Page 5 of 6 FirstFirst ... 3456 LastLast
Results 81 to 100 of 102

Thread: The Israeli Option in Strategy

  1. #81
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    74

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Tom Odom View Post
    Sean try not climbing on the bully pulpit with phrases like "Snow ball in Hell" and "We the People".
    Tom,

    I did not say "Snowball in Hell". JJackson did. I said "snowballs chance" --meaning that a snowball has as much longterm viability in spring in summer on earth as they would have in that other place. But as you note, I was expressing my opinion and am entitled to use any common phraseology I deem necessary to make my point clear.

    To be clear, I also used the phrase "We The People" as an American citizen with respect to both JJackson as a citizen of the UK and the significant majority of American public opinion I was referencing.

    Similiarly, do not assign or imply "pro" labels to others. What you label yourself is your business; what you label others on here is moderator business.
    I agree. As has occurred elsewhere on this forum, I did not see a problem in noting how another labeled himself in the context of his comments. It appeared to my comprehension that JJ was making manifest an anti-Zionist versus pro-Palestinian opinion. It was nothing personal, just an observation on the point-of-origin of the comment made. I'll be more careful in this regard.
    Last edited by Sean Osborne; 12-15-2007 at 03:52 PM.

  2. #82
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by walrus View Post
    Curmudgeon:




    This is a rather narcissistic worldview that is embodied in the PNAC and it overstates America's military might, as events in one very small and backward corner of the Globe (Iraq) have demonstrated.

    I also have difficulty with the playpen analogy since what is "Fair" is a matter of opinion and America's "fairness" is a matter of some debate, particularly in the Islamic world.
    First off, we won the "invasion" of Iraq hands down. Where we are failed, and are still failing, is in our policy of trying to overlay our social structure and form of government onto a culture that does not see it as correct. The same problem the soviets had in Afghanistan. So I disagree with you that we do not have the power to smite a wayward nation-state should we feel it is appropriate. I agree that a broad base of international support for any action is better, but I don't agree that a broad base is necessary.

    Second, what is "fair" is rarely a matter of true debate. For America, or for that matter any other country, "fair" equates directly into "what is in MY best interest". To claim anything else is self delusion.

    Lately, what we feel is in our best interest is to install democracy everywhere regardless of whether the society wants, or I would argue, is in a position to benefit from it. It has the sound of being "fair". Gives you a warm and fuzzy feeling that we are helping the repressed nations of the world gain their freedom. Everyone really wants to be "free" like us so we will help everyone get there. But the democracy drive is strictly in our best interest based on the concept that democracies have open trade policies and rarely go to war with each other. In Iraq, in my opinion, we were hoping for a domino effect. That once the other nations around Iraq saw how good things were there they would take a dip in the democracy pool. But ultimately it was still in our best interest to take that action.

    I am siding with the idea that we stay out of another country's affairs until they pose a threat to "our" security interests. At that point, once we determine that Diplomatic, Informational, or Economic actions will not be sufficient to reduce the threat, we take limited military action to REDUCE the threat. That does not mean that you embrace "regime change" which was a euphemism for "replacing a dictatorship with a democracy". Depending on the culture of the country you are intervening in, that can be an intergenerational commitment that is primarily a Informational and Economic effort with the military playing only a very minimal roll. The decision to involve ourselves in that kind of action must take into account the society that we are attempting to re-engineer.

    From a policy prospective, we need to decide whether sovereignty or human rights are more important. Is a stable government more beneficial to us than one that is democratic. If your choice is democracy, then you better be prepared for that type of commitment. I would submit that, as far as use of the Military form of national power is concerned, our choice should be sovereignty. This is what we did in Desert Storm. We made no attempt to replace the Emir of Kuwait with a democracy. What they had worked for them even though their women did not have the right to vote.

    Realize also that, no matter which one of these choices we make, someone will be able to argue that you were wrong. If you try to install a democracy and an insurgency results, you were wrong. If you leave a dictator in charge, you were wrong.

    This also does not mean that we abandon joint actions through the UN to stop genocide or to provide disaster relief. It means that 1) unilateral actions to reduce a threat should be taken regardless of international support; 2) these actions should be limited to reducing the threat to an acceptable level, not eliminating it unless absolutely necessary (containment); 3) where elimination of the threat is required or where there is a failed state, limit your intervention to what is required to restore a functioning, stabile government; and 4) if you determine that installing a democracy is absolutely necessary, plan on a twenty to fifty year commitment.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 04:06 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  3. #83
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    74

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    First off, we won the "invasion" of Iraq hands down.
    Yeah, roger that. Given the size and sophistication of the forces involved the American, British, Australian, Kuwaiti and Coalition victory was unprecented in modern warfare.


    Where we are failed, and are still failing, is in our policy of trying to overlay our social structure and form of government onto a culture that does not see it as correct.
    Are we really attempting to overlay Judeo-Christian social structure on a predominantly Islamic (Sunni and Shiite) society? Is not the social fabric of Iraq an artifical construct of the British after WWI?

    Seems to me a sizeable portion of the Iraqi people made death-defying choices to express their will and return home on election days with a purple stained finger. It also seems to me that its not Iraqi society as a whole which opposes democratization but Islamists and remnant totalitarian Ba'athists who violently oppose this.

    Second, what is "fair" is rarely a matter of true debate. For America, or for that matter any other country, "fair" equates directly into "what is in MY best interest". To claim anything else is self delusion.
    I agree. "Fair" is a keyword most over used by the political left.

  4. #84
    Council Member marct's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Ottawa, Canada
    Posts
    3,682

    Default

    Hi Curmudgeon,

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    First off, we won the "invasion" of Iraq hands down. Where we are failed, and are still failing, is in our policy of trying to overlay our social structure and form of government onto a culture that does not see it as correct. The same problem the soviets had in Afghanistan. So I disagree with you that we do not have the power to smite a wayward nation-state should we feel it is appropriate. I agree that a broad base of international support for any action is better, but I don't agree that a broad base is necessary.
    I am going to disagree with you on this - you won the Battle for Iraq, Phase 1-3, but the war is still up in the air. The invasion, which was a resounding victory, may well end up classified along with Pyrrhus' victories at Heraclea and Asculum. Yes, your attempt to impose a foreign social and political structure on Iraq are, in some ways, a failure but not so much because they are viewed as "incorrect". Rather, the administrations' assumptions of republican "democracy" as an evolutionary ideal that all societies strive for and people "really" (innately) want forgot that any form of democracy require an internal revolution and cannot be imposed by a foreign power.

    In general, I certainly agree that the US has the power to "smite" any other nation state. So what? So did Pyrrhus. Beating the snot out of someone doesn't turn them into bosom buddies and automatically convert them to "right thinking" (however that may be defined). If you want to engage in cultural and social engineering, which is how the victory conditions for OIF were defined, you need a lot more than overt military power.

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    Second, what is "fair" is rarely a matter of true debate. For America, or for that matter any other country, "fair" equates directly into "what is in MY best interest". To claim anything else is self delusion.
    I do agree that "fair" is rarely a matter of true debate . However, let me remind you that nations are not actors in and of themselves; they are collections of people. JJ's levels of moral obligation is a much more accurate way to look at self interest (I think he took it from Heinlein ).

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    Lately, what we feel is in our best interest is to install democracy everywhere regardless of whether the society wants, or I would argue, is in a position to benefit from it. It has the sound of being "fair". Gives you a warm and fuzzy feeling that we are helping the repressed nations of the world gain their freedom. Everyone really wants to be "free" like us so we will help everyone get there. But the democracy drive is strictly in our best interest based on the concept that democracies have open trade policies and rarely go to war with each other. In Iraq, in my opinion, we were hoping for a domino effect. That once the other nations around Iraq saw how good things were there they would take a dip in the democracy pool. But ultimately it was still in our best interest to take that action.
    Hmmph! I hadn't realized that the Catholic doctrine of Salvation through Good Works was so prominent in US culture . Well, we should probably add in another naive assumption to go with the rest: the idea that democracies have open trade policies.

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    I am siding with the idea that we stay out of another country's affairs until they pose a threat to "our" security interests. At that point, once we determine that Diplomatic, Informational, or Economic actions will not be sufficient to reduce the threat, we take limited military action to REDUCE the threat. That does not mean that you embrace "regime change" which was a euphemism for "replacing a dictatorship with a democracy". Depending on the culture of the country you are intervening in, that can be an intergenerational commitment that is primarily a Informational and Economic effort with the military playing only a very minimal roll. The decision to involve ourselves in that kind of action must take into account the society that we are attempting to re-engineer.
    Absolutely agree!

