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  1. #1
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Regional alliance - reason to be hopeful?

    A number of central African countries overwhelmed by the brutal attacks and mounting regional destabilization caused by the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) have established a comprehensive plan to combat the rebel group. Ministers from Uganda, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and the Central African Republic agreed Friday in a meeting in Bangui, the capital of the latter, to create a joint military task force, centre of operations, and border patrol capacity, all to be supervised by a representative from the African Union.
    Leaving aside practicalities and the diplomatic achievement, who is paying for this?

    Just maybe the clue is in the closing sentences:
    In an interesting development, a recent piece of legislation passed by the US Senate and currently before the US House of Representatives requires the White House to ‘develop a regional strategy to protect civilians in central Africa from attacks by the LRA, work to apprehend the LRA leadership, and support economic recovery for northern Uganda’. It was passed unanimously, though it remains to be seen what effect any such policy will have on the conflict if enacted into law.
    Link:http://www.opendemocracy.net/opensec...80%99s-resista
    davidbfpo

  2. #2
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    Default Uganda funding

    The linked article seems a few months behind the times. S. 1067: Lord's Resistance Army Disarmament and Northern Uganda Recovery Act of 2009, was signed into law 24 May 2010, proving that we (US) have lost none of our Wilsonian rhetoric:

    A bill to support stabilization and lasting peace in northern Uganda and areas affected by the Lord's Resistance Army through development of a regional strategy to support multilateral efforts to successfully protect civilians and eliminate the threat posed by the Lord's Resistance Army and to authorize funds for humanitarian relief and reconstruction, reconciliation, and transitional justice, and for other purposes.
    Here are the Summary (CRS) and Full Text.

    The "Strategy Section" in the full text:

    SEC. 4. REQUIREMENT OF A STRATEGY TO SUPPORT THE DISARMAMENT OF THE LORD’S RESISTANCE ARMY.

    (a) Requirement for Strategy- Not later than 180 days after the date of the enactment of this Act, the President shall develop and submit to the appropriate committees of Congress a strategy to guide future United States support across the region for viable multilateral efforts to mitigate and eliminate the threat to civilians and regional stability posed by the Lord’s Resistance Army.

    (b) Content of Strategy- The strategy shall include the following:

    (1) A plan to help strengthen efforts by the United Nations and regional governments to protect civilians from attacks by the Lord’s Resistance Army while supporting the development of institutions in affected areas that can help to maintain the rule of law and prevent conflict in the long term.

    (2) An assessment of viable options through which the United States, working with regional governments, could help develop and support multilateral efforts to eliminate the threat posed by the Lord’s Resistance Army.

    (3) An interagency framework to plan, coordinate, and review diplomatic, economic, intelligence, and military elements of United States policy across the region regarding the Lord’s Resistance Army.

    (4) A description of the type and form of diplomatic engagement across the region undertaken to coordinate and implement United States policy regarding the Lord’s Resistance Army and to work multilaterally with regional mechanisms, including the Tripartite Plus Commission and the Great Lakes Pact.

    (5) A description of how this engagement will fit within the context of broader efforts and policy objectives in the Great Lakes Region.

    (c) Form- The strategy under this section shall be submitted in unclassified form, but may include a classified annex.
    To David's bottom line, the bill does not provide separate funding for these tasks. It states Congress's "sense" (a debatable issue) that up to $ 10 million US be spent annually by DoS from its general appropriations.

    SEC. 9. SENSE OF CONGRESS ON FUNDING.

    It is the sense of Congress that--

    (1) of the total amounts to be appropriated for fiscal year 2011 for the Department of State and foreign operations, up to $10,000,000 should be used to carry out activities under section 5; and

    (2) of the total amounts to be appropriated for fiscal year 2011 through 2013 for the Department of State and foreign operations, up to $10,000,000 in each such fiscal year should be used to carry out activities under section 7.
    Thus, "the check is in the mail" so to speak.

    I'd be curious about the views of others with knowledge and experience re: the capabilities of Uganda, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and the Central African Republic to form and effective military coalition.

    Regards

    Mike

  3. #3
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    The main effect of a regional alliance I am guessing, would be just to give diplomatic cover to whomever actually does the the job. They have agreed to all kinds of things but I wonder if the main thing is they agree not to squawk about whatever kind of force is wandering around their territory.

    I don't know anything about the armed forces of the CAR or South Sudan. The FARDC is completely hopeless. The Ugandans have done well enough it seems over the past year or two. So it comes down to the Ugandans and extra logistical support that may be given by us. All a guess on my part.

    That strategy section of S. 1067 seems like it was copied from some international government textbook. There is nothing much out there, just people in villages living hand to mouth, tracks not roads-not much of anything. I don't know how all those points are going to apply in that part of the world.
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

  4. #4
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Intervention: a debate

    Hat tip to Abu M for a comment on those who advocate the USA taking an active role in hunting the LRA: http://www.cnas.org/blogs/abumuqawam...-really-bad-id

    A linked blog has some more comments and intriguing information:http://tachesdhuile.blogspot.com/201...rt-i-when.html and then a more recent post:http://tachesdhuile.blogspot.com/201...al-africa.html

    From which I cite:
    However, Ex is absolutely right to use Kilcullen's four questions as a starting point:

    There are four questions we should ask when considering whether or not the United States should engage in an international intervention:

    1. Will an intervention make the situation better, or worse?

    2. If better, should the U.S. government participate in this intervention?

    3. If yes, should the U.S. government lead this intervention?

    4. If yes, what should the U.S. government do?

    But both Ex and those who've rallied around him have continued to use strawmen arguments and inaccurate assertions to avoid actually addressing these questions.
    The arguments then continue.

