For those who are interested in 'Black Swans' here is French analyst's review:http://www.redanalysis.org/2013/01/2...-of-foresight/

Not that I'm obsessed with Mali; there is a link to a forecast of a coup in Mali in 2012 correctly, after some number crunching:http://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.c...asts-for-2013/