Drama in the Persian Gulf (Tehran gets uppity)

[davidbfpo]

A British blogger's commentary that ends with:

This remains a complex and fast moving situation, and more events will surely follow. But, for now, it is worth trying to capture some of the bigger issues as it moves along, and in time consider the lessons and impacts more broadly. Whatever else happens, the hope must be that this ends peacefully and not with an escalation into an ever more challenging proxy war, where the new threshold of gradually accepted use of low level violence suddenly leads to an accidental escalation of something significantly more widespread by accident.

Link:https://thinpinstripedline.blogspot....s-on-gulf.html

An IISS commentary by an ex-diplomat that ends - nearly - with:

Whatever the strategy of either side, it is possible that with an increased amount of tension, rhetoric and military personnel in the region a miscalculation trips both sides into uncontrolled escalation. That is a legitimate concern that surfaced with the downing of the drone. But even in the event of miscalculation, the escalation need not be automatic.

Link:https://www.iiss.org/blogs/analysis/...an-in-the-gulf