May in Iraq
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 05-18-2018 at 03:28 PM. Reason: 10,022v

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    Default Sadr: From A Firebrand Cleric To A Political Brand Of Reform

    An ICSR commentary. It opens with:
    Earlier this week, Iraq held its first elections since formally declaring victory over Islamic State. Muqtada al-Sadr claimed a surprise victory, in an election that saw an unusually low turnout. Thus, while Sadr was able to consolidate a support base that remained largely unchanged, more prominent parties failed to mobilise their constituencies to participate in the election. Described by many as an anti-Western ‘firebrand’, Sadr’s platform is indeed distinctly populist and nationalist.
    Link:http://icsr.info/2018/05/icsr-insigh...-brand-reform/
    davidbfpo

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    Security report for 3rd wk of May in Iraq

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    Interview with PhD student Benedict Robin on Sadr's Sairoon alliance with the Communists and its victory in the May elections

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    Security report for 4th week of May in Iraq.

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    Default From Battlefield to Ballot Box: Contextualising the Rise and Evolution of Iraq’s PMU

    A report by ICSR that aims to explore the institutionalisation and organisational structure of the PMU before delving into their election maneouvring.
    The Executive Summary is linked below.

    The conclusions:
    Ambiguities within the existing legislation meant to strengthen the state-actor character of the PMU have left a loophole, allowing the PMU to take on multiple roles, benefiting equally from the established operational legality, and acclaimed ideological legitimacy.
    • The lines are blurred and the allegiances – at least those that have been verbally professed thus far – are prone to shift according to the target audience and the immediate operational advantages pursued by the groups’ cannier political forerunners.
    • Regardless of any potential electoral gains PMU-affiliated leaders have been able to achieve to this point within and outside the established Fatah alliance, the PMU as an umbrella organisation requires the firm institutional embrace of the Iraqi authorities.
    • With Islamic State regrouping slowly in the background, the Hashd needs to gradually develop into a disciplined and agile state organisation.
    • This transformation process, alongside continued security sector reforms in a fragile yet hopeful democracy, will take time. It will also require a high level of manoeuvrability on behalf of Iraq’s future government, its frequently competing neighbours, and its foreign allies.
    Link:http://icsr.info/2018/05/battlefield...isation-units/
    davidbfpo

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    Security report Violence largely unchanged April to May 2018 in Iraq.

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    Interview with former US Anti-Graft official Vincent Foulk on Iraq's problem with corruption

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    Security report 1st week of June in Iraq

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    Review Confronting Al Qaeda, The Sunni Awakening and American Strategy In Al Anbar

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    Security report 2nd wk of June in Iraq

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    Lawfare article on Iraqi trials of IS suspects

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    Security report for 3rd wk of June in Iraq

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    Book review of Compulsion In Religion on how Saddam set about to control religion in Iraq starting in 1980s and how that was connected to the militias and insurgency that emerged after 03. Provides important new research on Iraq.

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    Security report 4th week of June in Iraq

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    June Islamic State rebuilding in Ira's rural areas.

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    Security report for Jul 1-7, 2018

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    Security report for Iraq July 8-14 tracking the rebuilding of IS in central Iraq.
    Last edited by JWing; 07-23-2018 at 03:20 PM.

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