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    This also does not mean that we abandon joint actions through the UN to stop genocide or to provide disaster relief. It means that 1) unilateral actions to reduce a threat should be taken regardless of international support; 2) these actions should be limited to reducing the threat to an acceptable level, not eliminating it unless absolutely necessary (containment); 3) where elimination of the threat is required or where there is a failed state, limit your intervention to what is required to restore a functioning, stabile government; and 4) if you determine that installing a democracy is absolutely necessary, plan on a twenty to fifty year commitment.
    Totally agree with this as well. For 3 and 4 I would also add in that specific UN approval is also a pre-requisite unless there is a clear and present danger.

    Marc
    Sic Bisquitus Disintegrat...
    Marc W.D. Tyrrell, Ph.D.
    Institute of Interdisciplinary Studies,
    Senior Research Fellow,
    The Canadian Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies, NPSIA
    Carleton University
    http://marctyrrell.com/

  5. #85
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    UK
    Posts
    203

    Default Democracy

    TheCurmudgeon:
    Lately, what we feel is in our best interest is to install democracy everywhere regardless of whether the society wants, or I would argue, is in a position to benefit from it. It has the sound of being "fair". Gives you a warm and fuzzy feeling that we are helping the repressed nations of the world gain their freedom. Everyone really wants to be "free" like us so we will help everyone get there. But the democracy drive is strictly in our best interest based on the concept that democracies have open trade policies and rarely go to war with each other. In Iraq, in my opinion, we were hoping for a domino effect. That once the other nations around Iraq saw how good things were there they would take a dip in the democracy pool. But ultimately it was still in our best interest to take that action.
    Is the democracy policy still being pushed? I thought it had been quietly dropped as a bad idea.
    Democracy is only a method of electing representatives and should not be confused with the type of policies the elected entity might espouse. A communist party can be elected or the US republican party or Ahmadinejad or Hitler or Hamas. Unfettered democracy in the muslim world could have some very regretable consequences – from a US point of view. Gaza picked Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood may well take Egypt (and other ‘friendly’ states) and even I am not keen on the idea of democratically elected Whabist Saudi Euro-fighter pilots roaming the gulf looking for infadels. Repression has been an important tool for many of America’s friends and not just in the ME.

    Fair?
    I am happy to accept that fair is very much in the eye of the beholder but not that it is "what is in MY best interest". If we can not see both sides of the argument and at least try and think what a third party might view as fair – and accept it - we really are in big trouble.

  6. #86
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sean Osborne View Post
    Are we really attempting to overlay Judeo-Christian social structure on a predominantly Islamic (Sunni and Shiite) society? Is not the social fabric of Iraq an artifical construct of the British after WWI?

    Seems to me a sizeable portion of the Iraqi people made death-defying choices to express their will and return home on election days with a purple stained finger. It also seems to me that its not Iraqi society as a whole which opposes democratization but Islamists and remnant totalitarian Ba'athists who violently oppose this.
    An election does not make a democracy. The Soviet Union, China, and other single party states hold regular elections an no one accuses them of being democracies. What we in the west normally equate with a “liberal democracy” is one where the individual reigns supreme and the government serves the individual.

    First, I would argue that the tribal society that underpins the social structure in most of Iraq holds the tribe supreme. This cultural norm is what is keeping the leaders of the country from being able to put the needs of the whole of the people ahead of needs of their tribe, even if their tribe is not the ones who elected them.

    Second, because of the tribal/religious nature of the society, there is no history of free and open debate, of decision making at intermediate levels, of not taking bribes as a normal trapping of authority, or of the rule of law. These are integral to a democracy. They have to be embraced as a social norm. That type of social re-engineering takes time.

