Results 1 to 12 of 12

Thread: Abu Ayyub al-Masri Captured in Iraq

  1. #1
    Small Wars Journal SWJED's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Largo, Florida
    Posts
    3,989

    Default Abu Ayyub al-Masri Captured in Iraq

    Abu Ayyub al-Masri Captured in Iraq at SWJ Blog - will try to keep the page updated...

  2. #2
    Council Member Abu Buckwheat's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Insurgency University
    Posts
    143

    Default

    Good catch!

    AQI is going down slowly but definately going down ... now if only we can keep the Shia and Sunnah from killing each other!
    Putting Foot to Al Qaeda Ass Since 1993

  3. #3
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    567
    Quote Originally Posted by SteveMetz View Post
    Sometimes it takes someone without deep experience to think creatively.

  4. #4
    Council Member Abu Buckwheat's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Insurgency University
    Posts
    143

    Default

    In. Frick'n. Credible. This had beeter have been an IO to smoke him out. Sometimes I get ahead of myself and actually believe MNF-I.
    Putting Foot to Al Qaeda Ass Since 1993

  5. #5
    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Kansas
    Posts
    1,099

    Question I thought

    Quote Originally Posted by Abu Buckwheat View Post
    In. Frick'n. Credible. This had beeter have been an IO to smoke him out. Sometimes I get ahead of myself and actually believe MNF-I.
    MNF-I were the ones who said from moment one they could NOT confirm that it was true. Seems like that was a wise decision considering todays news.
    Last edited by Ron Humphrey; 05-09-2008 at 03:09 PM. Reason: add the NOT
    Any man can destroy that which is around him, The rare man is he who can find beauty even in the darkest hours

    Cogitationis poenam nemo patitur

  6. #6
    Council Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    567

    Default

    "Iraqi officials have reported his death three times, his capture twice and a mortal wounding once."

    Maybe Marc can explain. I bet it has something to do with his symbolic effect within the Shia community.
    Last edited by Rank amateur; 05-09-2008 at 02:54 PM.
    Quote Originally Posted by SteveMetz View Post
    Sometimes it takes someone without deep experience to think creatively.

  7. #7
    Council Member marct's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Ottawa, Canada
    Posts
    3,682

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Rank amateur View Post
    "Iraqi officials have reported his death three times, his capture twice and a mortal wounding once."

    Maybe Marc can explain. I bet it has something to do with his symbolic effect within the Shia community.
    More like wishful thinking I would guess .
    Sic Bisquitus Disintegrat...
    Marc W.D. Tyrrell, Ph.D.
    Institute of Interdisciplinary Studies,
    Senior Research Fellow,
    The Canadian Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies, NPSIA
    Carleton University
    http://marctyrrell.com/

  8. #8
    Council Member Vic Bout's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    inside the noose that is my tie
    Posts
    51

    Default It must be cultural math

    Two things I learned when dealing with both Afghani's and Iraqi's (mostly military types):
    1) Never believe the first report
    2) Combat math is skewed (i.e. "Well, Chief, we were on patrol in town last night and were ambushed by 25 ali-baba. We returned fire but they all escaped"....en realidad for my daily SITREP to higher we divide everything by 10 and come up two guys shooting at our IA patrol from a speeding vehicle
    "THIS is my boomstick!"

  9. #9
    Council Member marct's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Ottawa, Canada
    Posts
    3,682

    Default

    Hey Vic,

    I used to do the same thing, divide by 10, when I was listening to the combat stats on the VC coming out of Vietnam . Must be a human universal !
    Sic Bisquitus Disintegrat...
    Marc W.D. Tyrrell, Ph.D.
    Institute of Interdisciplinary Studies,
    Senior Research Fellow,
    The Canadian Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies, NPSIA
    Carleton University
    http://marctyrrell.com/

  10. #10
    Council Member Abu Buckwheat's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Insurgency University
    Posts
    143

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Vic Bout View Post
    Two things I learned when dealing with both Afghani's and Iraqi's (mostly military types):
    1) Never believe the first report
    2) Combat math is skewed (i.e. "Well, Chief, we were on patrol in town last night and were ambushed by 25 ali-baba. We returned fire but they all escaped"....en realidad for my daily SITREP to higher we divide everything by 10 and come up two guys shooting at our IA patrol from a speeding vehicle
    I should have known better. I actualy teach this in my tactical Arabic classes:

    01 (Wahid) = None or maybe even 1, if they feel especially honest
    02 (Ithnayn) = One, Maybe
    03 (Thalatha) = One, for sure
    10 (Ashura) = Two
    15 = Three
    100 = Ten
    1000 = 25
    Too much = 26

    It is Very Bad = SVBIED or any assessment of the enemy
    It is Very Much Bad = 3 or more Jihadis, or any unacceptable interruption of kabab, shisha or tea breaks
    It is Too Much Bad = Any Muj position they have to attack
    It is Too Very Much Bad = Kababs cannot be found, like, anywhere!

    So by this initial report I guess I can add "We have killed the #1 Al Qaeda" to mean = We REALLY don't want to have to find this guy ... he is already dead, see!?
    Putting Foot to Al Qaeda Ass Since 1993

  11. #11
    Council Member RTK's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Wherever my stuff is
    Posts
    824

    Default

    I was wondering what the issues would be between MNF-I and MOD since we basically said they were wrong. Anyone else think we should have allowed the Iraqis to correct themselves instead of doing it for them, kinda like when we should have allowed them to announce the capture of Saddam?
    Example is better than precept.

  12. #12
    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Kansas
    Posts
    1,099

    Post Your probably right

    Quote Originally Posted by RTK View Post
    I was wondering what the issues would be between MNF-I and MOD since we basically said they were wrong. Anyone else think we should have allowed the Iraqis to correct themselves instead of doing it for them, kinda like when we should have allowed them to announce the capture of Saddam?
    But looking at it from a coalition standpoint it may be somewhat difficult still to get some of those within the Iraqi leadership to willingly admit being wrong, and in that case better we point it out than AQI or others suddenly post a vid with him reading tomorrows paper all about how dead he is
    Any man can destroy that which is around him, The rare man is he who can find beauty even in the darkest hours

    Cogitationis poenam nemo patitur

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •