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  1. #1
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Some points

    I was reading some of the UK media reports AM and made these notes (could n't get a working link to SWC then).

    From the:http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl...han-surge.html

    Two hours before dawn the first Chinooks swept low over the Taliban district capital of Showal disgorging a force of British, Afghan and French troops signalling “D-Day”, the start of Operation Moshtarak.
    It is estimated the enemy strength, which at its highest point reach 300 fighters, may have shrunk to less than 100 with a number melting away from the area before the attack began.
    Quite a contrast from earlier figures.

    The task force is supported by artillery firepower from all points of the compass. From Camp Bastion, 15 miles away to the north..
    Camp Bastion being the main UK FOB since 2006, so close to the Taliban controlled town.

    Moshtarak means “together” in Dari and (my emphasis)for the first time ISAF troops will be working shoulder-to-shoulder with equal numbers of Afghan security forces.
    The BBC:
    The symbolism is potent - the offensive involves British, some European and US forces, as well as about 2,500 Afghan military personnel, one of the largest Afghan contingents to be used in such assaults.
    From:http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/8500903.stm
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-13-2010 at 11:00 PM.
    davidbfpo

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    Council Member Firn's Avatar
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    An Update on the fighting by the NYTimes.

    As expected part of the forces are inserted by helicopter, using well sited walled compounds as part of blocking positions and as springboards.

    As helicopter wheels touched soil, the aircraft filled with whoops, and the Marines stood and bolted for the tail ramp.

    They moved briskly. Within minutes, the first Marines of Third Platoon were entering compounds to the landing zone’s north, checking for enemy fighters and booby traps. The rest of the platoon followed through the gate.

    Firn

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    Council Member jcustis's Avatar
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    Default

    It's unlikely IMO that these knuckleheads will be slipping away from this one. so what are the odds that they are just withdrawing to a central point? And to think that I'll miss the sitreps as I head of to 30 days in the Stumps

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    Council Member S-2's Avatar
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    Default jcustis Reply

    It's unlikely IMO that these knuckleheads will be slipping away from this one.
    I fear that the taliban in this area are comprised of a variety of differing elements. Foreigners and key commanders have probably split to preserve themselves. According to NYT, IIRC, the shadow district governor was captured from a vehicle in Kandahar heading to points unknown (Kandahar? Arghandab? Pakistan?). Many of the local farmers ARE taliban fighters according to Jeffrey Dessler in his ISW report.

    They'll play innocent and do their family thingy for the present. I can easily foresee no big battles but an insurgency to test the resilience of the ANP and Afghan administrators once things appear "pacified".

    There's no real incentive for the taliban to make some heroic last stand at the Alamo. Who's got the endurance and can we peel away enough of the local fighter/farmers to transition out of the current opium/economic cycle overtime? Can the ANP and Afghan civilian administrators live up to the bargain and be solid contributors? THEY WILL BE TESTED in a myriad of threats and inducements to buckle.

    Guess we'll see over time. Hope we're flexible at the operational and strategic levels. Hope we're willing to quash any hints of corruption and incompetence and not "go along to get along" with the Karzai clique.
    "This aggression will not stand, man!" Jeff Lebowski, a.k.a. "The Dude"

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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Insight amidst spin

    A mass of comments on the operation, I am mindful that most of the press reporting is from Kandahar FOB and only a few journalists are "on the ground".

    Abu M commends three reports:http://www.cnas.org/blogs/abumuqawam...-analysis.html

    FRI has an excellent piece on the role of SOF:http://freerangeinternational.com/blog/?p=2671

    I note in one photo of a USMC unit being addressed before the operation there was a handful of ANA in the photo and one article cites a ratio of 2 US: 1 ANA. Sorry from afar too much "spin" and others refer to the bulk of the Afghan presence are 1900 newly arrived ANP (ANCOP).
    davidbfpo

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    The mistaken killing of 12 Afghan civilians prompts U.S. apology
    The use of the rockets has been suspended pending a "thorough review" of the incident, the U.S.-led International Security Assistance Force said in a statement.

    According to Dawood Ahmedi , a spokesman for the provincial governor of Helmand, 27 insurgents were killed so far, with five wounded and 11 arrested. The advancing force has uncovered 5,500 lbs of explosives.
    Some folks have been inquiring about what ISAF plans to do with the poppy fields in the area but I haven't heard a definitive response. I would think eradication would be a deal breaker for the average Afghan farmer.
    Also the phrase "clear, hold and build" seems to be en vogue again... which reminded me of Gen McMaster. Anyone know where he's assigned to these days?

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    Council Member Hacksaw's Avatar
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    Default In re:

    Quote Originally Posted by jarodparker View Post
    the mistaken killing of 12 afghan civilians prompts u.s. Apology


    some folks have been inquiring about what isaf plans to do with the poppy fields in the area but i haven't heard a definitive response. I would think eradication would be a deal breaker for the average afghan farmer.
    Also the phrase "clear, hold and build" seems to be en vogue again... Which reminded me of gen mcmaster. Anyone know where he's assigned to these days?
    tradoc
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