    As an aside, having the national election so early may have even been detrimental. In Against all Odds, Against All Odds?Historical Trends in Imposed Democracy & the Future of Iraq & Afghanistan, (http://www.psci.unt.edu/enterline/aj...v48singleb.pdf ) Andrew J. Enterline and J. Michael Greig argued that when an attempt at a democracy fails it becomes harder to install another democracy in the same country in the future. They speculate that where the promise of democracy fails to deliver, the society becomes less apt to want to try that failed experiment again. They also contend that, based on historical evidence, it takes a minimum of twenty years of military intervention to form a stable democracy. I see this as being an generational shift. The young embrace those ideals needed to make a democracy function and then you are on autopilot. But until that happens, you better be prepared to hold the hands of the country's leadership until that fundamental change occurs.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 05:40 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  7. #87
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    74

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by marct View Post
    I would also add in that specific UN approval is also a pre-requisite unless there is a clear and present danger.
    There will always be a lack of consensus on whether specific UN approval is a pre-requiste, among individuals and nations. As you note there is the 'clear and present danger' caveat in which the National Security of a state is deemed at risk.

    It is that National Security 101 definition of what is a threat that will be the ultimate definer -- Capability plus Intent plus Opportunity = The Treat.

  8. #88
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    TheCurmudgeon:


    Is the democracy policy still being pushed? I thought it had been quietly dropped as a bad idea.
    Democracy is only a method of electing representatives and should not be confused with the type of policies the elected entity might espouse. A communist party can be elected or the US republican party or Ahmadinejad or Hitler or Hamas. Unfettered democracy in the muslim world could have some very regretable consequences – from a US point of view. Gaza picked Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood may well take Egypt (and other ‘friendly’ states) and even I am not keen on the idea of democratically elected Whabist Saudi Euro-fighter pilots roaming the gulf looking for infadels. Repression has been an important tool for many of America’s friends and not just in the ME. .
    I agree that a vote is not a democracy. I do not know if democracy as a policy is being dropped. Last time I read a National Strategy paper it was still a big deal.

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    TheCurmudgeon:
    Fair?
    I am happy to accept that fair is very much in the eye of the beholder but not that it is "what is in MY best interest". If we can not see both sides of the argument and at least try and think what a third party might view as fair – and accept it - we really are in big trouble.
    We do consider what others think. The common term however is "second and third order effects". Ultimately, we make the decision to act or not to act based on what is good for us. I am not saying that is a good or a bad thing. I am just saying it is reality.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 05:16 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  9. #89
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Montreal
    Posts
    1,602

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sean Osborne View Post
    It also seems to me that its not Iraqi society as a whole which opposes democratization but Islamists and remnant totalitarian Ba'athists who violently oppose this.
    I agree that a great many Iraqis want some sort of democratization (although they may understand the details in very different ways, and they also want other things, such as security and a decent standard of living). I would somewhat modify your statement, however, to read "(some, predominately Sunni) Islamists..." given that among the most enthusiastic proponents and beneficiaries of formal electoral democracy in Iraq are the strongly Islamist (Shi'ite) Supreme Council, al-Dawa, and even Sadr...

    (I'll leave aside their degree of commitment to other aspects of democratic values.)

  10. #90
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Rex Brynen View Post
    I agree that a great many Iraqis want some sort of democratization (although they may understand the details in very different ways, and they also want other things, such as security and a decent standard of living). I would somewhat modify your statement, however, to read "(some, predominately Sunni) Islamists..." given that among the most enthusiastic proponents and beneficiaries of formal electoral democracy in Iraq are the strongly Islamist (Shi'ite) Supreme Council, al-Dawa, and even Sadr...

    (I'll leave aside their degree of commitment to other aspects of democratic values.)
    Rex,

    you are dead on the money. Democracy means different things to different people. It is a term that is overused and misunderstood. What many people really what are security and a decent standard of living, regardless of what form of government provides them with that.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 05:35 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  11. #91
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by marct View Post
    I am going to disagree with you on this - you won the Battle for Iraq, Phase 1-3, but the war is still up in the air. The invasion, which was a resounding victory, may well end up classified along with Pyrrhus' victories at Heraclea and Asculum. Yes, your attempt to impose a foreign social and political structure on Iraq are, in some ways, a failure but not so much because they are viewed as "incorrect". Rather, the administrations' assumptions of republican "democracy" as an evolutionary ideal that all societies strive for and people "really" (innately) want forgot that any form of democracy require an internal revolution and cannot be imposed by a foreign power.

    In general, I certainly agree that the US has the power to "smite" any other nation state. So what? So did Pyrrhus. Beating the snot out of someone doesn't turn them into bosom buddies and automatically convert them to "right thinking" (however that may be defined). If you want to engage in cultural and social engineering, which is how the victory conditions for OIF were defined, you need a lot more than overt military power.
    I agree with you. My point was simply that the US still has the ability to project power to most places in the world in sufficient quantity to ruin another country's day. Most other countries lack that ability except through air/missles.

    The decision of when and how to use that force is a different matter.

    Quote Originally Posted by marct View Post
    Well, we should probably add in another naive assumption to go with the rest: the idea that democracies have open trade policies.
    Perhaps "open trade policies" was not the right term. Replace “open trade policies” with “capitalism” and you get my meaning.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 05:58 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  12. #92
    Council Member Ken White's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    8,060

    Default Much in your response to agree with, Marc. There are

    some minor quibble points but only a couple I'd state for your consideration:

    Quote Originally Posted by marct View Post
    Hi Curmudgeon,
    . . .
    Hmmph! I hadn't realized that the Catholic doctrine of Salvation through Good Works was so prominent in US culture . Well, we should probably add in another naive assumption to go with the rest: the idea that democracies have open trade policies.
    Really? Been around for a long time -- generally coupled with self interest, to be sure but there are a good many US graves in places where we had no overwhelming interest...

    Totally agree with this as well. For 3 and 4 I would also add in that specific UN approval is also a pre-requisite unless there is a clear and present danger.

    Marc
    While I generally agree with that, I'd also suggest that mild dislike and distrust of the US -- some merited, some not, most understandable -- make that a very arguable and situation dependent restriction.

    I'll also note that my prediction on Iraq going in was a 60:40 chance of reasonable success. Over the last 18 months, I've upped that to a 75:25 probability -- though, of course, our definitions of what is therein constituted may differ...
    Last edited by Ken White; 12-15-2007 at 06:57 PM. Reason: Typo

  13. #93
    Council Member SteveMetz's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Location
    Carlisle, PA
    Posts
    1,488

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ken White View Post
    I'll also note that my prediction on Iraq going in was a 60:40 chance of reasonable success. Over the last 18 months, I've upped that to a 75:25 probability -- though, of course, our definitions of what is therein constituted may differ...
    Interesting. I'm sitting here at this minute writing up the events of the past six months I remain pessimistic. We gave them a window of opportunity but the best I can see, the various sides used it to train and re-arm and have decided to just wait until we're out of the way. Lamentably, I think the Vietnam analogy still holds--there will be a "decent interval" and then it will fall apart.

  14. #94
    Council Member Ken White's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    8,060

    Default Depends on what one considers an acceptable

    Quote Originally Posted by SteveMetz View Post
    Interesting. I'm sitting here at this minute writing up the events of the past six months I remain pessimistic. We gave them a window of opportunity but the best I can see, the various sides used it to train and re-arm and have decided to just wait until we're out of the way. Lamentably, I think the Vietnam analogy still holds--there will be a "decent interval" and then it will fall apart.
    outcome, I think. There was always going to be a Sunni-Shia trauma, the degree remains to be seen -- as does the timing and the end result. In my view the majority of what I believe (but obviously do not know) were the real as opposed to stated strategic aims have been accomplished, the few remaining are of no major consequence though they would be nice.

    My belief is that it may "fall apart" however that is somewhat unlikely and the probability is that we'll be there in relative peace for quite some time. I do think that fall, if it occurred, would be quite different than the Viet Nam analogy.

    There was never going to be a US friendly Republic and I'm not at all sure anyone of any consequence ever really believed that would happen, just that some though it was worth a try. The entire operation was always a calculated risk and if it succeeded the world would be better off -- and the international oil supply would not be significantly disrupted at any point -- and if it did not succeed, only the US would suffer much harm. Not total altruism but not totally devoid of it either.

    Politics in the ME are always factional and fractured, and the various sides in every nation there are always jockeying for power and firearms are frequently involved. Been that way for a long time -- I'm still touting 2018 for the approximate rule of law and 2033 for a functional nation IAW world (not western) norms...

    While it failed as a "shock and awe" (really dumb phrase and idea) event it did catch AQ off balance and though they are flexible and recovered to a degree, it has dispelled the belief that the US would cut and run -- that means little to most westerners; it means a great deal in the ME. What will cause a falling apart sooner rather than later and of great instead of small magnitude is to leave precipitously. Obviously had the intel and the planning (and our doctrine and training 1980-2000) been better, it would have had a greater future deterrent effect but the effect actually achieved hasn't been that bad.

