Adam and Firn,

The real center of gravity is who controls Ukraine's wealth at the end of this drama. The new government in Kiev has already announced a privatization program:

"I'll tell you about the idea of privatization of the energy sector at transparent auctions: Chornomornaftogaz and other companies, which are part of Naftogaz Ukrainy," [the Prime Minister] said at a meeting with the business community in Kyiv on Monday.