Hat tip to a "lurker":
CSIS (the Canadian one) has done a really rather good foresight paper about the future of AQ
Link:.https://www.csis.gc.ca/pblctns/cdmct...130501_eng.pdf

Just over eighty pages looking forward to 2018, with sections on: AQ core & AQ in Iraq, AQIM, AQ in East Africa and AQAP.

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