    I think the adverse situations can be avoided unless we leave too soon, not least because, appropos of Viet Nam, it would again show that the US is not to be trusted as an ally, a factor that arguably contributed to our inability to build a better coalition to go to Iraq this time (Desert Storm is not a valid comparison). Hard to build coalitions when you're suspect. That and a really poor job of making and stating the case on the part of the Administration...

    We'll see how it goes; I think the glass is more than half full...

  15. #95
    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Kansas
    Posts
    1,099

    Arrow Understandable

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    I think Ron’s prison analogy exposes the fundamental difference at the heart of the problem. I view the kid in the sand pit as a bully because all the kids in the pit did not agree a set of rules and ask the big boy to enforce them. The big boy just disciplined who ever he felt like.
    I might agree with the difference in perception between parties but that said in order to accept that wholeheartedly one would need to show that the US has not been defacto expected to be big brother in the world.
    For me the problem with this thinking is that in WW1, WW2, and various other conflicts we were basically expected to be exactly that. Now have we perhaps been too eager to jump in without testing the water in other situations from time to time, of course, but I seriously doubt anyone truly expects us to never make mistakes.

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    In the prison example; society (what ever that is) decide a set of rules and employed one group to enforce them (police), another group to decide what should happen to those who did not play by them (judiciary) and a third group to incarcerate those who could not be trusted in the play pit (warders). There is of course a fourth group (military) who’s job is to stop the kids from other playpits from taking over ours and imposing their rules. The question is when the US invades Iraq, or threatens Iran, are they doing it as the bully or because they have been asked to by the society of nation states? I fear Ron’s example leads me to think he views their actions benignly where I would view them more as kids from another pit who are convinced their way is better and have come to impose it on us – with the best of intentions off course (benevolent dictatorship?).
    Perceptions vs Ground Truth
    Did we install another dictator or did we work to allow the citizens of Iraq not America to vote for a representative government(of sorts) there.
    Are there those within the population who feel dis-enfranchised, yes
    Do they now and will they still have an opportunity to become more involved in that new government?

    From a warfighting perspective, Do we do what would be simple and protect ourselves while they fight amongst themselves, or do our soldiers go out everyday putting their lives on the line in efforts to try and help them find ways and means not to fight.

    I think to view us as the bullies in the matter one must truly believe that our actions and deeds are other than what they are.

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    I think there is a problem of Sovereignty (I am not sure that that is quite the right word). What I mean is as individuals we are willing to accept a dilution of our personal will to other groups to achieve group benefits. For me allegiance probably runs family>friends>town>region>UK>EU>Homo sapiens>Planet Earth, or something like that for Osama BL or GWB I suspect it would be a bit different (note I have no religious component). In a zero sum game how much fealty I give at each level is personal and fluid. In a basically capitalist society with ‘no taxation without representation’ in mind a crude measure might be how much we are willing to contribute at each tier. The argument I was beginning to articulate in my previous post is that too much power currently resides at the country level and states should be more willing to divest some sovereignty up, or down, the chain to solve problems at the appropriate level.
    In this I would agree that for most people this is close to their thinking in regards to loyalty and and how they perceive their leaders, thus I would think that the efforts by Coalition forces and civilians to teach those leaders how to work together at each level without having to be directed by on high, would be seen as a good thing not the opposite.

  16. #96
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    74

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCurmudgeon View Post
    An election does not make a democracy.
    I agree, and I didn't imply that a couple of elections indicated a democracy had been established in Iraq. My point is that the process of democratization had been begun, as we all know, where none had existed before.

    What we in the west normally equate with a “liberal democracy” is one where the individual reigns supreme and the government serves the individual.
    Well, actually I believe it safe to say that in true a democracy, such as we're supposed to have, the government rules by the consent of the governed. We're trying to instill this among the Iraqi's from the basic family level on up. I'd say that we have been successful in the endeaor since as I noted so many of them "made death-defying choices to express their will and return home on election days with a purple stained finger."