    My own personal question is why is the USA the only power seen as able to intervene?
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 10-30-2010 at 10:23 PM.
    davidbfpo

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    Council Member M-A Lagrange's Avatar
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    US strategy on the LRA - breakdown of key sections
    US strategy on the LRA - breakdown of key sections
    Resolve’s highlights and a brief breakdown of the strategy, including actions listed as priorities for implementation:
    Vision: “Though the challenge is complex, the vision remains simple: people in central Africa are free from the threat of LRA violence and have the freedom to pursue their livelihoods."
    Purpose: The strategy does not contain much detail about specific action steps, instead providing an "overarching, comprehensive strategy direction over several years to... increase the likelihood of success in mitigating and eliminating the threat posed by the LRA." (Upcoming Congressional decisions on levels of funding will help determine how robustly the strategy is implemented and hence specific action steps.)
    Four main objectives (and summary of sub-objectives):
    1. Increase protection of civilians
    Improve sharing of information for understanding threats and vulnerabilities of civilian population as a result of LRA presence, and for supporting and developing effective protection strategies and interventions.
    Promote the increase in physical security of vulnerable civilian populations through the presence and action of protection actors.
    Strengthen the understanding of the LRA threat and the will and capabilities of key actors to support efforts to protect civilians and prevent and mitigate LRA attacks.
    2. Apprehend or remove from the battlefield Joseph Kony and senior LRA commanders
    Provide enhanced integrated logistical, operational, and intelligence assistance in support of regional and multilateral partners.
    Enhance and sustain diplomatic efforts to coordinate and encourage support for multilateral and regional military forces in their efforts to counter the LRA and to deny any potential support to the LRA from outside actors.
    3. Promote the defection, disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration of remaining LRA fighters
    Ensure continued multilateral support to efforts to promote defections of LRA fighters and non-combatants through radio programs, leaflets, and other communication.
    Work with regional governments, MONUSCO, and other international actors to ensure necessary facilities and procedures are in place to receive defectors and transport them to desired home locations.
    Support the provision of enhanced medical, social, and economic reintegration assistance to demobilized LRA members and receiving communities.
    4. Increase humanitarian access and provide continued relief to affected communities
    Humanitarian agencies provide minimum standards of life-saving support to LRA-affected populations.
    Promote increased access and infrastructure for the delivery of humanitarian services.
    Humanitarian agencies support early recovery activities, including transition support and livelihood support for LRA-affected populations.
    Priority actions for immediate implementation
    Increase physical access and telecommunications
    including road and airstrip rehabilitation and telecommunications expansion, with focus on LRA-affected areas of CAR and DRC
    Increase mobility and access of civilian protection actors in LRA-affected areas
    mentions need to increase mobility of "humanitarian and civilian protection partners, including peacekeeping missions"
    Enhance coordination of civilian actors and sharing of information across borders
    Enhance the coordination and collaboration of forces in LRA-affected areas
    mentions need for coordination between national militaries and peacekeeping missions
    Increase opportunities for LRA fighters and associated persons to safely defect and escape
    Multilateral engagement
    The strategy mentions the October AU conference on the LRA in Bangui and "applauds AU engagement and regional leadership and coordination to address the LRA threat"
    The strategy highlights three priorities for US engagement at the UN Security Council as, 1. ensuring relevant peacekeeping missions are "resourced appropriately to fulfill their mandates," 2. encourage the UN political office for Central Africa to strengthen regional and international cooperation on the LRA, and 3. support the deployment of UN humanitarian staff to LRA-affected areas.
    The strategy also states an intention to continue engagement with the Office of the EU Special Representative, the World Bank’s TDRP-led LRA working group, and the Great Lakes Contact Group.
    The strategy says "Any effective strategy cannot exclusively rely on one military force..." It also acknowledges that there is no guarantee Ugandan military operations against the LRA will continue and highlights the necessity of developing broader support and capacity among regional and international actors to address the crisis (though few specific details are provided).
    Other notes of importance
    The strategy acknowledges that “there is no purely military solution to the LRA threat and impact.”
    The strategy highlights that additional support to the UPDF for LRA operations will happen in parallel with efforts to encourage professionalization of the UPDF and diplomatic efforts to encourage the Ugandan government and UPDF to respect human rights, democracy and good governance in Uganda.
    The strategy mentions that "local outreach" is an important component of pursuing the strategy’s objectives, but does not provide detail on how this will be done.
    The strategy also outlines continued US efforts to promote comprehensive reconstruction, transitional justice, and reconciliation in northern Uganda (see annex 3).
    http://www.sudantribune.com/US-strat...reakdown,37153

    If someone has an open source for a more comprehensive doc, please PM me.

  6. #6
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    M-A:

    Do you have any idea who they are speaking of when they say "civilian protection actors" and "civilian protection partners"?
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

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