    First, I would argue that the tribal society that underpins the social structure in most of Iraq holds the tribe supreme.
    No doubt about this. Moreover, I've learned that the loyalty of the individual Iraqi citizen is a level or two deeper than the tribal level. Family is the rock-bottom basic level. And that's where US/Coalition efforts began - at the basic level of Iraqi society and upwards/outwards from there.

  17. #97
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Poulsbo, WA
    Posts
    252

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sean Osborne View Post


    Well, actually I believe it safe to say that in true a democracy, such as we're supposed to have, the government rules by the consent of the governed. We're trying to instill this among the Iraqi's from the basic family level on up.

    If by "we", you mean the United States, then what you're referring to as a "democracy" is technically not a democracy but a republic, or more precisely, a republic with representation. There's an important difference between the two terms which you can read about here.

    And I'm not sure if I've read you correctly, but your quoted sentence above implies that we're trying to instill democracy at the family level. Now I don't know about you, but I've never seen a family structure work that isn't a benevolent dictatorship, and depending on the family's religious beliefs, that dictatorship may only extend to the male parent. Of course, it's probably better to not even try to use a political model to describe family dynamics. In my opinion, the two aren't compatible in any way.

  18. #98
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JJackson View Post
    I would have to disagree with Curmudgeon’s Spanish friend. You are not hard enough on yourselves, with great power comes great responsibility. And you have taken onto yourselves great military power; it is a conscious choice your representatives have made over a long period of time to build up a force for power projection. I will take some convincing that US force levels are only enough to protect the territorial integrity of the US of A.
    I think you may have misunderstood what I was saying, or I was just inept at saying it.

    First, I agree with the spiderman "with great power comes great responsibility". My point was that we are traditionally hesitant to employ that power. Oh we talk a good game, protector of the free world and all that, but we are not accustomed to being an "imperial power" like the Brits or the Spanish. We WERE the ingsergents. As a result, we often make mistakes either by acting at the wrong time or not acting at all. We were OK during the cold war when the enemy was clearly defined, but we are floundering now. We have this power, what do we do with it?

    Second, I really am not a fan of militaries that are only capable of self defense. That leads to parity and parity played a big part in two world wars. If Britain had been an overwhelming power in 1912 or 1936 with the ability to invade Germany at its leisure, then I submit that Germany would have done things differently. Not a perfect example but I think you get my drift.

    At this point how we ended up here, with the ability to project overwelming power worlwide is not important. Now that we have this power, what do we do with it? I am in favor of using it sparingly but using it none the less.

    I am a realist. I would like to believe that we will always use our great power for the benefit of the globe. Since I don’t believe that, then you must come up with some parameters on when and how to use it.
    Last edited by TheCurmudgeon; 12-15-2007 at 11:19 PM.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

  19. #99
    Banned
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    74

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JeffC View Post
    If by "we", you mean the United States, then what you're referring to as a "democracy" is technically not a democracy but a republic, or more precisely, a republic with representation.
    Check this Jeff:

    de·moc·ra·cy

    1. government by the people; a form of government in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised directly by them or by their elected agents under a free electoral system.
    2. a state having such a form of government: The United States and Canada are democracies.
    As stated previously, "government rules by the consent of the governed."

    This or something quite similar is what we are attempting to have take root in Iraq where it has never before existed.


    And I'm not sure if I've read you correctly, but your quoted sentence above implies that we're trying to instill democracy at the family level.
    Jeff, it's called grass roots. Getting the basic unit of any nation to understand why it would be to their benefit to get together with other basic units to establish a government by enfranchising themselves to elect their government and establish their laws for the common good.

    Doing this within a framework of longstanding Islamic traditions and ideology may well be the most daunting task is 'selling' western democratic principles.

  20. #100
    Council Member TheCurmudgeon's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Woodbridge, VA
    Posts
    1,117

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sean Osborne View Post
    Jeff, it's called grass roots. Getting the basic unit of any nation to understand why it would be to their benefit to get together with other basic units to establish a government by enfranchising themselves to elect their government and establish their laws for the common good.

    Doing this within a framework of longstanding Islamic traditions and ideology may well be the most daunting task is 'selling' western democratic principles.

    Sean,

    You have the right idea. Someone once said "all politics is local". If you can get the Iraqis to understand and accept it at that level, the rest will fall into place.
    "I can change almost anything ... but I can't change human nature."

    Jon Osterman/Dr. Manhattan
    ---

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •